Mertjhan commited on
Commit
b72b9a2
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 008d3cb

Configs and Training files with model pth files

Browse files
configs/DCNN121.yaml ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # YAML Configuration file for SwinLSTM model
2
+
3
+ data:
4
+ seq_len: 12
5
+ pred_horz: 12
6
+ batch_size: 16
7
+ shuffle: False
8
+ dataSplit: stratifiedSplit # Chronological or Stratified Refer to ~/Projects/PhD/Ionosphere/Python/Data Scripts/Preprocessing/Preprocess_Data_v3.ipynb
9
+ selectedOMNI: [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] # F10.7, Dst, AE, SW Speed, Scalar B, Year, DoY, Hour
10
+ # ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
11
+ # [ 1, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 27, 28, 29, 30]
12
+
13
+ model:
14
+ type: "DCNN121" # Model type
15
+ input_shape: [12, 1, 72, 72] # Input shape: [T_in, C, H, W]
16
+ pred_horz: 12 # Prediction horizon (T_out)
17
+ seq_len: 12 # Number of input frames provided to the model
18
+ num_features: 32 # Number of input features (chosen since 18 channels of OMNI data + TEC map)
19
+
20
+ train:
21
+ model: "DCNN121" # Model name used for training
22
+ sessionName: "DCNN_in12_out12" # Unique session identifier
23
+ lr: 1e-4 # Initial learning rate (Optimal from LR range test min loss at 1e-4)
24
+ batchSize: 16 # Training batch size
25
+ numEpochs: 50 # Maximum number of epochs for training
26
+ resumeEpoch: 0 # Resume training from this epoch (0 for fresh start) If you continue you need to define your model load state dict in the main script
27
+ earlyStop: 10 # Patience for early stopping
28
+ saveResults: True # Whether to save training results
29
+ inputNames: [] # List of input feature names (if any)
30
+ criterion: "MSELoss" # Loss function: Mean Squared Error Loss
31
+ optimizer: "Adam" # Optimizer: Adam (Adaptive Moment Estimation)
32
+ scheduler: "ReduceLROnPlateau" # Learning rate scheduler (ReduceLROnPlateau or ExponentialLR +> also define lrEnd in this case)
33
+ # If needed can define custom scheduler parameters check LoadConfig.py for more details
34
+ # i.e. cosineParams: (10, 2, self.lr / 50.0) # (T_max, eta_min, lr_min)
35
+ mixedPrecision: False # Mixed precision training (Automatic Mixed Precision)
36
+
37
+ test:
38
+ model: "DCNN121" # Model name used for testing
39
+ sessionName: "DCNN_in12_out12" # Session identifier for loading trained model
40
+ batchSize: 32 # Batch size for testing
41
+ testDates: [] # List of test periods Set inside the main script useful for testing specific geomagnetic storm period
42
+ maxTEC: "210" # Set inside the main script
43
+ minTEC: "0" # Set inside the main script
44
+ lat: "72" # Set inside the main script
45
+ lon: "72" # Set inside the main script
46
+ numOMNI: "18" # Set inside the main script
47
+ inputNames: [] # Set inside the main script
48
+ saveResults: True # Whether to save test results
configs/SimVPv2.yaml ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,65 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+
2
+ data:
3
+ seq_len: 12
4
+ pred_horz: 12
5
+ batch_size: 128
6
+ shuffle: False
7
+ dataSplit: stratifiedSplit # Chronological or Stratified Refer to ~/Projects/PhD/Ionosphere/Python/Data Scripts/Preprocessing/Preprocess_Data_v3.ipynb
8
+ selectedOMNI: [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] # F10.7, Dst, AE, SW Speed, Scalar B, Year, DoY, Hour
9
+ # ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
10
+ # [ 1, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 27, 28, 29, 30]
11
+ # [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] Whole
12
+ # [1,4,6,12,19,28,29,30] Essential
13
+ # [1,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] No geomagnetic -> Dst, ap, AE, pc
14
+ # [1,4,5,6,9,17,19,27,28,29,30] No SW -> No SW -> 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure'
15
+ # [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,28,29,30] -> No IMF -> 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)'
16
+ # [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27] -> No Time -> 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour'
17
+ # [4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] -> No Solar -> 'F10.7'
18
+
19
+ model:
20
+ type: "SimVP"
21
+ input_shape: [12, 18, 72, 72] # (Time, Channels, Height, Width)
22
+ hid_S: 16
23
+ hid_T: 256
24
+ N_S: 4
25
+ N_T: 4
26
+ model_type: "gSTA"
27
+ mlp_ratio: 8.0
28
+ drop: 0.0
29
+ drop_path: 0.0
30
+ spatio_kernel_enc: 3
31
+ spatio_kernel_dec: 3
32
+ conv_in_channels: 18
33
+ conv_out_channels: 1
34
+ conv_kernel_size: [1, 1, 1]
35
+ conv_stride: [1, 1, 1]
36
+
37
+
38
+ train:
39
+ model: "SimVP" # Model to train
40
+ sessionName: "SimVP_AllFeatures" # Name of the session
41
+ lr: 8e-5 # Learning rate for Optimizer (LRrangetest minima at [LR=0.0001] Global average loss = 5.570099426385684e-06)
42
+ lrEnd: 5e-6 # Learning rate end for ExponentialLR
43
+ batchSize: 128 # Batch size for training
44
+ numEpochs: 50 # Number of epochs to train
45
+ resumeEpoch: 0 # Resume training from epoch
46
+ earlyStop: 10 # Early stopping patience
47
+ saveResults: True # Save results
48
+ inputNames: [] # Names of the input features
49
+ criterion: "MSELoss" # Loss functions: MSELoss.
50
+ optimizer: "Adam" # Optimizer: Adam.
51
+ scheduler: "ReduceLROnPlateau" # Scheduler: ExponentialLR, ReduceLROnPlateau
52
+ mixedPrecision: False # Mixed precision training
53
+
54
+ test:
55
+ model: "SimVP"
56
+ sessionName: "SimVP_AllFeatures" # Name of the session
57
+ batchSize: 128
58
+ testDates: [] # Dates to test will be set in the script
59
+ maxTEC: "210" # Set inside the main script
60
+ minTEC: "0" # Set inside the main script
61
+ lat: "72" # Set inside the main script
62
+ lon: "72" # Set inside the main script
63
+ numOMNI: "18" # Set inside the main script
64
+ inputNames: [] # Set inside the main script
65
+ saveResults: True
configs/SimVPv2Chrono.yaml ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,58 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+
2
+ data:
3
+ seq_len: 12
4
+ pred_horz: 12
5
+ batch_size: 128
6
+ shuffle: False
7
+ dataSplit: chronologicalSplit # Chronological or Stratified Refer to ~/Projects/PhD/Ionosphere/Python/Data Scripts/Preprocessing/Preprocess_Data_v3.ipynb
8
+ selectedOMNI: [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] # Check data.py
9
+ # ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
10
+ # [ 1, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 27, 28, 29, 30]
11
+
12
+ model:
13
+ type: "SimVP"
14
+ input_shape: [12, 18, 72, 72] # (Time, Channels, Height, Width)
15
+ hid_S: 16
16
+ hid_T: 256
17
+ N_S: 4
18
+ N_T: 4
19
+ model_type: "gSTA"
20
+ mlp_ratio: 8.0
21
+ drop: 0.0
22
+ drop_path: 0.0
23
+ spatio_kernel_enc: 3
24
+ spatio_kernel_dec: 3
25
+ conv_in_channels: 18
26
+ conv_out_channels: 1
27
+ conv_kernel_size: [1, 1, 1]
28
+ conv_stride: [1, 1, 1]
29
+
30
+
31
+ train:
32
+ model: "SimVP" # Model to train
33
+ sessionName: "SimVP_chronologicalSplit" # Name of the session
34
+ lr: 8e-5 # Learning rate for Optimizer (LRrangetest minima at [LR=0.0001] Global average loss = 5.77232401785838e-06)
35
+ lrEnd: 5e-6 # Learning rate end for ExponentialLR
36
+ batchSize: 128 # Batch size for training
37
+ numEpochs: 50 # Number of epochs to train
38
+ resumeEpoch: 0 # Resume training from epoch
39
+ earlyStop: 10 # Early stopping patience
40
+ saveResults: True # Save results
41
+ inputNames: [] # Names of the input features
42
+ criterion: "MSELoss" # Loss functions: MSELoss.
43
+ optimizer: "Adam" # Optimizer: Adam.
44
+ scheduler: "ReduceLROnPlateau" # Scheduler: ExponentialLR, ReduceLROnPlateau
45
+ mixedPrecision: False # Mixed precision training
46
+
47
+ test:
48
+ model: "SimVP"
49
+ sessionName: "SimVP_chronologicalSplit" # Name of the session
50
+ batchSize: 128
51
+ testDates: [] # Dates to test will be set in the script
52
+ maxTEC: "210" # Set inside the main script
53
+ minTEC: "0" # Set inside the main script
54
+ lat: "72" # Set inside the main script
55
+ lon: "72" # Set inside the main script
56
+ numOMNI: "18" # Set inside the main script
57
+ inputNames: [] # Set inside the main script
58
+ saveResults: True
configs/SwinLSTM.yaml ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # YAML Configuration file for SwinLSTM model
2
+
3
+ data:
4
+ seq_len: 12
5
+ pred_horz: 12
6
+ batch_size: 16
7
+ shuffle: False
8
+ dataSplit: stratifiedSplit # Chronological or Stratified Refer to ~/Projects/PhD/Ionosphere/Python/Data Scripts/Preprocessing/Preprocess_Data_v3.ipynb
9
+ selectedOMNI: [1,4,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,17,19,27,28,29,30] # F10.7, Dst, AE, SW Speed, Scalar B, Year, DoY, Hour
10
+ # ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
11
+ # [ 1, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 27, 28, 29, 30]
12
+
13
+
14
+ model:
15
+ type: "SwinLSTM" # Model type (Spatiotemporal Swin Transformer with LSTM)
16
+ input_shape: [12, 1, 72, 72] # Input shape: [T_in, C, H, W]
17
+ pred_horz: 12 # Prediction horizon (T_out)
18
+ embed_dim: 128 # Feature embedding dimension
19
+ depths: 4 # Number of Swin Transformer layers (Baseline 2)
20
+ num_heads: 4 # Number of attention heads in Swin Transformer
21
+ window_size: 4 # Window size for local attention
22
+ patch_size: 2 # Patch size for Swin Transformer tokenization
23
+ mlp_ratio: 4.0 # Ratio for MLP hidden layer expansion
24
+ drop_path_rate: 0.1 # Stochastic depth rate (DropPath)
25
+
26
+ train:
27
+ model: "SwinLSTM" # Model name used for training
28
+ sessionName: "SwinLSTM_in12_out12" # Unique session identifier
29
+ lr: 8e-5 # Initial learning rate (Optimal from LR range test)
30
+ lrEnd: 1e-6 # Final learning rate (for ExponentialLR scheduler)
31
+ batchSize: 16 # Training batch size
32
+ numEpochs: 50 # Maximum number of epochs for training
33
+ resumeEpoch: 0 # Resume training from this epoch (0 for fresh start) If you continue you need to define your model load state dict in the main script
34
+ earlyStop: 10 # Patience for early stopping
35
+ saveResults: True # Whether to save training results
36
+ inputNames: [] # List of input feature names (if any)
37
+ criterion: "MSELoss" # Loss function: Mean Squared Error Loss
38
+ optimizer: "Adam" # Optimizer: Adam (Adaptive Moment Estimation)
39
+ scheduler: "ReduceLROnPlateau" # Learning rate scheduler (ReduceLROnPlateau or ExponentialLR +> also define lrEnd in this case)
40
+
41
+ test:
42
+ model: "SwinLSTM" # Model name used for testing
43
+ sessionName: "SwinLSTM_in12_out12" # Session identifier for loading trained model
44
+ batchSize: 16 # Batch size for testing
45
+ testDates: [] # List of test periods Set inside the main script useful for testing specific geomagnetic storm period
46
+ maxTEC: "210" # Set inside the main script
47
+ minTEC: "0" # Set inside the main script
48
+ lat: "72" # Set inside the main script
49
+ lon: "72" # Set inside the main script
50
+ numOMNI: "18" # Set inside the main script
51
+ inputNames: [] # Set inside the main script
52
+ saveResults: True # Whether to save test results
training_sessions/DCNN/DCNN_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250410_0940.pth ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
 
 
 
 
1
+ version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
2
+ oid sha256:2494d408cf04123eec07426f15a1cc00cff087c27a8918bef8e495847aeb0276
3
+ size 1982350
training_sessions/DCNN/DCNN_in12_out12_lr0.0001_bs32_20250410_0940.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Session: DCNN_in12_out12
2
+ Start Time: 2025-04-10 09:40
3
+ Hyperparameters:
4
+ sessionName: DCNN_in12_out12
5
+ inputNames: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+ lr: 0.0001
7
+ lrEnd: 2e-06
8
+ batchSize: 16
9
+ numEpochs: 50
10
+ resumeEpoch: 0
11
+ earlyStop: 10
12
+ criterion: MSELoss()
13
+ optimizer: Adam (
14
+ Parameter Group 0
15
+ amsgrad: False
16
+ betas: (0.9, 0.999)
17
+ capturable: False
18
+ differentiable: False
19
+ eps: 1e-08
20
+ foreach: None
21
+ fused: None
22
+ lr: 0.0001
23
+ maximize: False
24
+ weight_decay: 0
25
+ )
26
+ scheduler: <torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau object at 0x7f181c9db090>
27
+
28
+ Epoch | Train Loss | Val Loss | LR | Early Stop Count | Timestamp
29
+ -------------------------------------------------------------
30
+ 1 | 4.965e-03 | 5.144e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 09:56
31
+ 2 | 5.494e-04 | 4.742e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 10:12
32
+ 3 | 3.714e-04 | 3.601e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 10:28
33
+ 4 | 2.858e-04 | 3.308e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 10:44
34
+ 5 | 2.555e-04 | 3.241e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 10:59
35
+ 6 | 2.412e-04 | 3.052e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 11:15
36
+ 7 | 2.305e-04 | 2.937e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 11:31
37
+ 8 | 2.230e-04 | 2.885e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 11:47
38
+ 9 | 2.177e-04 | 2.859e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 12:03
39
+ 10 | 2.133e-04 | 2.844e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 12:19
40
+ 11 | 2.101e-04 | 2.844e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 12:35
41
+ 12 | 2.077e-04 | 2.809e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 12:51
42
+ 13 | 2.049e-04 | 2.851e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 13:07
43
+ 14 | 2.022e-04 | 2.947e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 2 | 2025-04-10 13:23
44
+ 15 | 2.010e-04 | 2.865e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 3 | 2025-04-10 13:39
45
+ 16 | 1.988e-04 | 2.733e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 13:55
46
+ 17 | 1.975e-04 | 2.729e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 14:11
47
+ 18 | 1.954e-04 | 2.709e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 14:26
48
+ 19 | 1.938e-04 | 2.688e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 14:42
49
+ 20 | 1.928e-04 | 2.695e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 14:58
50
+ 21 | 1.910e-04 | 2.677e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 15:14
51
+ 22 | 1.891e-04 | 2.669e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 15:30
52
+ 23 | 1.874e-04 | 2.696e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 15:46
53
+ 24 | 1.856e-04 | 2.723e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 2 | 2025-04-10 16:02
54
+ 25 | 1.830e-04 | 2.543e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 16:18
55
+ 26 | 1.812e-04 | 2.533e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 16:34
56
+ 27 | 1.802e-04 | 2.494e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 16:50
57
+ 28 | 1.792e-04 | 2.538e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 17:06
58
+ 29 | 1.776e-04 | 2.613e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 2 | 2025-04-10 17:22
59
+ 30 | 1.774e-04 | 2.544e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 3 | 2025-04-10 17:37
60
+ 31 | 1.760e-04 | 2.476e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 17:53
61
+ 32 | 1.754e-04 | 2.568e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 18:09
62
+ 33 | 1.747e-04 | 2.446e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 18:25
63
+ 34 | 1.734e-04 | 2.481e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 18:41
64
+ 35 | 1.725e-04 | 2.425e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 18:57
65
+ 36 | 1.721e-04 | 2.437e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 19:13
66
+ 37 | 1.717e-04 | 2.517e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 2 | 2025-04-10 19:29
67
+ 38 | 1.705e-04 | 2.387e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 19:45
68
+ 39 | 1.696e-04 | 2.378e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 20:01
69
+ 40 | 1.696e-04 | 2.379e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 20:17
70
+ 41 | 1.681e-04 | 2.375e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 20:33
71
+ 42 | 1.678e-04 | 2.400e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 1 | 2025-04-10 20:49
72
+ 43 | 1.669e-04 | 2.356e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 21:05
73
+ 44 | 1.666e-04 | 2.326e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 21:21
74
+ 45 | 1.658e-04 | 2.325e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 21:37
75
+ 46 | 1.653e-04 | 2.324e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 21:53
76
+ 47 | 1.648e-04 | 2.321e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 22:09
77
+ 48 | 1.640e-04 | 2.300e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 22:25
78
+ 49 | 1.632e-04 | 2.296e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 22:41
79
+ 50 | 1.630e-04 | 2.291e-04 | 1.000e-04 | 0 | 2025-04-10 22:57
training_sessions/DCNN/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-06-56.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,390 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: DCNN_in12_out12
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-11_19-06-56
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.5172 ± 1.8042
9
+ R²: 0.9504 ± 0.0229
10
+ SSIM: 0.8411 ± 0.0491
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5711), np.float32(2.2907), np.float32(2.5608), np.float32(2.6547), np.float32(2.6415), np.float32(2.6742), np.float32(2.7192), np.float32(2.7359), np.float32(2.707), np.float32(2.7265), np.float32(2.7471), np.float32(2.7401)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8091), np.float32(1.2421), np.float32(1.5097), np.float32(1.6835), np.float32(1.7431), np.float32(1.7998), np.float32(1.8398), np.float32(1.878), np.float32(1.8773), np.float32(1.8907), np.float32(1.9026), np.float32(1.9311)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9793), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9491), np.float64(0.9473), np.float64(0.948), np.float64(0.9472), np.float64(0.9465), np.float64(0.9458), np.float64(0.9461), np.float64(0.9454), np.float64(0.9457), np.float64(0.9464)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0105), np.float64(0.022), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.0318), np.float64(0.0318), np.float64(0.032), np.float64(0.0345), np.float64(0.0357), np.float64(0.0346), np.float64(0.0342), np.float64(0.0357)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9282), np.float64(0.8837), np.float64(0.8763), np.float64(0.8766), np.float64(0.8762), np.float64(0.8732), np.float64(0.8726), np.float64(0.8741), np.float64(0.8738), np.float64(0.8708), np.float64(0.8721), np.float64(0.8776)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0263), np.float64(0.0364), np.float64(0.0378), np.float64(0.0391), np.float64(0.0403), np.float64(0.0412), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0407), np.float64(0.0412), np.float64(0.0415), np.float64(0.0403), np.float64(0.0393)]
19
+
20
+ very_weak:
21
+ Overall Metrics:
22
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.2326
23
+ RMSE_std: 0.5104
24
+ R²: 0.9474
25
+ R²_std: 0.0194
26
+ SSIM: 0.8368
27
+ SSIM_std: 0.0398
28
+ RMSE per step: [0.9221, 1.2993, 1.3501, 1.3459, 1.3219, 1.3088, 1.3011, 1.3024, 1.3115, 1.3166, 1.3016, 1.2834]
29
+ RMSE std per step: [0.2096, 0.3144, 0.3587, 0.3791, 0.3849, 0.3854, 0.382, 0.3736, 0.3665, 0.3651, 0.3671, 0.3743]
30
+ R² per step: [0.9728, 0.9467, 0.9422, 0.9425, 0.9444, 0.9454, 0.9459, 0.9457, 0.9449, 0.9446, 0.9458, 0.9475]
31
+ R² std per step: [0.0116, 0.0216, 0.0262, 0.0277, 0.0282, 0.0283, 0.0282, 0.0279, 0.0278, 0.0277, 0.0274, 0.0272]
32
+ SSIM per step: [0.9125, 0.8690, 0.8675, 0.8681, 0.8687, 0.8697, 0.8692, 0.8683, 0.8666, 0.8658, 0.8678, 0.8713]
33
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0278, 0.0340, 0.0346, 0.0353, 0.0356, 0.0354, 0.0355, 0.0354, 0.0352, 0.0348, 0.0341, 0.0328]
34
+
35
+ weak:
36
+ Overall Metrics:
37
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.4685
38
+ RMSE_std: 0.8984
39
+ R²: 0.9488
40
+ R²_std: 0.0198
41
+ SSIM: 0.8368
42
+ SSIM_std: 0.0409
43
+ RMSE per step: [1.0486, 1.5013, 1.5759, 1.5792, 1.5676, 1.5628, 1.5613, 1.5682, 1.5804, 1.5866, 1.5708, 1.5482]
44
+ RMSE std per step: [0.4363, 0.6658, 0.7622, 0.8042, 0.8291, 0.8465, 0.8517, 0.8489, 0.8443, 0.8453, 0.8457, 0.8392]
45
+ R² per step: [0.9753, 0.9499, 0.9452, 0.9453, 0.9463, 0.9468, 0.9470, 0.9464, 0.9454, 0.9450, 0.9462, 0.9477]
46
+ R² std per step: [0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0261, 0.0275, 0.0283, 0.0290, 0.0292, 0.0291, 0.0289, 0.0290, 0.0290, 0.0290]
47
+ SSIM per step: [0.9188, 0.8759, 0.8732, 0.8734, 0.8737, 0.8742, 0.8737, 0.8722, 0.8699, 0.8692, 0.8713, 0.8746]
48
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0232, 0.0299, 0.0320, 0.0331, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0331, 0.0329, 0.0326, 0.0323, 0.0315]
49
+
50
+ moderate:
51
+ Overall Metrics:
52
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.2508
53
+ RMSE_std: 1.3912
54
+ R²: 0.9501
55
+ R²_std: 0.0260
56
+ SSIM: 0.8419
57
+ SSIM_std: 0.0552
58
+ RMSE per step: [2.0112, 2.9587, 3.2800, 3.4056, 3.4600, 3.4906, 3.5039, 3.5092, 3.5186, 3.5338, 3.5283, 3.5109]
59
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5748, 0.8695, 1.0402, 1.1469, 1.2049, 1.2452, 1.2712, 1.2839, 1.2883, 1.2935, 1.303, 1.3086]
60
+ R² per step: [0.9819, 0.9609, 0.9517, 0.9477, 0.9458, 0.9448, 0.9443, 0.9441, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9435, 0.9439]
61
+ R² std per step: [0.0086, 0.0196, 0.0272, 0.0323, 0.0354, 0.0373, 0.0389, 0.0399, 0.0404, 0.0409, 0.0420, 0.0427]
62
+ SSIM per step: [0.9339, 0.8893, 0.8783, 0.8748, 0.8734, 0.8727, 0.8722, 0.8722, 0.8719, 0.8713, 0.8722, 0.8754]
63
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0205, 0.0340, 0.0400, 0.0428, 0.0440, 0.0448, 0.0454, 0.0456, 0.0455, 0.0457, 0.0457, 0.0453]
64
+
65
+ intense:
66
+ Overall Metrics:
67
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.3863
68
+ RMSE_std: 2.1062
69
+ R²: 0.9565
70
+ R²_std: 0.0261
71
+ SSIM: 0.8515
72
+ SSIM_std: 0.0574
73
+ RMSE per step: [2.5343, 3.7303, 4.2410, 4.4753, 4.5942, 4.6744, 4.7257, 4.7558, 4.7877, 4.8162, 4.8221, 4.8524]
74
+ RMSE std per step: [1.0019, 1.4051, 1.6777, 1.8433, 1.9412, 2.0173, 2.0799, 2.1244, 2.1472, 2.1667, 2.1927, 2.2266]
75
+ R² per step: [0.9856, 0.9697, 0.9609, 0.9563, 0.9536, 0.9518, 0.9506, 0.9498, 0.9492, 0.9486, 0.9486, 0.9482]
76
+ R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0171, 0.0236, 0.0279, 0.0318, 0.0347, 0.0371, 0.0389, 0.0398, 0.0403, 0.0407, 0.0404]
77
+ SSIM per step: [0.9456, 0.9065, 0.8924, 0.8875, 0.8857, 0.8846, 0.8841, 0.8843, 0.8842, 0.8841, 0.8848, 0.8866]
78
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0221, 0.0327, 0.0403, 0.0440, 0.0457, 0.0467, 0.0474, 0.0475, 0.0472, 0.0468, 0.0466, 0.0462]
79
+
80
+ Storm Analysis Results:
81
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
82
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
83
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
84
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 8.36 ± 3.32 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.76 ± 0.09 7.84 ± 2.72 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.08
85
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.59 ± 2.98 / 0.93 ± 0.05 / 0.79 ± 0.12 8.14 ± 2.60 / 0.91 ± 0.04 / 0.77 ± 0.08
86
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 6.18 ± 2.62 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.80 ± 0.09 6.14 ± 2.64 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06
87
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.77 ± 1.83 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.08 6.46 ± 1.52 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.78 ± 0.05
88
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 7.44 ± 2.25 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 5.72 ± 1.80 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.02
89
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.49 ± 1.94 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.04 6.28 ± 1.78 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.81 ± 0.01
90
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.81 ± 2.03 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.04 6.16 ± 1.74 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04
91
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.55 ± 2.39 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.07 7.59 ± 2.70 / 0.92 ± 0.01 / 0.74 ± 0.00
92
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.48 ± 1.76 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.77 ± 0.05 4.89 ± 1.79 / 0.92 ± 0.01 / 0.75 ± 0.02
93
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.32 ± 1.58 / 0.89 ± 0.07 / 0.74 ± 0.10 4.60 ± 1.62 / 0.84 ± 0.03 / 0.62 ± 0.04
94
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.78 ± 2.09 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.11 4.52 ± 1.80 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06
95
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.49 ± 1.89 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.06 4.58 ± 1.77 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05
96
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.32 ± 1.51 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.86 ± 0.06 3.54 ± 1.30 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.88 ± 0.04
97
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.67 ± 1.43 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.75 ± 1.53 / 0.90 ± 0.01 / 0.73 ± 0.00
98
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 7.21 ± 1.92 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.06 7.59 ± 1.63 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.76 ± 0.06
99
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.84 ± 1.97 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.09 6.17 ± 1.85 / 0.88 ± 0.02 / 0.75 ± 0.03
100
+
101
+
102
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
103
+
104
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
105
+
106
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
107
+ RMSE : [3.7815, 5.9931, 7.1295, 8.3731, 8.8751, 9.0213, 9.0148, 9.3360, 9.5740, 9.5545, 9.4859, 9.6971]
108
+ RMSE_std : [1.2060, 1.6204, 1.9000, 2.6836, 3.2434, 3.3165, 3.1209, 3.2919, 3.6181, 3.6250, 3.2955, 3.1517]
109
+ R² : [0.9846, 0.9618, 0.9479, 0.9247, 0.9117, 0.9080, 0.9132, 0.9059, 0.8971, 0.8961, 0.9029, 0.8987]
110
+ R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0190, 0.0233, 0.0486, 0.0678, 0.0740, 0.0586, 0.0604, 0.0778, 0.0842, 0.0663, 0.0635]
111
+ SSIM : [0.9414, 0.8838, 0.8547, 0.8354, 0.8326, 0.8318, 0.8318, 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8268, 0.8283, 0.8249]
112
+ SSIM_std : [0.0279, 0.0487, 0.0588, 0.0742, 0.0799, 0.0785, 0.0762, 0.0823, 0.0864, 0.0842, 0.0795, 0.0816]
113
+
114
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
115
+ RMSE : [2.7937, 4.4893, 4.9500, 5.0783, 5.1131, 5.1832, 6.2172, 7.6913, 8.4035, 9.4105, 12.1281, 14.1849]
116
+ RMSE_std : [0.1363, 0.6232, 0.8071, 0.7991, 0.5256, 0.2943, 1.2074, 2.8504, 3.6707, 4.3106, 4.9992, 4.6155]
117
+ R² : [0.9911, 0.9768, 0.9715, 0.9692, 0.9688, 0.9691, 0.9581, 0.9374, 0.9288, 0.9155, 0.8618, 0.7928]
118
+ R²_std : [0.0001, 0.0047, 0.0082, 0.0099, 0.0086, 0.0063, 0.0122, 0.0358, 0.0472, 0.0578, 0.0882, 0.1262]
119
+ SSIM : [0.9658, 0.9337, 0.9251, 0.9187, 0.9184, 0.9221, 0.9019, 0.8772, 0.8667, 0.8348, 0.7707, 0.7171]
120
+ SSIM_std : [0.0003, 0.0073, 0.0057, 0.0101, 0.0121, 0.0098, 0.0195, 0.0532, 0.0707, 0.0965, 0.1196, 0.1202]
121
+
122
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
123
+
124
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
125
+ RMSE : [4.4680, 6.2494, 7.1279, 7.4542, 7.6473, 7.7793, 8.0338, 8.1035, 8.1144, 8.0923, 8.4277, 8.7770]
126
+ RMSE_std : [1.5856, 1.8847, 2.4578, 2.5760, 2.6483, 3.0079, 3.3929, 3.2852, 3.2007, 3.4735, 3.6436, 3.2972]
127
+ R² : [0.9742, 0.9523, 0.9384, 0.9306, 0.9231, 0.9208, 0.9171, 0.9142, 0.9100, 0.9109, 0.9071, 0.9008]
128
+ R²_std : [0.0181, 0.0276, 0.0392, 0.0503, 0.0650, 0.0677, 0.0718, 0.0758, 0.0863, 0.0857, 0.0826, 0.0775]
129
+ SSIM : [0.9212, 0.8692, 0.8458, 0.8397, 0.8363, 0.8358, 0.8294, 0.8304, 0.8322, 0.8354, 0.8297, 0.8297]
130
+ SSIM_std : [0.0363, 0.0505, 0.0709, 0.0775, 0.0774, 0.0781, 0.0903, 0.0916, 0.0866, 0.0842, 0.0906, 0.0881]
131
+
132
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
133
+ RMSE : [3.0376, 4.2653, 4.9517, 4.9083, 4.9599, 5.7932, 6.6290, 7.7437, 8.7988, 11.3358, 12.5958, 13.7401]
134
+ RMSE_std : [0.3133, 0.0429, 0.0988, 0.0832, 0.0568, 0.4833, 0.9938, 2.3961, 3.9526, 5.0510, 4.7031, 3.9191]
135
+ R² : [0.9877, 0.9764, 0.9683, 0.9682, 0.9684, 0.9585, 0.9457, 0.9175, 0.8968, 0.8519, 0.7998, 0.7321]
136
+ R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0006, 0.0004, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0109, 0.0416, 0.0724, 0.1013, 0.1303, 0.1515]
137
+ SSIM : [0.9468, 0.9133, 0.9090, 0.9060, 0.8891, 0.8598, 0.8473, 0.8123, 0.8009, 0.7301, 0.7056, 0.6786]
138
+ SSIM_std : [0.0061, 0.0123, 0.0113, 0.0123, 0.0171, 0.0252, 0.0326, 0.0672, 0.0753, 0.1063, 0.1059, 0.0726]
139
+
140
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
+
142
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
+ RMSE : [3.0624, 4.8103, 5.6163, 6.2549, 6.4873, 6.5863, 6.6783, 6.8915, 7.0495, 7.0334, 7.0044, 7.0864]
144
+ RMSE_std : [0.7348, 1.2605, 1.3627, 1.8074, 2.2840, 2.4268, 2.3820, 2.4024, 2.7114, 2.8752, 2.8485, 2.7675]
145
+ R² : [0.9870, 0.9675, 0.9560, 0.9427, 0.9362, 0.9338, 0.9321, 0.9265, 0.9220, 0.9215, 0.9222, 0.9197]
146
+ R²_std : [0.0063, 0.0167, 0.0218, 0.0346, 0.0483, 0.0534, 0.0545, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0701, 0.0715, 0.0719]
147
+ SSIM : [0.9496, 0.8987, 0.8752, 0.8639, 0.8571, 0.8544, 0.8499, 0.8514, 0.8479, 0.8476, 0.8457, 0.8499]
148
+ SSIM_std : [0.0230, 0.0452, 0.0528, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0762, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.0817, 0.0816, 0.0795, 0.0796]
149
+
150
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
+ RMSE : [2.3230, 3.5535, 4.7630, 4.1350, 3.9963, 4.4763, 5.8008, 7.0295, 7.4414, 7.6968, 9.1711, 11.1690]
152
+ RMSE_std : [0.1726, 0.1724, 0.9032, 0.3410, 0.0952, 0.6565, 1.7893, 3.0780, 3.2074, 2.5847, 1.7521, 1.2506]
153
+ R² : [0.9927, 0.9830, 0.9689, 0.9760, 0.9767, 0.9706, 0.9518, 0.9328, 0.9272, 0.9273, 0.8933, 0.8424]
154
+ R²_std : [0.0016, 0.0003, 0.0096, 0.0028, 0.0014, 0.0080, 0.0249, 0.0441, 0.0463, 0.0356, 0.0369, 0.0504]
155
+ SSIM : [0.9692, 0.9411, 0.9163, 0.9259, 0.9245, 0.9141, 0.8836, 0.8450, 0.8455, 0.8331, 0.7954, 0.7421]
156
+ SSIM_std : [0.0023, 0.0012, 0.0122, 0.0026, 0.0031, 0.0199, 0.0440, 0.0833, 0.0763, 0.0659, 0.0500, 0.0323]
157
+
158
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
+
160
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
+ RMSE : [2.9503, 4.4374, 5.4239, 6.0420, 5.9676, 6.0508, 6.2486, 6.4004, 6.2088, 6.1737, 6.2673, 6.4280]
162
+ RMSE_std : [0.6320, 0.9341, 1.5939, 1.8058, 1.9526, 1.8035, 1.8056, 1.9315, 2.0275, 1.9054, 1.8716, 1.9195]
163
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9665, 0.9495, 0.9350, 0.9335, 0.9331, 0.9307, 0.9260, 0.9277, 0.9300, 0.9304, 0.9256]
164
+ R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0148, 0.0289, 0.0369, 0.0426, 0.0400, 0.0393, 0.0415, 0.0439, 0.0421, 0.0392, 0.0409]
165
+ SSIM : [0.9405, 0.8914, 0.8631, 0.8539, 0.8587, 0.8572, 0.8485, 0.8514, 0.8590, 0.8591, 0.8520, 0.8541]
166
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0331, 0.0508, 0.0578, 0.0592, 0.0510, 0.0560, 0.0603, 0.0623, 0.0539, 0.0576, 0.0598]
167
+
168
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
+ RMSE : [2.6068, 4.2932, 4.7344, 4.5997, 4.5947, 5.7016, 6.7829, 6.7394, 6.8348, 7.8732, 9.5568, 9.8892]
170
+ RMSE_std : [0.1994, 0.7452, 0.2769, 0.2365, 0.1148, 0.1344, 1.6167, 1.8846, 1.8362, 1.8772, 1.1202, 1.2309]
171
+ R² : [0.9895, 0.9710, 0.9654, 0.9657, 0.9660, 0.9491, 0.9264, 0.9241, 0.9249, 0.9062, 0.8668, 0.8517]
172
+ R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0084, 0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0050, 0.0052, 0.0319, 0.0348, 0.0312, 0.0346, 0.0268, 0.0366]
173
+ SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9078, 0.8985, 0.9008, 0.8949, 0.8550, 0.8309, 0.8300, 0.8222, 0.7778, 0.7421, 0.7449]
174
+ SSIM_std : [0.0018, 0.0070, 0.0043, 0.0085, 0.0181, 0.0350, 0.0673, 0.0686, 0.0451, 0.0375, 0.0194, 0.0114]
175
+
176
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
+
178
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
+ RMSE : [4.6108, 6.2979, 6.9999, 7.4193, 7.6848, 7.8338, 7.7922, 7.8161, 7.9615, 8.0811, 8.2005, 8.5040]
180
+ RMSE_std : [1.8082, 1.5303, 1.6913, 1.7743, 2.0054, 1.9625, 2.1226, 2.1150, 2.3455, 2.2279, 2.3225, 2.2990]
181
+ R² : [0.9743, 0.9564, 0.9471, 0.9417, 0.9348, 0.9335, 0.9348, 0.9356, 0.9297, 0.9288, 0.9275, 0.9236]
182
+ R²_std : [0.0213, 0.0198, 0.0218, 0.0235, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0291, 0.0287, 0.0363, 0.0353, 0.0359, 0.0367]
183
+ SSIM : [0.9245, 0.8806, 0.8638, 0.8589, 0.8585, 0.8521, 0.8514, 0.8514, 0.8560, 0.8526, 0.8475, 0.8449]
184
+ SSIM_std : [0.0394, 0.0428, 0.0507, 0.0508, 0.0518, 0.0526, 0.0540, 0.0513, 0.0531, 0.0555, 0.0584, 0.0580]
185
+
186
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
+ RMSE : [3.6336, 4.4393, 5.1495, 5.1800, 5.1489, 5.0027, 4.8217, 4.8180, 6.5505, 7.6922, 7.7410, 7.4751]
188
+ RMSE_std : [0.2320, 0.0133, 0.3181, 0.1289, 0.0279, 0.2220, 0.4166, 0.3667, 1.2968, 2.9126, 3.2972, 2.7542]
189
+ R² : [0.9866, 0.9802, 0.9735, 0.9726, 0.9732, 0.9746, 0.9765, 0.9767, 0.9592, 0.9438, 0.9411, 0.9399]
190
+ R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0008, 0.0026, 0.0014, 0.0009, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0040, 0.0136, 0.0336, 0.0397, 0.0383]
191
+ SSIM : [0.9412, 0.9123, 0.8960, 0.9001, 0.9072, 0.9040, 0.9125, 0.9149, 0.8639, 0.8291, 0.8322, 0.8315]
192
+ SSIM_std : [0.0089, 0.0023, 0.0102, 0.0097, 0.0147, 0.0116, 0.0047, 0.0011, 0.0616, 0.0887, 0.0931, 0.0881]
193
+
194
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
+
196
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
+ RMSE : [3.9630, 5.6647, 6.4070, 6.7611, 6.7791, 6.7882, 6.9771, 7.0686, 6.9733, 6.9559, 7.1735, 7.3091]
198
+ RMSE_std : [1.0670, 1.0441, 1.1497, 1.2566, 1.4203, 1.4576, 1.4229, 1.4403, 1.6522, 1.6853, 1.5857, 1.5091]
199
+ R² : [0.9821, 0.9641, 0.9542, 0.9498, 0.9485, 0.9476, 0.9445, 0.9440, 0.9442, 0.9436, 0.9399, 0.9391]
200
+ R²_std : [0.0102, 0.0152, 0.0176, 0.0205, 0.0255, 0.0260, 0.0236, 0.0233, 0.0293, 0.0307, 0.0287, 0.0269]
201
+ SSIM : [0.9347, 0.8883, 0.8676, 0.8620, 0.8715, 0.8666, 0.8620, 0.8629, 0.8716, 0.8656, 0.8605, 0.8608]
202
+ SSIM_std : [0.0206, 0.0234, 0.0289, 0.0346, 0.0388, 0.0352, 0.0325, 0.0364, 0.0403, 0.0375, 0.0340, 0.0355]
203
+
204
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
+ RMSE : [3.1111, 6.2308, 7.3326, 7.0403, 6.6782, 7.1692, 7.5740, 6.7268, 6.1064, 6.2303, 6.3212, 6.2406]
206
+ RMSE_std : [0.1859, 0.1830, 0.5306, 0.1896, 0.1781, 0.8293, 1.2150, 1.1834, 0.3249, 0.4494, 0.4021, 0.7697]
207
+ R² : [0.9905, 0.9634, 0.9497, 0.9531, 0.9556, 0.9487, 0.9445, 0.9554, 0.9612, 0.9591, 0.9595, 0.9602]
208
+ R²_std : [0.0009, 0.0002, 0.0035, 0.0002, 0.0003, 0.0052, 0.0118, 0.0119, 0.0044, 0.0025, 0.0027, 0.0079]
209
+ SSIM : [0.9457, 0.8700, 0.8458, 0.8628, 0.8582, 0.8406, 0.8344, 0.8779, 0.8808, 0.8721, 0.8614, 0.8620]
210
+ SSIM_std : [0.0135, 0.0275, 0.0308, 0.0007, 0.0096, 0.0262, 0.0347, 0.0247, 0.0147, 0.0047, 0.0161, 0.0401]
211
+
212
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
+
214
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
+ RMSE : [3.5133, 5.6352, 6.6016, 6.7845, 7.0749, 7.2883, 7.4762, 7.2702, 7.3783, 7.5582, 7.6956, 7.5267]
216
+ RMSE_std : [0.5421, 1.0832, 1.4802, 1.5169, 1.5642, 1.6488, 1.8116, 1.8182, 1.7456, 1.8855, 2.1253, 2.1493]
217
+ R² : [0.9864, 0.9653, 0.9504, 0.9481, 0.9442, 0.9412, 0.9358, 0.9395, 0.9387, 0.9358, 0.9309, 0.9340]
218
+ R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0125, 0.0201, 0.0221, 0.0249, 0.0256, 0.0280, 0.0281, 0.0283, 0.0311, 0.0364, 0.0368]
219
+ SSIM : [0.9441, 0.8890, 0.8681, 0.8632, 0.8607, 0.8600, 0.8588, 0.8590, 0.8583, 0.8560, 0.8569, 0.8600]
220
+ SSIM_std : [0.0142, 0.0354, 0.0369, 0.0410, 0.0469, 0.0474, 0.0420, 0.0455, 0.0480, 0.0480, 0.0429, 0.0457]
221
+
222
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
+ RMSE : [3.5585, 4.2784, 4.7486, 5.0091, 5.0876, 5.5160, 5.4388, 5.9842, 7.1495, 8.3880, 8.2931, 8.9842]
224
+ RMSE_std : [0.2364, 0.0323, 0.0599, 0.2856, 0.1101, 0.4731, 0.2834, 0.9755, 1.8926, 2.2257, 2.4656, 2.2078]
225
+ R² : [0.9859, 0.9795, 0.9752, 0.9731, 0.9714, 0.9650, 0.9669, 0.9622, 0.9493, 0.9317, 0.9302, 0.9205]
226
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0010, 0.0011, 0.0027, 0.0009, 0.0055, 0.0034, 0.0106, 0.0206, 0.0254, 0.0320, 0.0336]
227
+ SSIM : [0.9443, 0.9229, 0.9117, 0.9148, 0.9030, 0.8844, 0.8755, 0.8744, 0.8495, 0.8269, 0.8100, 0.7951]
228
+ SSIM_std : [0.0039, 0.0016, 0.0076, 0.0018, 0.0037, 0.0144, 0.0193, 0.0413, 0.0499, 0.0437, 0.0480, 0.0460]
229
+
230
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
+
232
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
+ RMSE : [2.6357, 4.2345, 4.9130, 5.4736, 5.6506, 6.0246, 6.1187, 6.2725, 6.3560, 6.6323, 6.6216, 6.7539]
234
+ RMSE_std : [0.5341, 1.1424, 1.4007, 1.7312, 1.9115, 2.0177, 2.0191, 2.1006, 2.1273, 2.1330, 2.1094, 2.1282]
235
+ R² : [0.9885, 0.9706, 0.9601, 0.9505, 0.9468, 0.9401, 0.9383, 0.9353, 0.9337, 0.9290, 0.9293, 0.9269]
236
+ R²_std : [0.0034, 0.0119, 0.0181, 0.0245, 0.0282, 0.0318, 0.0331, 0.0346, 0.0351, 0.0363, 0.0374, 0.0384]
237
+ SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9075, 0.8847, 0.8790, 0.8713, 0.8621, 0.8597, 0.8636, 0.8584, 0.8515, 0.8493, 0.8551]
238
+ SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0331, 0.0409, 0.0498, 0.0562, 0.0574, 0.0570, 0.0601, 0.0629, 0.0610, 0.0584, 0.0596]
239
+
240
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
+ RMSE : [2.8482, 4.4049, 5.9952, 6.9793, 8.0048, 8.3529, 8.6313, 8.7456, 8.9088, 9.3983, 10.0243, 10.4319]
242
+ RMSE_std : [0.7182, 0.5551, 1.3402, 1.0268, 0.2504, 0.2462, 0.3138, 0.1932, 0.0423, 0.2472, 0.5583, 0.8688]
243
+ R² : [0.9887, 0.9740, 0.9519, 0.9376, 0.9224, 0.9147, 0.9059, 0.9013, 0.8952, 0.8778, 0.8604, 0.8474]
244
+ R²_std : [0.0042, 0.0032, 0.0157, 0.0139, 0.0045, 0.0074, 0.0121, 0.0117, 0.0101, 0.0172, 0.0207, 0.0262]
245
+ SSIM : [0.9502, 0.9000, 0.8718, 0.8387, 0.8151, 0.7936, 0.7872, 0.7838, 0.7799, 0.7560, 0.7319, 0.7195]
246
+ SSIM_std : [0.0198, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0094, 0.0018, 0.0177, 0.0395, 0.0376, 0.0225, 0.0113, 0.0077, 0.0150]
247
+
248
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
+
250
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
+ RMSE : [2.9305, 4.1035, 4.6314, 4.9504, 5.0055, 4.9608, 4.9402, 4.9694, 4.9185, 4.8624, 4.8129, 4.8855]
252
+ RMSE_std : [0.5137, 0.6922, 0.8345, 1.1904, 1.2414, 1.0754, 1.0018, 1.2129, 1.2822, 1.0859, 0.9609, 1.1631]
253
+ R² : [0.9712, 0.9418, 0.9279, 0.9172, 0.9143, 0.9153, 0.9184, 0.9169, 0.9170, 0.9174, 0.9210, 0.9192]
254
+ R²_std : [0.0085, 0.0181, 0.0232, 0.0386, 0.0405, 0.0320, 0.0286, 0.0394, 0.0410, 0.0334, 0.0307, 0.0387]
255
+ SSIM : [0.9077, 0.8376, 0.8231, 0.8154, 0.8172, 0.8087, 0.8157, 0.8151, 0.8200, 0.8108, 0.8203, 0.8232]
256
+ SSIM_std : [0.0200, 0.0430, 0.0324, 0.0418, 0.0434, 0.0543, 0.0338, 0.0378, 0.0470, 0.0600, 0.0359, 0.0351]
257
+
258
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
+ RMSE : [2.7913, 4.4832, 5.4421, 5.1120, 5.3647, 5.6761, 5.1594, 4.7661, 4.6843, 5.7221, 5.7194, 6.3315]
260
+ RMSE_std : [0.3599, 0.0682, 0.3077, 0.0036, 0.0606, 0.5448, 0.0102, 0.2477, 0.0258, 0.2006, 0.8713, 1.5567]
261
+ R² : [0.9676, 0.9231, 0.8996, 0.9044, 0.8963, 0.8991, 0.9212, 0.9319, 0.9378, 0.9177, 0.9132, 0.8972]
262
+ R²_std : [0.0118, 0.0085, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0272, 0.0077, 0.0053, 0.0033, 0.0032, 0.0022, 0.0222, 0.0381]
263
+ SSIM : [0.8824, 0.7985, 0.7992, 0.7823, 0.7706, 0.7886, 0.8161, 0.8316, 0.8325, 0.8261, 0.7963, 0.8117]
264
+ SSIM_std : [0.0287, 0.0029, 0.0170, 0.0408, 0.0817, 0.0333, 0.0015, 0.0044, 0.0310, 0.0085, 0.0369, 0.0463]
265
+
266
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
+
268
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
+ RMSE : [1.8379, 2.7720, 3.2127, 3.4333, 3.5298, 3.6048, 3.6415, 3.6856, 3.7088, 3.7444, 3.7422, 3.7200]
270
+ RMSE_std : [0.4207, 0.6655, 1.0234, 1.2337, 1.4431, 1.3559, 1.3776, 1.5492, 1.6369, 1.4598, 1.4567, 1.5920]
271
+ R² : [0.9709, 0.9294, 0.9017, 0.8866, 0.8798, 0.8714, 0.8651, 0.8605, 0.8620, 0.8578, 0.8539, 0.8548]
272
+ R²_std : [0.0135, 0.0380, 0.0604, 0.0776, 0.0922, 0.0962, 0.1068, 0.1232, 0.1215, 0.1145, 0.1240, 0.1345]
273
+ SSIM : [0.9082, 0.8372, 0.8108, 0.8037, 0.8046, 0.7951, 0.7935, 0.7933, 0.7973, 0.7905, 0.7921, 0.7947]
274
+ SSIM_std : [0.0258, 0.0608, 0.0702, 0.0820, 0.0901, 0.0937, 0.0865, 0.0931, 0.0969, 0.0956, 0.0874, 0.0899]
275
+
276
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
+ RMSE : [1.6619, 2.7866, 3.0078, 3.0040, 3.6827, 5.0912, 5.6977, 6.0358, 5.5168, 5.3259, 5.8434, 6.4567]
278
+ RMSE_std : [0.5288, 1.3087, 1.4555, 1.1940, 0.5520, 0.4616, 0.9793, 1.8050, 1.3790, 0.0300, 0.5132, 1.1222]
279
+ R² : [0.9762, 0.9336, 0.9203, 0.9249, 0.8970, 0.8259, 0.7945, 0.7833, 0.7887, 0.7843, 0.7535, 0.7238]
280
+ R²_std : [0.0119, 0.0457, 0.0587, 0.0493, 0.0302, 0.0310, 0.0509, 0.0903, 0.0841, 0.0292, 0.0141, 0.0106]
281
+ SSIM : [0.9140, 0.8475, 0.8248, 0.8315, 0.7961, 0.7552, 0.7242, 0.7144, 0.7098, 0.6957, 0.6680, 0.6453]
282
+ SSIM_std : [0.0310, 0.0542, 0.0631, 0.0667, 0.0277, 0.0091, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0599, 0.0605, 0.0397, 0.0281]
283
+
284
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
+
286
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
+ RMSE : [2.8128, 4.1777, 4.6310, 4.9627, 5.1031, 5.1231, 5.1830, 5.3179, 5.3314, 5.3040, 5.2455, 5.2153]
288
+ RMSE_std : [0.6519, 1.1666, 1.3264, 1.6292, 1.7566, 1.8826, 1.8704, 2.0001, 1.9695, 2.0014, 1.9615, 2.0381]
289
+ R² : [0.9770, 0.9472, 0.9327, 0.9240, 0.9203, 0.9164, 0.9117, 0.9099, 0.9120, 0.9100, 0.9085, 0.9121]
290
+ R²_std : [0.0091, 0.0277, 0.0359, 0.0440, 0.0469, 0.0574, 0.0630, 0.0629, 0.0568, 0.0643, 0.0673, 0.0617]
291
+ SSIM : [0.9280, 0.8764, 0.8567, 0.8467, 0.8454, 0.8489, 0.8427, 0.8409, 0.8425, 0.8473, 0.8441, 0.8455]
292
+ SSIM_std : [0.0187, 0.0448, 0.0549, 0.0675, 0.0653, 0.0707, 0.0714, 0.0781, 0.0703, 0.0736, 0.0734, 0.0748]
293
+
294
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
+ RMSE : [2.4642, 3.0487, 3.5805, 3.7542, 3.8316, 4.0032, 4.2231, 4.4829, 4.8037, 5.6943, 6.7674, 7.5242]
296
+ RMSE_std : [0.4359, 0.2346, 0.0138, 0.0091, 0.3150, 0.7141, 0.6939, 0.6617, 0.8583, 1.1700, 2.1083, 2.6014]
297
+ R² : [0.9806, 0.9701, 0.9597, 0.9553, 0.9548, 0.9511, 0.9489, 0.9407, 0.9352, 0.9149, 0.8869, 0.8541]
298
+ R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0052, 0.0020, 0.0003, 0.0073, 0.0152, 0.0136, 0.0129, 0.0173, 0.0262, 0.0551, 0.0798]
299
+ SSIM : [0.9381, 0.9113, 0.8984, 0.8941, 0.8974, 0.8747, 0.8710, 0.8498, 0.8396, 0.7942, 0.7627, 0.7443]
300
+ SSIM_std : [0.0149, 0.0074, 0.0054, 0.0128, 0.0144, 0.0368, 0.0413, 0.0359, 0.0486, 0.0413, 0.0668, 0.0714]
301
+
302
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
+
304
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
+ RMSE : [2.5455, 4.0965, 4.6476, 4.7984, 4.9358, 5.1202, 5.1402, 5.0466, 4.9736, 4.9945, 4.9049, 4.7564]
306
+ RMSE_std : [0.4820, 0.8010, 1.2356, 1.3077, 1.3271, 1.3554, 1.4677, 1.2441, 1.2260, 1.2575, 1.3899, 1.2230]
307
+ R² : [0.9807, 0.9497, 0.9325, 0.9284, 0.9245, 0.9182, 0.9152, 0.9210, 0.9240, 0.9229, 0.9227, 0.9295]
308
+ R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0157, 0.0351, 0.0393, 0.0370, 0.0372, 0.0458, 0.0404, 0.0357, 0.0347, 0.0442, 0.0395]
309
+ SSIM : [0.9280, 0.8659, 0.8518, 0.8464, 0.8390, 0.8339, 0.8398, 0.8424, 0.8375, 0.8353, 0.8445, 0.8515]
310
+ SSIM_std : [0.0219, 0.0402, 0.0457, 0.0432, 0.0504, 0.0549, 0.0552, 0.0470, 0.0513, 0.0548, 0.0545, 0.0458]
311
+
312
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
+ RMSE : [2.7088, 3.7203, 3.8839, 3.7866, 4.2519, 4.2568, 4.5640, 4.8405, 5.6065, 5.6401, 5.8618, 6.4557]
314
+ RMSE_std : [0.1029, 0.1928, 0.1968, 0.4601, 0.0669, 0.1555, 0.4561, 1.8082, 2.1983, 2.3242, 1.8875, 0.8885]
315
+ R² : [0.9774, 0.9586, 0.9557, 0.9574, 0.9500, 0.9495, 0.9403, 0.9278, 0.9105, 0.9129, 0.9137, 0.8987]
316
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0025, 0.0060, 0.0095, 0.0061, 0.0078, 0.0121, 0.0446, 0.0546, 0.0542, 0.0413, 0.0194]
317
+ SSIM : [0.9395, 0.8979, 0.8917, 0.9041, 0.8894, 0.8942, 0.8657, 0.8222, 0.7973, 0.8154, 0.7990, 0.7593]
318
+ SSIM_std : [0.0164, 0.0161, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0083, 0.0073, 0.0283, 0.0907, 0.0987, 0.0915, 0.0533, 0.0055]
319
+
320
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
+
322
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
+ RMSE : [2.7874, 3.7761, 4.2857, 4.5914, 4.6012, 4.5161, 4.6434, 4.7138, 4.6358, 4.5210, 4.6831, 4.7948]
324
+ RMSE_std : [1.0426, 1.0255, 1.1701, 1.2792, 1.2314, 1.2683, 1.3638, 1.3615, 1.2336, 1.2072, 1.2414, 1.2408]
325
+ R² : [0.9831, 0.9710, 0.9630, 0.9577, 0.9573, 0.9577, 0.9553, 0.9545, 0.9562, 0.9573, 0.9545, 0.9531]
326
+ R²_std : [0.0125, 0.0151, 0.0186, 0.0214, 0.0208, 0.0234, 0.0246, 0.0242, 0.0219, 0.0242, 0.0244, 0.0226]
327
+ SSIM : [0.9484, 0.9204, 0.9010, 0.8906, 0.8981, 0.8996, 0.8934, 0.8913, 0.9006, 0.9031, 0.8966, 0.8937]
328
+ SSIM_std : [0.0235, 0.0259, 0.0361, 0.0394, 0.0401, 0.0430, 0.0442, 0.0423, 0.0410, 0.0430, 0.0433, 0.0403]
329
+
330
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
+ RMSE : [2.0503, 2.6753, 2.8020, 2.7835, 2.5910, 2.8857, 3.1765, 3.2200, 3.6830, 4.9705, 5.5025, 5.2617]
332
+ RMSE_std : [0.3967, 0.2244, 0.0084, 0.0266, 0.0265, 0.1316, 0.2227, 0.3269, 0.9755, 1.8297, 2.0170, 1.7546]
333
+ R² : [0.9907, 0.9846, 0.9835, 0.9837, 0.9856, 0.9819, 0.9786, 0.9782, 0.9723, 0.9523, 0.9418, 0.9423]
334
+ R²_std : [0.0034, 0.0020, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.0005, 0.0012, 0.0027, 0.0042, 0.0122, 0.0267, 0.0329, 0.0323]
335
+ SSIM : [0.9680, 0.9443, 0.9367, 0.9399, 0.9420, 0.9415, 0.9288, 0.9321, 0.9129, 0.8799, 0.8517, 0.8623]
336
+ SSIM_std : [0.0041, 0.0079, 0.0040, 0.0010, 0.0010, 0.0055, 0.0114, 0.0057, 0.0251, 0.0559, 0.0666, 0.0667]
337
+
338
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
+
340
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
+ RMSE : [2.3047, 3.2594, 3.7030, 3.9730, 3.8825, 3.8067, 3.8822, 4.0194, 3.9844, 3.9834, 4.0729, 4.1588]
342
+ RMSE_std : [0.4915, 0.7997, 1.2150, 1.2267, 1.1051, 1.1410, 1.2496, 1.1960, 1.0239, 1.0399, 1.1426, 1.0879]
343
+ R² : [0.9764, 0.9529, 0.9394, 0.9308, 0.9324, 0.9349, 0.9339, 0.9297, 0.9297, 0.9296, 0.9281, 0.9256]
344
+ R²_std : [0.0084, 0.0172, 0.0297, 0.0330, 0.0331, 0.0334, 0.0350, 0.0348, 0.0325, 0.0324, 0.0334, 0.0331]
345
+ SSIM : [0.9243, 0.8706, 0.8511, 0.8472, 0.8509, 0.8510, 0.8446, 0.8467, 0.8509, 0.8474, 0.8413, 0.8456]
346
+ SSIM_std : [0.0185, 0.0316, 0.0453, 0.0495, 0.0464, 0.0489, 0.0517, 0.0543, 0.0509, 0.0495, 0.0508, 0.0546]
347
+
348
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
+ RMSE : [2.3246, 3.5970, 4.8658, 5.4492, 4.6200, 4.2175, 5.0275, 4.8632, 5.2000, 5.7276, 6.2959, 5.8485]
350
+ RMSE_std : [0.1218, 0.1633, 0.0786, 0.5660, 0.1727, 1.0259, 1.1898, 0.5517, 0.9607, 0.7919, 0.3855, 0.2815]
351
+ R² : [0.9755, 0.9397, 0.8934, 0.8774, 0.9139, 0.9308, 0.9069, 0.9087, 0.9011, 0.8879, 0.8691, 0.8685]
352
+ R²_std : [0.0016, 0.0015, 0.0051, 0.0187, 0.0141, 0.0183, 0.0214, 0.0103, 0.0335, 0.0346, 0.0274, 0.0240]
353
+ SSIM : [0.9084, 0.8340, 0.7903, 0.7742, 0.8023, 0.7949, 0.7990, 0.8133, 0.8073, 0.7672, 0.7574, 0.7695]
354
+ SSIM_std : [0.0119, 0.0312, 0.0096, 0.0276, 0.0504, 0.0075, 0.0080, 0.0084, 0.0546, 0.0461, 0.0443, 0.0340]
355
+
356
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
+
358
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
+ RMSE : [3.4719, 5.7387, 6.9807, 7.4507, 7.6302, 7.7532, 7.9902, 7.9542, 7.8625, 7.8229, 7.8326, 7.7733]
360
+ RMSE_std : [0.3904, 0.8910, 1.0605, 1.1958, 1.4724, 1.6586, 1.8161, 2.0213, 1.9661, 1.9038, 1.7598, 1.6758]
361
+ R² : [0.9873, 0.9649, 0.9468, 0.9400, 0.9367, 0.9341, 0.9280, 0.9288, 0.9309, 0.9318, 0.9312, 0.9335]
362
+ R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0110, 0.0162, 0.0197, 0.0248, 0.0283, 0.0319, 0.0345, 0.0327, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0255]
363
+ SSIM : [0.9445, 0.8799, 0.8492, 0.8427, 0.8436, 0.8427, 0.8390, 0.8430, 0.8474, 0.8476, 0.8469, 0.8511]
364
+ SSIM_std : [0.0139, 0.0356, 0.0426, 0.0511, 0.0539, 0.0522, 0.0549, 0.0572, 0.0528, 0.0521, 0.0512, 0.0447]
365
+
366
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
+ RMSE : [3.0373, 4.9878, 5.7432, 6.2173, 6.2691, 6.6377, 7.1091, 8.2329, 9.0677, 9.8474, 10.2086, 10.3471]
368
+ RMSE_std : [0.4356, 0.5509, 0.3161, 0.2058, 0.7536, 1.1866, 1.6452, 1.9222, 2.1757, 2.3283, 2.1292, 1.3979]
369
+ R² : [0.9896, 0.9724, 0.9640, 0.9580, 0.9576, 0.9527, 0.9440, 0.9242, 0.9090, 0.8964, 0.8916, 0.8927]
370
+ R²_std : [0.0031, 0.0064, 0.0048, 0.0028, 0.0096, 0.0153, 0.0244, 0.0326, 0.0410, 0.0458, 0.0398, 0.0231]
371
+ SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9052, 0.9040, 0.8949, 0.8727, 0.8484, 0.8301, 0.8108, 0.7886, 0.7701, 0.7633, 0.7700]
372
+ SSIM_std : [0.0096, 0.0089, 0.0039, 0.0222, 0.0494, 0.0599, 0.0710, 0.0605, 0.0347, 0.0218, 0.0037, 0.0043]
373
+
374
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
+
376
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
+ RMSE : [2.5822, 3.9679, 4.5641, 4.8781, 5.0147, 5.1055, 5.1170, 5.2008, 5.2433, 5.3085, 5.3081, 5.4483]
378
+ RMSE_std : [0.7720, 1.3531, 1.6656, 1.9063, 2.0628, 2.1168, 2.0332, 2.0395, 2.1028, 2.1178, 2.0608, 1.9834]
379
+ R² : [0.9767, 0.9445, 0.9271, 0.9152, 0.9091, 0.9060, 0.9083, 0.9054, 0.9029, 0.9012, 0.9039, 0.8997]
380
+ R²_std : [0.0120, 0.0304, 0.0414, 0.0579, 0.0660, 0.0643, 0.0572, 0.0652, 0.0683, 0.0654, 0.0584, 0.0611]
381
+ SSIM : [0.9263, 0.8625, 0.8307, 0.8274, 0.8347, 0.8269, 0.8119, 0.8156, 0.8287, 0.8226, 0.8102, 0.8169]
382
+ SSIM_std : [0.0190, 0.0444, 0.0614, 0.0736, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0686, 0.0728, 0.0705, 0.0691, 0.0679, 0.0732]
383
+
384
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
+ RMSE : [2.7909, 4.4063, 5.0012, 5.1146, 5.2961, 5.2798, 5.6197, 6.6476, 7.2556, 7.8279, 8.3917, 9.1710]
386
+ RMSE_std : [0.4392, 0.2536, 0.6559, 0.5566, 0.0108, 0.3086, 0.5078, 1.6760, 1.7451, 2.8185, 2.1410, 0.3188]
387
+ R² : [0.9699, 0.9260, 0.9035, 0.9030, 0.9034, 0.9064, 0.9058, 0.8817, 0.8682, 0.8535, 0.8327, 0.7996]
388
+ R²_std : [0.0087, 0.0135, 0.0359, 0.0323, 0.0118, 0.0159, 0.0104, 0.0413, 0.0404, 0.0676, 0.0585, 0.0199]
389
+ SSIM : [0.9107, 0.8131, 0.8146, 0.8201, 0.8067, 0.8050, 0.8206, 0.8078, 0.7817, 0.7660, 0.7381, 0.7301]
390
+ SSIM_std : [0.0002, 0.0449, 0.0654, 0.0349, 0.0030, 0.0010, 0.0271, 0.0270, 0.0168, 0.0330, 0.0512, 0.0479]
training_sessions/SimVPv2/SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_best_checkpoint_20250320_1401.pth ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
 
 
 
 
1
+ version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
2
+ oid sha256:d14a90b07246eeb39ee61399cc3662a118e99e8d6c86f1c6015cf54bc9eeb52b
3
+ size 59848610
training_sessions/SimVPv2/SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_lr8e-05_bs128_20250320_1401.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Session: SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures
2
+ Start Time: 2025-03-20 14:01
3
+ Hyperparameters:
4
+ sessionName: SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures
5
+ inputNames: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+ lr: 8e-05
7
+ lrEnd: 5e-06
8
+ batchSize: 128
9
+ numEpochs: 50
10
+ resumeEpoch: 0
11
+ earlyStop: 10
12
+ criterion: MSELoss()
13
+ optimizer: Adam (
14
+ Parameter Group 0
15
+ amsgrad: False
16
+ betas: (0.9, 0.999)
17
+ capturable: False
18
+ differentiable: False
19
+ eps: 1e-08
20
+ foreach: None
21
+ fused: None
22
+ lr: 8e-05
23
+ maximize: False
24
+ weight_decay: 0
25
+ )
26
+ scheduler: <torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau object at 0x7f30413be950>
27
+
28
+ Epoch | Train Loss | Val Loss | LR | Early Stop Count | Timestamp
29
+ -------------------------------------------------------------
30
+ 1 | 4.428e-03 | 1.075e-03 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 14:09
31
+ 2 | 7.564e-04 | 6.863e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 14:16
32
+ 3 | 5.403e-04 | 5.105e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 14:24
33
+ 4 | 4.544e-04 | 4.943e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 14:31
34
+ 5 | 3.902e-04 | 5.056e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 14:39
35
+ 6 | 3.441e-04 | 3.562e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 14:46
36
+ 7 | 3.129e-04 | 3.983e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 14:54
37
+ 8 | 2.959e-04 | 3.153e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 15:01
38
+ 9 | 2.808e-04 | 3.180e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 15:09
39
+ 10 | 2.608e-04 | 3.007e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 15:16
40
+ 11 | 2.521e-04 | 2.641e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 15:24
41
+ 12 | 2.386e-04 | 2.708e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 15:31
42
+ 13 | 2.348e-04 | 2.637e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 15:39
43
+ 14 | 2.235e-04 | 2.385e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 15:46
44
+ 15 | 2.205e-04 | 2.471e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 15:54
45
+ 16 | 2.125e-04 | 3.261e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 16:01
46
+ 17 | 2.092e-04 | 2.221e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 16:09
47
+ 18 | 2.023e-04 | 3.181e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 16:16
48
+ 19 | 2.024e-04 | 2.173e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 16:24
49
+ 20 | 1.957e-04 | 2.061e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 16:31
50
+ 21 | 1.903e-04 | 2.426e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 16:39
51
+ 22 | 1.884e-04 | 2.046e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 16:46
52
+ 23 | 1.866e-04 | 2.037e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 16:54
53
+ 24 | 1.825e-04 | 1.975e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 17:01
54
+ 25 | 1.840e-04 | 2.011e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 17:09
55
+ 26 | 1.792e-04 | 1.999e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 17:16
56
+ 27 | 1.758e-04 | 1.926e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 17:24
57
+ 28 | 1.756e-04 | 1.895e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 17:31
58
+ 29 | 1.722e-04 | 2.097e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 17:39
59
+ 30 | 1.700e-04 | 1.927e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 17:46
60
+ 31 | 1.704e-04 | 1.867e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 17:54
61
+ 32 | 1.673e-04 | 1.843e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 18:01
62
+ 33 | 1.643e-04 | 1.882e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 18:09
63
+ 34 | 1.630e-04 | 1.785e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 18:16
64
+ 35 | 1.629e-04 | 2.213e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 18:24
65
+ 36 | 1.651e-04 | 1.835e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 18:31
66
+ 37 | 1.597e-04 | 1.797e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-03-20 18:39
67
+ 38 | 1.580e-04 | 1.761e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 18:46
68
+ 39 | 1.575e-04 | 1.743e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 18:54
69
+ 40 | 1.565e-04 | 1.697e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 19:01
70
+ 41 | 1.559e-04 | 1.821e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 19:08
71
+ 42 | 1.545e-04 | 1.911e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 19:16
72
+ 43 | 1.530e-04 | 1.719e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-03-20 19:23
73
+ 44 | 1.516e-04 | 1.775e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 4 | 2025-03-20 19:31
74
+ 45 | 1.505e-04 | 1.726e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 5 | 2025-03-20 19:38
75
+ 46 | 1.514e-04 | 1.679e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 19:46
76
+ 47 | 1.509e-04 | 1.699e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 19:53
77
+ 48 | 1.511e-04 | 1.635e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-20 20:01
78
+ 49 | 1.491e-04 | 1.643e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-20 20:08
79
+ 50 | 1.505e-04 | 1.949e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-20 20:16
training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-03-31_18-42-13(ChronovsStrat).txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SimVP_AllFeatures
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-03-31_18-42-13
5
+ Inputs: []
6
+ Num of GPU: 4
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ MAE: 2.9076
9
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.9725
10
+ RMSE(%): 12.9884
11
+ R²: 0.9598
12
+ Pearson's R: 0.9807
13
+
14
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
15
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(2.8157), np.float32(3.529), np.float32(3.8456), np.float32(4.0306), np.float32(4.183), np.float32(4.2177), np.float32(4.2979), np.float32(4.3633), np.float32(4.4439), np.float32(4.4761), np.float32(4.5716), np.float32(4.6369)]
16
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9808), np.float64(0.9705), np.float64(0.9646), np.float64(0.9614), np.float64(0.9588), np.float64(0.9577), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9556), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.953), np.float64(0.9513), np.float64(0.949)]
17
+
18
+ Storm Analysis Results:
19
+ Storm 1: Storm Date: 2024-05-11 02:00| Storm Dst: -412.0| Full Period RMSE: 6.3418 | R²: 0.8911 Main Phase RMSE: 10.0658 | R²: 0.7915
20
+ Storm 2: Storm Date: 2024-08-12 16:00| Storm Dst: -188.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.5004 | R²: 0.9394 Main Phase RMSE: 7.7180 | R²: 0.8974
21
+ Storm 3: Storm Date: 2023-11-05 22:00| Storm Dst: -155.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.4218 | R²: 0.9421 Main Phase RMSE: 7.0863 | R²: 0.9113
22
+ Storm 4: Storm Date: 2024-03-24 20:00| Storm Dst: -128.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.6221 | R²: 0.9519 Main Phase RMSE: 6.8234 | R²: 0.9353
23
+ Storm 5: Storm Date: 2024-03-03 18:00| Storm Dst: -111.0| Full Period RMSE: 4.5454 | R²: 0.9503 Main Phase RMSE: 5.1216 | R²: 0.9375
24
+ Storm 6: Storm Date: 2023-12-01 12:00| Storm Dst: -107.0| Full Period RMSE: 4.4141 | R²: 0.9489 Main Phase RMSE: 4.8138 | R²: 0.9427
25
+ Storm 7: Storm Date: 2024-06-28 12:00| Storm Dst: -105.0| Full Period RMSE: 3.5596 | R²: 0.9497 Main Phase RMSE: 4.3873 | R²: 0.9338
26
+ Storm 8: Storm Date: 2024-04-19 18:00| Storm Dst: -103.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.6884 | R²: 0.9526 Main Phase RMSE: 6.6965 | R²: 0.9324
training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-04-14_21-33-16.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1021 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SimVP_AllFeatures
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-14_21-33-16
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.1778 ± 1.4676
9
+ R²: 0.9622 ± 0.0153
10
+ SSIM: 0.8667 ± 0.0390
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5085), np.float32(1.904), np.float32(2.1119), np.float32(2.198), np.float32(2.2193), np.float32(2.2561), np.float32(2.3371), np.float32(2.3627), np.float32(2.3691), np.float32(2.3872), np.float32(2.4358), np.float32(2.4741)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7787), np.float32(1.0089), np.float32(1.168), np.float32(1.2994), np.float32(1.3554), np.float32(1.4052), np.float32(1.4608), np.float32(1.5237), np.float32(1.5359), np.float32(1.574), np.float32(1.6181), np.float32(1.6566)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9808), np.float64(0.9698), np.float64(0.9643), np.float64(0.9627), np.float64(0.9622), np.float64(0.9612), np.float64(0.9588), np.float64(0.9586), np.float64(0.9574), np.float64(0.957), np.float64(0.9564), np.float64(0.9548)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0099), np.float64(0.0152), np.float64(0.0173), np.float64(0.0186), np.float64(0.0193), np.float64(0.0199), np.float64(0.0214), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.0249), np.float64(0.0252), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.028)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.922), np.float64(0.896), np.float64(0.8884), np.float64(0.8885), np.float64(0.8873), np.float64(0.883), np.float64(0.8803), np.float64(0.8859), np.float64(0.8844), np.float64(0.8812), np.float64(0.8827), np.float64(0.8841)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0282), np.float64(0.0333), np.float64(0.0338), np.float64(0.0337), np.float64(0.0341), np.float64(0.0346), np.float64(0.0366), np.float64(0.0349), np.float64(0.0366), np.float64(0.0371), np.float64(0.0356), np.float64(0.0378)]
19
+
20
+
21
+ very_weak:
22
+ Overall Metrics:
23
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.1311
24
+ RMSE_std: 0.4184
25
+ R²: 0.9566
26
+ R²_std: 0.0138
27
+ SSIM: 0.8548
28
+ SSIM_std: 0.0321
29
+ RMSE per step: [0.8943, 1.1028, 1.1754, 1.1756, 1.1777, 1.1794, 1.2115, 1.1960, 1.2184, 1.2117, 1.2184, 1.2372]
30
+ RMSE std per step: [0.1843, 0.2303, 0.2504, 0.2678, 0.2821, 0.2892, 0.3128, 0.3084, 0.3328, 0.331, 0.3348, 0.344]
31
+ R² per step: [0.9746, 0.9613, 0.9561, 0.9560, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9533, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9531, 0.9528, 0.9511]
32
+ R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0156, 0.0176, 0.0186, 0.0187, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0210, 0.0229, 0.0231, 0.0230, 0.0248]
33
+ SSIM per step: [0.9026, 0.8782, 0.8719, 0.8725, 0.8731, 0.8718, 0.8670, 0.8722, 0.8712, 0.8712, 0.8719, 0.8723]
34
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0254, 0.0297, 0.0308, 0.0311, 0.0315, 0.0310, 0.0336, 0.0321, 0.0326, 0.0331, 0.0323, 0.0339]
35
+
36
+ weak:
37
+ Overall Metrics:
38
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.3017
39
+ RMSE_std: 0.7146
40
+ R²: 0.9597
41
+ R²_std: 0.0137
42
+ SSIM: 0.8585
43
+ SSIM_std: 0.0334
44
+ RMSE per step: [0.9904, 1.2395, 1.3329, 1.3463, 1.3551, 1.3670, 1.3945, 1.3893, 1.4071, 1.4098, 1.4178, 1.4381]
45
+ RMSE std per step: [0.3946, 0.5169, 0.5715, 0.6081, 0.6356, 0.6428, 0.6567, 0.6635, 0.679, 0.6869, 0.6987, 0.7064]
46
+ R² per step: [0.9779, 0.9655, 0.9602, 0.9597, 0.9595, 0.9587, 0.9567, 0.9572, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9555, 0.9540]
47
+ R² std per step: [0.0091, 0.0143, 0.0166, 0.0176, 0.0185, 0.0195, 0.0210, 0.0208, 0.0222, 0.0223, 0.0226, 0.0233]
48
+ SSIM per step: [0.9101, 0.8857, 0.8795, 0.8793, 0.8800, 0.8771, 0.8739, 0.8775, 0.8781, 0.8766, 0.8778, 0.8767]
49
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0229, 0.0267, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0314, 0.0290, 0.0298, 0.0303, 0.0295, 0.0318]
50
+
51
+ moderate:
52
+ Overall Metrics:
53
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.7553
54
+ RMSE_std: 1.1069
55
+ R²: 0.9647
56
+ R²_std: 0.0157
57
+ SSIM: 0.8749
58
+ SSIM_std: 0.0418
59
+ RMSE per step: [1.9037, 2.4206, 2.6536, 2.7580, 2.8500, 2.8887, 2.9377, 2.9638, 3.0015, 3.0300, 3.0765, 3.1085]
60
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5025, 0.6614, 0.7665, 0.8411, 0.8926, 0.9328, 0.9754, 1.0233, 1.0475, 1.0824, 1.1154, 1.1428]
61
+ R² per step: [0.9840, 0.9739, 0.9687, 0.9662, 0.9639, 0.9629, 0.9614, 0.9607, 0.9596, 0.9588, 0.9575, 0.9564]
62
+ R² std per step: [0.0068, 0.0121, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.0195, 0.0211, 0.0230, 0.0246, 0.0257, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.0318]
63
+ SSIM per step: [0.9338, 0.9090, 0.8989, 0.8952, 0.8930, 0.8921, 0.8898, 0.8912, 0.8904, 0.8898, 0.8891, 0.8887]
64
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0187, 0.0268, 0.0298, 0.0319, 0.0329, 0.0342, 0.0357, 0.0363, 0.0371, 0.0376, 0.0379, 0.0394]
65
+
66
+ intense:
67
+ Overall Metrics:
68
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.7472
69
+ RMSE_std: 1.6914
70
+ R²: 0.9689
71
+ R²_std: 0.0156
72
+ SSIM: 0.8812
73
+ SSIM_std: 0.0415
74
+ RMSE per step: [2.4878, 3.0975, 3.4372, 3.6350, 3.7997, 3.8920, 3.9860, 4.0637, 4.1410, 4.1908, 4.2515, 4.3011]
75
+ RMSE std per step: [0.9157, 1.0944, 1.2378, 1.369, 1.4754, 1.5528, 1.6251, 1.689, 1.7324, 1.788, 1.8453, 1.9016]
76
+ R² per step: [0.9866, 0.9792, 0.9745, 0.9715, 0.9689, 0.9673, 0.9657, 0.9643, 0.9630, 0.9620, 0.9608, 0.9597]
77
+ R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0111, 0.0136, 0.0158, 0.0179, 0.0196, 0.0213, 0.0232, 0.0239, 0.0255, 0.0275, 0.0298]
78
+ SSIM per step: [0.9431, 0.9219, 0.9106, 0.9055, 0.9030, 0.9011, 0.8990, 0.9002, 0.8989, 0.8980, 0.8980, 0.8975]
79
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0195, 0.0267, 0.0305, 0.0330, 0.0340, 0.0353, 0.0359, 0.0366, 0.0367, 0.0373, 0.0376, 0.0391]
80
+
81
+
82
+
83
+
84
+ Storm Analysis Results:
85
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
86
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
87
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
88
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 6.83 ± 2.86 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.08 7.39 ± 2.98 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.07
89
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 6.40 ± 1.98 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.08 7.33 ± 1.91 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.80 ± 0.06
90
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.26 ± 2.15 / 0.96 ± 0.03 / 0.85 ± 0.07 6.06 ± 2.59 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.07
91
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 4.91 ± 1.67 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.86 ± 0.07 6.46 ± 1.51 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.06
92
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.10 ± 2.12 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.06 5.25 ± 1.78 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.88 ± 0.03
93
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 5.45 ± 1.59 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04 5.87 ± 1.77 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.82 ± 0.00
94
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 5.91 ± 1.66 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.03 5.51 ± 1.58 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.04
95
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 4.48 ± 1.84 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.87 ± 0.05 5.98 ± 1.91 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.79 ± 0.02
96
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 3.88 ± 1.40 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.04 4.02 ± 1.26 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.00
97
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 2.64 ± 1.12 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.80 ± 0.08 3.83 ± 1.20 / 0.89 ± 0.00 / 0.69 ± 0.03
98
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 3.90 ± 1.50 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.07 4.23 ± 1.67 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.06
99
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 3.77 ± 1.46 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.84 ± 0.05 4.13 ± 1.44 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.83 ± 0.04
100
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 3.56 ± 1.34 / 0.97 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.06 3.47 ± 1.42 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.89 ± 0.04
101
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.05 ± 1.16 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 4.18 ± 1.34 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.77 ± 0.01
102
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 5.64 ± 1.28 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03 6.32 ± 1.39 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.05
103
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 3.76 ± 1.49 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.85 ± 0.07 4.27 ± 1.52 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.04
104
+
105
+
106
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
107
+
108
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
109
+
110
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
111
+ RMSE : [3.9218, 4.7944, 5.6152, 6.5461, 7.0536, 7.1431, 7.2125, 7.3017, 7.7532, 7.8463, 8.0169, 8.2147]
112
+ RMSE_std : [1.1377, 1.4081, 1.8319, 2.4908, 2.9610, 2.9794, 2.6043, 2.7910, 3.1333, 3.3133, 3.2079, 3.0028]
113
+ R² : [0.9834, 0.9753, 0.9672, 0.9533, 0.9435, 0.9422, 0.9452, 0.9422, 0.9314, 0.9276, 0.9287, 0.9265]
114
+ R²_std : [0.0092, 0.0138, 0.0190, 0.0326, 0.0448, 0.0466, 0.0366, 0.0456, 0.0641, 0.0734, 0.0609, 0.0530]
115
+ SSIM : [0.9374, 0.9074, 0.8859, 0.8712, 0.8672, 0.8656, 0.8618, 0.8607, 0.8564, 0.8571, 0.8542, 0.8495]
116
+ SSIM_std : [0.0254, 0.0370, 0.0477, 0.0628, 0.0691, 0.0636, 0.0619, 0.0687, 0.0777, 0.0776, 0.0778, 0.0788]
117
+
118
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
119
+ RMSE : [2.7449, 3.7168, 3.7323, 3.8345, 4.2043, 4.4651, 5.8598, 7.2593, 8.0610, 9.1567, 12.0001, 14.3412]
120
+ RMSE_std : [0.1438, 0.1882, 0.1959, 0.0993, 0.1052, 0.2903, 1.6178, 3.1363, 3.6555, 4.2559, 4.9383, 4.5787]
121
+ R² : [0.9914, 0.9841, 0.9841, 0.9829, 0.9795, 0.9776, 0.9619, 0.9425, 0.9338, 0.9197, 0.8648, 0.7890]
122
+ R²_std : [0.0002, 0.0004, 0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0005, 0.0008, 0.0168, 0.0381, 0.0453, 0.0556, 0.0862, 0.1267]
123
+ SSIM : [0.9598, 0.9424, 0.9414, 0.9371, 0.9300, 0.9236, 0.9039, 0.8837, 0.8700, 0.8425, 0.7839, 0.7315]
124
+ SSIM_std : [0.0031, 0.0029, 0.0050, 0.0003, 0.0002, 0.0016, 0.0180, 0.0453, 0.0626, 0.0834, 0.1140, 0.1222]
125
+
126
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
127
+
128
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
129
+ RMSE : [4.2341, 4.7585, 5.3744, 5.9677, 6.3532, 6.4669, 6.7304, 7.0167, 7.0255, 7.1762, 7.3475, 7.6932]
130
+ RMSE_std : [1.3233, 1.1928, 1.7629, 1.6862, 1.6859, 1.7532, 1.8779, 1.9146, 2.0485, 2.2580, 2.3795, 2.4399]
131
+ R² : [0.9772, 0.9727, 0.9654, 0.9565, 0.9487, 0.9486, 0.9462, 0.9400, 0.9362, 0.9341, 0.9331, 0.9252]
132
+ R²_std : [0.0148, 0.0136, 0.0243, 0.0271, 0.0321, 0.0284, 0.0281, 0.0346, 0.0444, 0.0464, 0.0454, 0.0544]
133
+ SSIM : [0.9157, 0.8972, 0.8795, 0.8731, 0.8664, 0.8651, 0.8564, 0.8597, 0.8573, 0.8528, 0.8494, 0.8508]
134
+ SSIM_std : [0.0333, 0.0353, 0.0524, 0.0590, 0.0561, 0.0520, 0.0610, 0.0628, 0.0580, 0.0570, 0.0672, 0.0726]
135
+
136
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
137
+ RMSE : [3.1022, 4.2990, 4.8929, 5.3725, 5.5278, 5.6874, 6.0410, 6.8725, 7.3812, 9.5530, 10.6567, 12.2735]
138
+ RMSE_std : [0.2413, 0.0404, 0.0160, 0.3677, 0.7895, 0.4049, 0.0784, 0.8383, 2.1849, 3.5797, 3.9648, 3.9426]
139
+ R² : [0.9874, 0.9760, 0.9689, 0.9621, 0.9602, 0.9596, 0.9545, 0.9380, 0.9329, 0.8987, 0.8568, 0.7813]
140
+ R²_std : [0.0015, 0.0006, 0.0018, 0.0020, 0.0105, 0.0073, 0.0056, 0.0098, 0.0318, 0.0589, 0.0929, 0.1350]
141
+ SSIM : [0.9397, 0.9160, 0.9096, 0.8984, 0.8832, 0.8637, 0.8715, 0.8471, 0.8295, 0.7640, 0.7462, 0.7138]
142
+ SSIM_std : [0.0012, 0.0075, 0.0071, 0.0074, 0.0056, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0284, 0.0328, 0.0772, 0.1002, 0.0791]
143
+
144
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
145
+
146
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
147
+ RMSE : [3.0629, 3.9662, 4.6288, 5.1606, 5.2928, 5.2555, 5.5722, 5.9749, 6.0372, 6.0697, 6.2965, 6.4252]
148
+ RMSE_std : [0.6862, 0.8551, 1.1669, 1.1742, 1.6095, 1.6669, 1.6343, 1.7195, 2.1174, 2.3646, 2.3538, 2.6139]
149
+ R² : [0.9871, 0.9785, 0.9705, 0.9623, 0.9596, 0.9601, 0.9556, 0.9470, 0.9449, 0.9432, 0.9391, 0.9336]
150
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0096, 0.0150, 0.0183, 0.0256, 0.0264, 0.0266, 0.0325, 0.0423, 0.0523, 0.0565, 0.0650]
151
+ SSIM : [0.9460, 0.9213, 0.9001, 0.8917, 0.8901, 0.8888, 0.8773, 0.8766, 0.8762, 0.8715, 0.8681, 0.8658]
152
+ SSIM_std : [0.0244, 0.0325, 0.0404, 0.0409, 0.0484, 0.0488, 0.0498, 0.0520, 0.0622, 0.0665, 0.0692, 0.0745]
153
+
154
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
155
+ RMSE : [2.7991, 3.6094, 3.8723, 3.5777, 3.8026, 4.2345, 5.7330, 7.0953, 7.4014, 7.4674, 8.8593, 11.2027]
156
+ RMSE_std : [0.1690, 0.2554, 0.4798, 0.3547, 0.2167, 0.0284, 1.3973, 3.0831, 3.4524, 3.1411, 2.3574, 1.7593]
157
+ R² : [0.9896, 0.9824, 0.9797, 0.9820, 0.9789, 0.9741, 0.9542, 0.9317, 0.9266, 0.9290, 0.8975, 0.8382]
158
+ R²_std : [0.0005, 0.0010, 0.0037, 0.0027, 0.0021, 0.0001, 0.0186, 0.0445, 0.0504, 0.0444, 0.0489, 0.0647]
159
+ SSIM : [0.9631, 0.9504, 0.9338, 0.9377, 0.9306, 0.9226, 0.8809, 0.8352, 0.8388, 0.8285, 0.7900, 0.7274]
160
+ SSIM_std : [0.0019, 0.0006, 0.0026, 0.0036, 0.0068, 0.0215, 0.0522, 0.0882, 0.0824, 0.0661, 0.0515, 0.0381]
161
+
162
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
163
+
164
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
165
+ RMSE : [3.1337, 3.7287, 4.4744, 4.8510, 4.8424, 4.8791, 5.2385, 5.5322, 5.4324, 5.4352, 5.5636, 5.6591]
166
+ RMSE_std : [0.6386, 0.7784, 1.1000, 1.5686, 1.4758, 1.3229, 1.5533, 1.8326, 1.9555, 1.8258, 1.7279, 1.9117]
167
+ R² : [0.9828, 0.9759, 0.9662, 0.9577, 0.9568, 0.9574, 0.9519, 0.9448, 0.9439, 0.9452, 0.9455, 0.9419]
168
+ R²_std : [0.0081, 0.0126, 0.0168, 0.0288, 0.0278, 0.0253, 0.0285, 0.0350, 0.0405, 0.0379, 0.0333, 0.0386]
169
+ SSIM : [0.9381, 0.9126, 0.8891, 0.8802, 0.8831, 0.8815, 0.8723, 0.8748, 0.8762, 0.8777, 0.8707, 0.8708]
170
+ SSIM_std : [0.0199, 0.0290, 0.0436, 0.0537, 0.0513, 0.0445, 0.0510, 0.0580, 0.0609, 0.0533, 0.0537, 0.0589]
171
+
172
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
173
+ RMSE : [2.8244, 3.8820, 3.8324, 3.7136, 3.9345, 5.5479, 6.5041, 6.5482, 6.7684, 8.1885, 10.0422, 10.4204]
174
+ RMSE_std : [0.0827, 0.6706, 0.1236, 0.1514, 0.1694, 0.4113, 2.5104, 2.3315, 2.3117, 1.9239, 0.7080, 0.9908]
175
+ R² : [0.9876, 0.9763, 0.9774, 0.9777, 0.9750, 0.9513, 0.9268, 0.9258, 0.9242, 0.8986, 0.8537, 0.8364]
176
+ R²_std : [0.0002, 0.0069, 0.0011, 0.0037, 0.0045, 0.0098, 0.0483, 0.0432, 0.0408, 0.0368, 0.0160, 0.0312]
177
+ SSIM : [0.9466, 0.9187, 0.9151, 0.9142, 0.9064, 0.8617, 0.8356, 0.8294, 0.8265, 0.7722, 0.7334, 0.7325]
178
+ SSIM_std : [0.0006, 0.0056, 0.0083, 0.0006, 0.0189, 0.0413, 0.0876, 0.0823, 0.0583, 0.0435, 0.0193, 0.0139]
179
+
180
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
181
+
182
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
183
+ RMSE : [4.3017, 4.9049, 5.4236, 5.8358, 6.0646, 6.2649, 6.4728, 6.5567, 6.7694, 6.8424, 6.9173, 7.0617]
184
+ RMSE_std : [1.2926, 1.3724, 1.7101, 1.7346, 1.7270, 1.8886, 2.1229, 2.0616, 1.9272, 2.0894, 2.2400, 2.1493]
185
+ R² : [0.9791, 0.9734, 0.9678, 0.9638, 0.9594, 0.9569, 0.9537, 0.9539, 0.9495, 0.9487, 0.9476, 0.9468]
186
+ R²_std : [0.0126, 0.0142, 0.0192, 0.0197, 0.0224, 0.0254, 0.0294, 0.0264, 0.0257, 0.0280, 0.0305, 0.0282]
187
+ SSIM : [0.9252, 0.9031, 0.8907, 0.8871, 0.8866, 0.8757, 0.8693, 0.8739, 0.8769, 0.8680, 0.8641, 0.8651]
188
+ SSIM_std : [0.0259, 0.0360, 0.0460, 0.0458, 0.0424, 0.0496, 0.0530, 0.0479, 0.0432, 0.0476, 0.0523, 0.0509]
189
+
190
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
191
+ RMSE : [3.3838, 3.8536, 4.5369, 4.6193, 4.2959, 4.3023, 4.3650, 4.5360, 6.0839, 7.3317, 7.2321, 7.0815]
192
+ RMSE_std : [0.0543, 0.0206, 0.2280, 0.1773, 0.0835, 0.1705, 0.0180, 0.1743, 1.8989, 3.2585, 3.2503, 2.3644]
193
+ R² : [0.9884, 0.9851, 0.9794, 0.9782, 0.9813, 0.9812, 0.9810, 0.9795, 0.9632, 0.9470, 0.9478, 0.9472]
194
+ R²_std : [0.0007, 0.0003, 0.0015, 0.0017, 0.0003, 0.0019, 0.0003, 0.0011, 0.0195, 0.0366, 0.0367, 0.0311]
195
+ SSIM : [0.9459, 0.9269, 0.9112, 0.9106, 0.9165, 0.9170, 0.9176, 0.9223, 0.8723, 0.8379, 0.8429, 0.8385]
196
+ SSIM_std : [0.0039, 0.0020, 0.0063, 0.0099, 0.0090, 0.0059, 0.0030, 0.0018, 0.0585, 0.0847, 0.0879, 0.0731]
197
+
198
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
199
+
200
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
201
+ RMSE : [3.7627, 4.6064, 5.1470, 5.4636, 5.4640, 5.6145, 5.8047, 5.9185, 5.9423, 6.0359, 6.1681, 6.3827]
202
+ RMSE_std : [0.5827, 0.7437, 0.9958, 1.0472, 1.0967, 1.2029, 1.1787, 1.2800, 1.0713, 1.1764, 1.3298, 1.2454]
203
+ R² : [0.9848, 0.9768, 0.9708, 0.9679, 0.9672, 0.9646, 0.9620, 0.9613, 0.9608, 0.9589, 0.9563, 0.9546]
204
+ R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0078, 0.0103, 0.0106, 0.0120, 0.0146, 0.0141, 0.0140, 0.0130, 0.0151, 0.0179, 0.0154]
205
+ SSIM : [0.9351, 0.9095, 0.8914, 0.8856, 0.8941, 0.8876, 0.8779, 0.8814, 0.8877, 0.8791, 0.8771, 0.8761]
206
+ SSIM_std : [0.0132, 0.0220, 0.0294, 0.0322, 0.0302, 0.0352, 0.0315, 0.0340, 0.0296, 0.0324, 0.0334, 0.0339]
207
+
208
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
209
+ RMSE : [3.6959, 4.9843, 5.9920, 5.9039, 5.8283, 6.5840, 7.0345, 6.6662, 6.3618, 6.3477, 6.4509, 6.5079]
210
+ RMSE_std : [0.3484, 0.3170, 0.8360, 0.6428, 0.2623, 0.2918, 0.8900, 0.5514, 0.7183, 1.3290, 0.8626, 0.8771]
211
+ R² : [0.9864, 0.9766, 0.9663, 0.9669, 0.9659, 0.9564, 0.9523, 0.9565, 0.9575, 0.9569, 0.9576, 0.9566]
212
+ R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0015, 0.0069, 0.0056, 0.0046, 0.0018, 0.0069, 0.0036, 0.0092, 0.0142, 0.0087, 0.0095]
213
+ SSIM : [0.9353, 0.8844, 0.8606, 0.8727, 0.8721, 0.8580, 0.8508, 0.8721, 0.8599, 0.8559, 0.8618, 0.8564]
214
+ SSIM_std : [0.0084, 0.0272, 0.0338, 0.0106, 0.0013, 0.0206, 0.0300, 0.0056, 0.0194, 0.0288, 0.0295, 0.0275]
215
+
216
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
217
+
218
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
219
+ RMSE : [3.7155, 4.7864, 5.1973, 5.3893, 5.8218, 6.2337, 6.3659, 6.3581, 6.7189, 6.8861, 6.7976, 6.6509]
220
+ RMSE_std : [0.4301, 0.8646, 1.2327, 1.1884, 1.2098, 1.2864, 1.5946, 1.5279, 1.3979, 1.4596, 1.8035, 1.9120]
221
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9750, 0.9694, 0.9675, 0.9624, 0.9575, 0.9535, 0.9540, 0.9496, 0.9474, 0.9461, 0.9483]
222
+ R²_std : [0.0040, 0.0086, 0.0136, 0.0138, 0.0158, 0.0165, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.0212, 0.0223, 0.0292, 0.0309]
223
+ SSIM : [0.9359, 0.9058, 0.8972, 0.8898, 0.8816, 0.8749, 0.8767, 0.8752, 0.8676, 0.8660, 0.8741, 0.8740]
224
+ SSIM_std : [0.0139, 0.0280, 0.0293, 0.0340, 0.0355, 0.0375, 0.0349, 0.0362, 0.0373, 0.0367, 0.0338, 0.0395]
225
+
226
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
227
+ RMSE : [3.9217, 3.9220, 4.0788, 4.1500, 4.9271, 4.9842, 5.0390, 5.5897, 6.9144, 7.2046, 7.0312, 7.8968]
228
+ RMSE_std : [0.4941, 0.1366, 0.1030, 0.1946, 0.1286, 0.4921, 0.3388, 1.0777, 1.4808, 1.8844, 1.4738, 1.4726]
229
+ R² : [0.9826, 0.9827, 0.9817, 0.9816, 0.9732, 0.9714, 0.9716, 0.9667, 0.9532, 0.9496, 0.9510, 0.9398]
230
+ R²_std : [0.0044, 0.0018, 0.0006, 0.0015, 0.0011, 0.0052, 0.0038, 0.0112, 0.0146, 0.0184, 0.0146, 0.0190]
231
+ SSIM : [0.9381, 0.9310, 0.9232, 0.9230, 0.9048, 0.9046, 0.8934, 0.8785, 0.8525, 0.8396, 0.8291, 0.8068]
232
+ SSIM_std : [0.0019, 0.0004, 0.0044, 0.0000, 0.0054, 0.0069, 0.0145, 0.0376, 0.0541, 0.0531, 0.0425, 0.0399]
233
+
234
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
235
+
236
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
237
+ RMSE : [2.6919, 3.4989, 3.8646, 4.1643, 4.4039, 4.7768, 4.8689, 4.9251, 5.0078, 5.3488, 5.4930, 5.5152]
238
+ RMSE_std : [0.5140, 0.9499, 1.0119, 1.2063, 1.2828, 1.4474, 1.5176, 1.5552, 1.6859, 1.8234, 1.8655, 1.8917]
239
+ R² : [0.9881, 0.9799, 0.9755, 0.9715, 0.9680, 0.9629, 0.9612, 0.9600, 0.9583, 0.9533, 0.9509, 0.9505]
240
+ R²_std : [0.0031, 0.0080, 0.0099, 0.0135, 0.0151, 0.0175, 0.0198, 0.0217, 0.0248, 0.0273, 0.0287, 0.0296]
241
+ SSIM : [0.9495, 0.9257, 0.9092, 0.9070, 0.9020, 0.8933, 0.8904, 0.8947, 0.8899, 0.8812, 0.8772, 0.8808]
242
+ SSIM_std : [0.0171, 0.0271, 0.0304, 0.0371, 0.0389, 0.0428, 0.0441, 0.0425, 0.0458, 0.0501, 0.0508, 0.0517]
243
+
244
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
245
+ RMSE : [2.7872, 3.3726, 4.2756, 5.2634, 6.5081, 6.6182, 6.7539, 6.5843, 6.9234, 7.2764, 7.7012, 8.1327]
246
+ RMSE_std : [0.6536, 0.6981, 0.9298, 0.0348, 0.7194, 0.9364, 0.5608, 0.6994, 0.6617, 0.6417, 0.6482, 0.5278]
247
+ R² : [0.9892, 0.9847, 0.9756, 0.9645, 0.9480, 0.9460, 0.9428, 0.9445, 0.9372, 0.9277, 0.9182, 0.9077]
248
+ R²_std : [0.0036, 0.0043, 0.0077, 0.0029, 0.0116, 0.0136, 0.0063, 0.0076, 0.0065, 0.0063, 0.0107, 0.0113]
249
+ SSIM : [0.9436, 0.9155, 0.8981, 0.8698, 0.8465, 0.8353, 0.8338, 0.8332, 0.8194, 0.7958, 0.7786, 0.7649]
250
+ SSIM_std : [0.0171, 0.0221, 0.0242, 0.0120, 0.0232, 0.0200, 0.0116, 0.0123, 0.0014, 0.0028, 0.0137, 0.0212]
251
+
252
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
253
+
254
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
255
+ RMSE : [2.8141, 3.4816, 3.7997, 4.0596, 4.0988, 4.1580, 4.1326, 4.2766, 4.2371, 4.2665, 4.3103, 4.3540]
256
+ RMSE_std : [0.4851, 0.6963, 0.8127, 1.0349, 1.1059, 0.8372, 0.7021, 0.8706, 1.0003, 0.9024, 0.9320, 1.1980]
257
+ R² : [0.9735, 0.9569, 0.9501, 0.9435, 0.9416, 0.9396, 0.9420, 0.9384, 0.9385, 0.9356, 0.9353, 0.9338]
258
+ R²_std : [0.0076, 0.0186, 0.0248, 0.0320, 0.0327, 0.0246, 0.0228, 0.0272, 0.0281, 0.0264, 0.0324, 0.0429]
259
+ SSIM : [0.9114, 0.8670, 0.8606, 0.8496, 0.8509, 0.8417, 0.8505, 0.8457, 0.8478, 0.8368, 0.8436, 0.8432]
260
+ SSIM_std : [0.0174, 0.0317, 0.0265, 0.0388, 0.0389, 0.0476, 0.0314, 0.0361, 0.0417, 0.0492, 0.0312, 0.0376]
261
+
262
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
263
+ RMSE : [2.9209, 3.6117, 3.9770, 3.5390, 3.8913, 4.4438, 4.1270, 3.8736, 3.4301, 4.6044, 4.9925, 5.7493]
264
+ RMSE_std : [0.0226, 0.0025, 0.0469, 0.0634, 0.5376, 0.0608, 0.0718, 0.4520, 0.6070, 0.5959, 1.0857, 1.5223]
265
+ R² : [0.9661, 0.9502, 0.9462, 0.9539, 0.9411, 0.9359, 0.9494, 0.9549, 0.9652, 0.9451, 0.9327, 0.9148]
266
+ R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0039, 0.0024, 0.0077, 0.0283, 0.0152, 0.0054, 0.0080, 0.0132, 0.0162, 0.0254, 0.0345]
267
+ SSIM : [0.8866, 0.8489, 0.8410, 0.8361, 0.8313, 0.8416, 0.8502, 0.8700, 0.8752, 0.8599, 0.8209, 0.8254]
268
+ SSIM_std : [0.0231, 0.0032, 0.0079, 0.0324, 0.0760, 0.0280, 0.0010, 0.0059, 0.0342, 0.0201, 0.0442, 0.0396]
269
+
270
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
271
+
272
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
273
+ RMSE : [1.7566, 2.2635, 2.4916, 2.5175, 2.6146, 2.7158, 2.7541, 2.8236, 2.8914, 2.9669, 3.0599, 3.1275]
274
+ RMSE_std : [0.5753, 0.6068, 0.7366, 0.7528, 0.9963, 0.8850, 0.9609, 1.0961, 1.3581, 1.1699, 1.1283, 1.3078]
275
+ R² : [0.9723, 0.9521, 0.9407, 0.9416, 0.9373, 0.9303, 0.9268, 0.9239, 0.9200, 0.9132, 0.9053, 0.9003]
276
+ R²_std : [0.0177, 0.0282, 0.0359, 0.0338, 0.0430, 0.0442, 0.0459, 0.0538, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0676, 0.0829]
277
+ SSIM : [0.9040, 0.8628, 0.8415, 0.8359, 0.8358, 0.8286, 0.8220, 0.8270, 0.8293, 0.8222, 0.8215, 0.8186]
278
+ SSIM_std : [0.0361, 0.0531, 0.0594, 0.0650, 0.0698, 0.0673, 0.0703, 0.0733, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0724, 0.0801]
279
+
280
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
281
+ RMSE : [1.6115, 2.1383, 2.4475, 2.2538, 2.6583, 3.7984, 4.6307, 5.1589, 4.8129, 4.4593, 4.7759, 5.5973]
282
+ RMSE_std : [0.5137, 0.8436, 0.7990, 0.5438, 0.0366, 0.2504, 0.3734, 1.2907, 1.0314, 0.3456, 0.9942, 1.4991]
283
+ R² : [0.9776, 0.9624, 0.9516, 0.9609, 0.9475, 0.9034, 0.8650, 0.8433, 0.8408, 0.8510, 0.8387, 0.7959]
284
+ R²_std : [0.0112, 0.0218, 0.0248, 0.0161, 0.0015, 0.0129, 0.0091, 0.0510, 0.0530, 0.0045, 0.0301, 0.0474]
285
+ SSIM : [0.9094, 0.8742, 0.8525, 0.8566, 0.8254, 0.8002, 0.7575, 0.7440, 0.7346, 0.7205, 0.7036, 0.6697]
286
+ SSIM_std : [0.0303, 0.0373, 0.0269, 0.0341, 0.0013, 0.0083, 0.0111, 0.0362, 0.0534, 0.0477, 0.0322, 0.0205]
287
+
288
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
289
+
290
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
291
+ RMSE : [2.5116, 3.3241, 3.6691, 3.9112, 3.9835, 4.0480, 4.1000, 4.3196, 4.3292, 4.3820, 4.4698, 4.5920]
292
+ RMSE_std : [0.4180, 0.7777, 0.8490, 1.0039, 0.9681, 1.0371, 1.0845, 1.3244, 1.4422, 1.5067, 1.4251, 1.6433]
293
+ R² : [0.9818, 0.9669, 0.9587, 0.9544, 0.9529, 0.9500, 0.9476, 0.9435, 0.9432, 0.9397, 0.9358, 0.9338]
294
+ R²_std : [0.0045, 0.0143, 0.0169, 0.0195, 0.0184, 0.0229, 0.0246, 0.0303, 0.0343, 0.0414, 0.0404, 0.0412]
295
+ SSIM : [0.9346, 0.9058, 0.8858, 0.8781, 0.8791, 0.8827, 0.8772, 0.8730, 0.8734, 0.8782, 0.8724, 0.8663]
296
+ SSIM_std : [0.0157, 0.0320, 0.0369, 0.0443, 0.0408, 0.0439, 0.0461, 0.0515, 0.0517, 0.0552, 0.0518, 0.0586]
297
+
298
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
299
+ RMSE : [2.4649, 2.7727, 3.1086, 2.9980, 3.3704, 3.6724, 3.7861, 4.1430, 4.5328, 5.5681, 6.4858, 7.0035]
300
+ RMSE_std : [0.0724, 0.1363, 0.1402, 0.1575, 0.4028, 0.6415, 0.7250, 0.6804, 1.0164, 1.5344, 2.3660, 2.5238]
301
+ R² : [0.9812, 0.9754, 0.9697, 0.9714, 0.9648, 0.9589, 0.9587, 0.9492, 0.9417, 0.9170, 0.8937, 0.8727]
302
+ R²_std : [0.0012, 0.0029, 0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0083, 0.0125, 0.0131, 0.0127, 0.0206, 0.0362, 0.0609, 0.0725]
303
+ SSIM : [0.9353, 0.9192, 0.9058, 0.9141, 0.9093, 0.8747, 0.8709, 0.8570, 0.8516, 0.8120, 0.7787, 0.7594]
304
+ SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0015, 0.0016, 0.0167, 0.0166, 0.0330, 0.0365, 0.0281, 0.0441, 0.0473, 0.0715, 0.0724]
305
+
306
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
307
+
308
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
309
+ RMSE : [2.4219, 3.2052, 3.5876, 3.7525, 3.8611, 4.0196, 4.1876, 4.2040, 4.2658, 4.3742, 4.4095, 4.3945]
310
+ RMSE_std : [0.4976, 0.6909, 0.7286, 0.6581, 0.9237, 1.0505, 1.0784, 0.9469, 1.0434, 1.1471, 1.2326, 1.1231]
311
+ R² : [0.9823, 0.9688, 0.9602, 0.9575, 0.9541, 0.9497, 0.9443, 0.9456, 0.9445, 0.9409, 0.9381, 0.9399]
312
+ R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0118, 0.0170, 0.0143, 0.0201, 0.0227, 0.0271, 0.0234, 0.0235, 0.0270, 0.0362, 0.0356]
313
+ SSIM : [0.9261, 0.8943, 0.8829, 0.8738, 0.8681, 0.8671, 0.8664, 0.8698, 0.8640, 0.8604, 0.8660, 0.8657]
314
+ SSIM_std : [0.0238, 0.0363, 0.0326, 0.0301, 0.0425, 0.0479, 0.0410, 0.0350, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.0440, 0.0399]
315
+
316
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
317
+ RMSE : [2.3001, 2.7482, 3.1525, 2.9217, 3.3757, 3.5163, 3.7291, 4.3009, 5.3228, 5.4466, 5.8479, 6.3089]
318
+ RMSE_std : [0.0680, 0.1636, 0.0684, 0.2802, 0.3552, 0.2916, 0.2264, 1.3750, 1.5382, 1.6795, 1.6352, 0.5200]
319
+ R² : [0.9837, 0.9775, 0.9710, 0.9747, 0.9688, 0.9660, 0.9604, 0.9446, 0.9228, 0.9222, 0.9152, 0.9035]
320
+ R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0010, 0.0003, 0.0044, 0.0037, 0.0028, 0.0050, 0.0298, 0.0342, 0.0353, 0.0342, 0.0079]
321
+ SSIM : [0.9457, 0.9217, 0.9073, 0.9148, 0.9100, 0.9081, 0.8793, 0.8442, 0.8078, 0.8271, 0.8092, 0.7684]
322
+ SSIM_std : [0.0072, 0.0009, 0.0055, 0.0016, 0.0025, 0.0013, 0.0198, 0.0772, 0.0859, 0.0726, 0.0426, 0.0036]
323
+
324
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
325
+
326
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
327
+ RMSE : [2.5752, 2.9936, 3.4345, 3.6597, 3.6641, 3.6173, 3.7514, 3.8867, 3.8110, 3.7472, 3.9664, 4.0819]
328
+ RMSE_std : [0.6472, 0.6965, 0.9777, 1.1145, 1.0378, 1.1447, 1.3245, 1.3461, 1.1846, 1.2977, 1.4561, 1.3948]
329
+ R² : [0.9865, 0.9821, 0.9763, 0.9731, 0.9726, 0.9722, 0.9702, 0.9684, 0.9694, 0.9691, 0.9656, 0.9646]
330
+ R²_std : [0.0073, 0.0088, 0.0140, 0.0177, 0.0187, 0.0230, 0.0232, 0.0226, 0.0224, 0.0266, 0.0278, 0.0247]
331
+ SSIM : [0.9496, 0.9365, 0.9199, 0.9096, 0.9153, 0.9154, 0.9084, 0.9062, 0.9121, 0.9153, 0.9113, 0.9074]
332
+ SSIM_std : [0.0173, 0.0208, 0.0314, 0.0375, 0.0384, 0.0427, 0.0443, 0.0433, 0.0420, 0.0474, 0.0461, 0.0429]
333
+
334
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
335
+ RMSE : [1.8875, 2.1684, 2.4040, 2.4802, 2.4795, 2.6035, 2.6732, 3.0789, 3.8887, 5.1064, 5.4993, 5.4750]
336
+ RMSE_std : [0.1546, 0.2238, 0.1345, 0.0002, 0.1277, 0.1604, 0.2157, 0.5900, 1.4224, 2.3038, 2.4067, 2.0328]
337
+ R² : [0.9924, 0.9898, 0.9878, 0.9871, 0.9868, 0.9852, 0.9848, 0.9795, 0.9676, 0.9475, 0.9397, 0.9362]
338
+ R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0017, 0.0011, 0.0001, 0.0015, 0.0014, 0.0022, 0.0074, 0.0195, 0.0359, 0.0404, 0.0392]
339
+ SSIM : [0.9665, 0.9547, 0.9438, 0.9425, 0.9440, 0.9474, 0.9338, 0.9328, 0.9093, 0.8754, 0.8542, 0.8487]
340
+ SSIM_std : [0.0013, 0.0056, 0.0006, 0.0041, 0.0016, 0.0057, 0.0062, 0.0110, 0.0393, 0.0706, 0.0714, 0.0795]
341
+
342
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
343
+
344
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
345
+ RMSE : [2.0976, 2.5521, 2.8759, 3.1470, 3.1534, 3.2176, 3.2992, 3.4055, 3.3419, 3.3734, 3.4188, 3.5537]
346
+ RMSE_std : [0.4993, 0.5633, 0.8114, 0.9755, 0.8067, 0.8882, 1.0577, 1.0599, 0.9174, 0.8797, 1.0050, 0.9742]
347
+ R² : [0.9803, 0.9711, 0.9635, 0.9559, 0.9556, 0.9536, 0.9521, 0.9490, 0.9499, 0.9492, 0.9489, 0.9452]
348
+ R²_std : [0.0083, 0.0097, 0.0156, 0.0233, 0.0200, 0.0220, 0.0251, 0.0282, 0.0270, 0.0243, 0.0263, 0.0259]
349
+ SSIM : [0.9273, 0.9002, 0.8850, 0.8777, 0.8792, 0.8771, 0.8703, 0.8721, 0.8749, 0.8726, 0.8671, 0.8661]
350
+ SSIM_std : [0.0214, 0.0267, 0.0370, 0.0429, 0.0386, 0.0400, 0.0465, 0.0522, 0.0510, 0.0449, 0.0488, 0.0528]
351
+
352
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
353
+ RMSE : [1.9577, 3.0162, 4.4137, 4.5803, 3.5446, 3.7312, 5.0533, 4.4833, 4.3893, 5.0401, 5.6897, 4.9086]
354
+ RMSE_std : [0.2517, 0.3380, 0.4328, 0.3825, 0.5695, 0.6575, 1.1418, 0.5832, 0.9188, 0.5649, 0.2066, 0.1976]
355
+ R² : [0.9825, 0.9563, 0.9099, 0.9135, 0.9470, 0.9458, 0.9059, 0.9223, 0.9290, 0.9139, 0.8938, 0.9089]
356
+ R²_std : [0.0038, 0.0124, 0.0243, 0.0097, 0.0208, 0.0071, 0.0196, 0.0114, 0.0272, 0.0223, 0.0171, 0.0007]
357
+ SSIM : [0.9105, 0.8697, 0.8107, 0.7980, 0.8364, 0.8169, 0.8128, 0.8348, 0.8433, 0.8031, 0.7770, 0.7981]
358
+ SSIM_std : [0.0272, 0.0371, 0.0080, 0.0363, 0.0585, 0.0230, 0.0010, 0.0024, 0.0386, 0.0296, 0.0418, 0.0262]
359
+
360
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
361
+
362
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
363
+ RMSE : [3.3994, 4.4108, 4.9606, 5.2382, 5.5335, 5.8058, 5.9374, 6.1072, 6.2787, 6.5497, 6.5547, 6.6614]
364
+ RMSE_std : [0.4514, 0.6382, 0.6608, 0.7407, 0.8797, 0.9232, 1.1932, 1.0947, 0.9130, 1.1639, 1.3878, 1.4721]
365
+ R² : [0.9879, 0.9794, 0.9731, 0.9703, 0.9666, 0.9632, 0.9599, 0.9583, 0.9566, 0.9526, 0.9512, 0.9502]
366
+ R²_std : [0.0030, 0.0058, 0.0079, 0.0098, 0.0129, 0.0131, 0.0168, 0.0159, 0.0148, 0.0192, 0.0226, 0.0227]
367
+ SSIM : [0.9398, 0.9092, 0.8913, 0.8865, 0.8865, 0.8806, 0.8772, 0.8793, 0.8762, 0.8740, 0.8739, 0.8726]
368
+ SSIM_std : [0.0149, 0.0261, 0.0265, 0.0311, 0.0305, 0.0336, 0.0332, 0.0342, 0.0315, 0.0355, 0.0357, 0.0350]
369
+
370
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
371
+ RMSE : [3.0751, 3.7256, 3.8446, 4.2620, 4.9579, 5.5833, 5.8178, 6.7892, 7.6623, 8.3427, 8.8028, 9.2470]
372
+ RMSE_std : [0.0083, 0.0615, 0.2152, 1.0154, 1.3754, 1.6310, 1.9167, 1.9032, 1.4007, 1.5167, 1.1761, 0.7512]
373
+ R² : [0.9896, 0.9848, 0.9840, 0.9792, 0.9720, 0.9650, 0.9605, 0.9473, 0.9364, 0.9272, 0.9210, 0.9148]
374
+ R²_std : [0.0002, 0.0003, 0.0014, 0.0094, 0.0142, 0.0182, 0.0233, 0.0267, 0.0222, 0.0251, 0.0180, 0.0093]
375
+ SSIM : [0.9479, 0.9275, 0.9309, 0.9218, 0.8879, 0.8716, 0.8558, 0.8441, 0.8192, 0.8027, 0.7949, 0.7960]
376
+ SSIM_std : [0.0055, 0.0090, 0.0095, 0.0264, 0.0507, 0.0532, 0.0684, 0.0586, 0.0185, 0.0188, 0.0049, 0.0089]
377
+
378
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
379
+
380
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
381
+ RMSE : [2.4088, 2.9578, 3.3019, 3.4842, 3.7877, 3.7879, 3.8665, 4.0004, 4.1828, 4.2792, 4.2151, 4.3288]
382
+ RMSE_std : [0.7038, 0.8805, 1.2548, 1.4551, 1.4757, 1.5676, 1.6420, 1.7902, 1.7093, 1.6445, 1.6472, 1.6061]
383
+ R² : [0.9798, 0.9696, 0.9623, 0.9573, 0.9485, 0.9477, 0.9465, 0.9410, 0.9359, 0.9345, 0.9379, 0.9356]
384
+ R²_std : [0.0097, 0.0136, 0.0220, 0.0304, 0.0375, 0.0412, 0.0413, 0.0546, 0.0526, 0.0477, 0.0432, 0.0446]
385
+ SSIM : [0.9256, 0.8939, 0.8704, 0.8698, 0.8711, 0.8658, 0.8503, 0.8566, 0.8628, 0.8557, 0.8457, 0.8502]
386
+ SSIM_std : [0.0196, 0.0277, 0.0394, 0.0551, 0.0526, 0.0513, 0.0576, 0.0649, 0.0635, 0.0556, 0.0563, 0.0639]
387
+
388
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
389
+ RMSE : [2.4443, 2.9145, 3.1464, 3.1649, 3.2139, 2.9718, 2.9707, 4.0822, 4.6371, 5.9681, 6.3545, 7.0592]
390
+ RMSE_std : [0.1782, 0.2687, 0.7429, 0.6032, 0.1147, 0.3060, 0.5180, 1.3239, 1.6243, 2.5539, 2.4651, 1.1278]
391
+ R² : [0.9772, 0.9673, 0.9594, 0.9612, 0.9647, 0.9706, 0.9734, 0.9545, 0.9446, 0.9131, 0.8998, 0.8775]
392
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0081, 0.0220, 0.0183, 0.0020, 0.0044, 0.0073, 0.0218, 0.0280, 0.0503, 0.0581, 0.0415]
393
+ SSIM : [0.9128, 0.8700, 0.8741, 0.8817, 0.8713, 0.8684, 0.8770, 0.8676, 0.8479, 0.8147, 0.7857, 0.7793]
394
+ SSIM_std : [0.0002, 0.0313, 0.0510, 0.0287, 0.0057, 0.0273, 0.0380, 0.0273, 0.0178, 0.0245, 0.0474, 0.0643]
395
+
396
+
397
+
398
+
399
+ Storm Analysis Results:
400
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
401
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
402
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
403
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 6.96 ± 3.13 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.82 ± 0.08 8.39 ± 3.28 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08
404
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 6.47 ± 2.06 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.08 7.93 ± 1.99 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.78 ± 0.07
405
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.41 ± 2.41 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.08 6.78 ± 3.06 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.09
406
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 4.97 ± 1.78 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.86 ± 0.07 6.82 ± 1.60 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.76 ± 0.05
407
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.04 ± 1.99 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 5.81 ± 1.90 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.04
408
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 5.40 ± 1.53 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04 6.01 ± 1.72 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.82 ± 0.01
409
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 5.85 ± 1.63 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.03 5.86 ± 1.58 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04
410
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 4.54 ± 1.79 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.05 5.94 ± 1.75 / 0.95 ± 0.00 / 0.80 ± 0.01
411
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 3.90 ± 1.41 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04 4.11 ± 1.34 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.00
412
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 2.65 ± 1.11 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08 4.07 ± 1.29 / 0.87 ± 0.02 / 0.67 ± 0.03
413
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 3.94 ± 1.51 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.07 4.71 ± 1.86 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07
414
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 3.82 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.84 ± 0.05 4.48 ± 1.50 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.05
415
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 3.50 ± 1.30 / 0.97 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.05 3.90 ± 1.56 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.87 ± 0.06
416
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.07 ± 1.15 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 4.23 ± 1.30 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.01
417
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 5.64 ± 1.29 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03 6.47 ± 1.08 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04
418
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 3.78 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.07 4.69 ± 1.66 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.06
419
+
420
+
421
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
422
+
423
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
424
+
425
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
426
+ RMSE : [4.1192, 5.3218, 6.0750, 6.5378, 6.9250, 7.2092, 7.3898, 7.5617, 7.7427, 7.8764, 8.0228, 8.2361]
427
+ RMSE_std : [1.3776, 2.0510, 2.4238, 2.7309, 2.9729, 3.2370, 3.3063, 3.3938, 3.2114, 3.3200, 3.5706, 3.6009]
428
+ R² : [0.9815, 0.9686, 0.9593, 0.9526, 0.9464, 0.9409, 0.9373, 0.9340, 0.9323, 0.9298, 0.9261, 0.9225]
429
+ R²_std : [0.0136, 0.0241, 0.0308, 0.0373, 0.0449, 0.0579, 0.0659, 0.0692, 0.0624, 0.0651, 0.0721, 0.0740]
430
+ SSIM : [0.9306, 0.8983, 0.8792, 0.8696, 0.8660, 0.8618, 0.8576, 0.8588, 0.8561, 0.8543, 0.8524, 0.8483]
431
+ SSIM_std : [0.0321, 0.0480, 0.0578, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0698, 0.0738, 0.0777, 0.0799, 0.0805, 0.0840, 0.0844]
432
+
433
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
434
+ RMSE : [2.8422, 3.4202, 3.6427, 3.9341, 4.8492, 5.8049, 6.9473, 8.1249, 9.6947, 11.6618, 13.8169, 15.1150]
435
+ RMSE_std : [0.1792, 0.3199, 0.1737, 0.3724, 1.4970, 2.6851, 3.3571, 3.8208, 4.3531, 4.5543, 4.2984, 3.3670]
436
+ R² : [0.9907, 0.9862, 0.9845, 0.9821, 0.9722, 0.9599, 0.9460, 0.9317, 0.9079, 0.8660, 0.8112, 0.7823]
437
+ R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0025, 0.0012, 0.0025, 0.0172, 0.0351, 0.0443, 0.0505, 0.0678, 0.0981, 0.1215, 0.1069]
438
+ SSIM : [0.9568, 0.9460, 0.9380, 0.9324, 0.9209, 0.9084, 0.8876, 0.8672, 0.8297, 0.7876, 0.7426, 0.7054]
439
+ SSIM_std : [0.0040, 0.0039, 0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0141, 0.0338, 0.0476, 0.0692, 0.0915, 0.1068, 0.1110, 0.0963]
440
+
441
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
442
+
443
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
444
+ RMSE : [3.9541, 4.8273, 5.3903, 5.9038, 6.3749, 6.6118, 6.8668, 7.1135, 7.1798, 7.3619, 7.5515, 7.7505]
445
+ RMSE_std : [1.1323, 1.3097, 1.4887, 1.6145, 1.7384, 1.8624, 1.8682, 1.9805, 2.0467, 2.3101, 2.5219, 2.7313]
446
+ R² : [0.9808, 0.9717, 0.9647, 0.9576, 0.9503, 0.9463, 0.9424, 0.9377, 0.9361, 0.9316, 0.9270, 0.9221]
447
+ R²_std : [0.0116, 0.0158, 0.0201, 0.0236, 0.0278, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0357, 0.0386, 0.0484, 0.0566, 0.0644]
448
+ SSIM : [0.9248, 0.8970, 0.8811, 0.8722, 0.8664, 0.8629, 0.8569, 0.8570, 0.8538, 0.8511, 0.8489, 0.8462]
449
+ SSIM_std : [0.0297, 0.0435, 0.0506, 0.0534, 0.0538, 0.0559, 0.0591, 0.0596, 0.0608, 0.0627, 0.0663, 0.0700]
450
+
451
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
452
+ RMSE : [3.1465, 4.1117, 4.6499, 5.1475, 5.5401, 5.8548, 6.4198, 7.4544, 8.6703, 10.3680, 12.0141, 13.7147]
453
+ RMSE_std : [0.2291, 0.2659, 0.4155, 0.4313, 0.5039, 0.9827, 1.4270, 2.5717, 3.1097, 3.4502, 3.3249, 2.7405]
454
+ R² : [0.9872, 0.9780, 0.9718, 0.9656, 0.9604, 0.9555, 0.9476, 0.9319, 0.9087, 0.8640, 0.8180, 0.7695]
455
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0148, 0.0207, 0.0393, 0.0577, 0.0874, 0.0994, 0.0931]
456
+ SSIM : [0.9437, 0.9186, 0.9010, 0.8860, 0.8753, 0.8624, 0.8503, 0.8195, 0.7872, 0.7520, 0.7185, 0.6843]
457
+ SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0095, 0.0104, 0.0147, 0.0152, 0.0276, 0.0339, 0.0630, 0.0765, 0.0823, 0.0785, 0.0615]
458
+
459
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
460
+
461
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
462
+ RMSE : [3.2471, 4.2605, 4.7848, 5.1314, 5.3914, 5.4957, 5.8205, 6.0376, 6.1871, 6.3186, 6.5239, 6.5273]
463
+ RMSE_std : [0.9939, 1.2655, 1.4437, 1.5738, 1.6544, 1.7919, 1.9475, 2.1748, 2.3578, 2.6013, 2.7456, 2.9388]
464
+ R² : [0.9851, 0.9743, 0.9675, 0.9625, 0.9584, 0.9559, 0.9499, 0.9448, 0.9411, 0.9370, 0.9319, 0.9299]
465
+ R²_std : [0.0114, 0.0174, 0.0208, 0.0243, 0.0271, 0.0323, 0.0392, 0.0478, 0.0547, 0.0632, 0.0688, 0.0743]
466
+ SSIM : [0.9413, 0.9151, 0.8980, 0.8884, 0.8853, 0.8820, 0.8745, 0.8721, 0.8699, 0.8646, 0.8636, 0.8605]
467
+ SSIM_std : [0.0266, 0.0379, 0.0444, 0.0481, 0.0488, 0.0537, 0.0576, 0.0635, 0.0677, 0.0730, 0.0772, 0.0811]
468
+
469
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
470
+ RMSE : [2.9501, 3.5025, 3.5266, 3.6695, 4.3740, 5.2872, 6.3255, 7.2963, 8.3547, 9.6604, 10.9071, 11.9562]
471
+ RMSE_std : [0.6462, 0.5304, 0.3664, 0.2954, 1.1777, 2.2680, 2.9333, 3.1434, 3.0184, 2.7880, 2.2573, 1.8935]
472
+ R² : [0.9879, 0.9829, 0.9824, 0.9806, 0.9716, 0.9585, 0.9431, 0.9292, 0.9107, 0.8808, 0.8482, 0.8144]
473
+ R²_std : [0.0053, 0.0043, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0318, 0.0427, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0620, 0.0716, 0.0808]
474
+ SSIM : [0.9574, 0.9439, 0.9369, 0.9302, 0.9138, 0.8887, 0.8576, 0.8331, 0.8063, 0.7744, 0.7409, 0.7116]
475
+ SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0085, 0.0070, 0.0135, 0.0359, 0.0666, 0.0770, 0.0764, 0.0744, 0.0640, 0.0539, 0.0517]
476
+
477
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
478
+
479
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
480
+ RMSE : [3.2827, 3.9334, 4.4614, 4.7218, 4.9272, 5.0355, 5.3090, 5.4476, 5.5231, 5.5424, 5.6385, 5.7127]
481
+ RMSE_std : [0.8458, 1.1088, 1.3102, 1.5660, 1.5906, 1.5966, 1.7779, 1.8080, 1.8930, 1.9168, 1.9715, 1.9918]
482
+ R² : [0.9812, 0.9725, 0.9644, 0.9591, 0.9558, 0.9541, 0.9483, 0.9458, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9412, 0.9397]
483
+ R²_std : [0.0103, 0.0172, 0.0229, 0.0294, 0.0302, 0.0299, 0.0348, 0.0354, 0.0380, 0.0385, 0.0402, 0.0423]
484
+ SSIM : [0.9307, 0.9047, 0.8891, 0.8828, 0.8802, 0.8774, 0.8742, 0.8744, 0.8731, 0.8726, 0.8726, 0.8705]
485
+ SSIM_std : [0.0275, 0.0407, 0.0475, 0.0518, 0.0516, 0.0529, 0.0559, 0.0566, 0.0586, 0.0592, 0.0579, 0.0575]
486
+
487
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
488
+ RMSE : [3.0778, 3.4700, 3.9177, 4.3131, 5.1069, 5.9247, 6.3961, 7.2407, 8.2287, 9.2248, 9.8703, 10.1777]
489
+ RMSE_std : [0.5882, 0.4735, 0.4392, 0.7439, 1.6821, 1.9490, 2.3033, 2.2516, 2.0727, 1.3573, 0.6645, 0.7750]
490
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9811, 0.9758, 0.9695, 0.9548, 0.9398, 0.9298, 0.9149, 0.8953, 0.8737, 0.8592, 0.8511]
491
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0055, 0.0117, 0.0316, 0.0371, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0398, 0.0301, 0.0178, 0.0244]
492
+ SSIM : [0.9368, 0.9229, 0.9138, 0.8978, 0.8723, 0.8470, 0.8296, 0.8011, 0.7757, 0.7507, 0.7463, 0.7471]
493
+ SSIM_std : [0.0124, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0321, 0.0620, 0.0696, 0.0738, 0.0692, 0.0550, 0.0299, 0.0212, 0.0237]
494
+
495
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
496
+
497
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
498
+ RMSE : [3.8856, 4.7295, 5.2928, 5.7091, 5.9668, 6.2044, 6.4662, 6.5455, 6.7698, 6.7991, 6.9897, 7.1499]
499
+ RMSE_std : [0.9505, 1.2081, 1.4190, 1.5882, 1.6940, 1.8342, 1.8626, 1.9364, 1.8758, 1.9592, 2.0250, 2.0364]
500
+ R² : [0.9837, 0.9758, 0.9700, 0.9651, 0.9616, 0.9584, 0.9550, 0.9538, 0.9508, 0.9502, 0.9474, 0.9451]
501
+ R²_std : [0.0081, 0.0119, 0.0147, 0.0174, 0.0200, 0.0231, 0.0237, 0.0252, 0.0245, 0.0263, 0.0280, 0.0283]
502
+ SSIM : [0.9325, 0.9085, 0.8948, 0.8854, 0.8823, 0.8779, 0.8728, 0.8745, 0.8720, 0.8696, 0.8675, 0.8642]
503
+ SSIM_std : [0.0218, 0.0314, 0.0390, 0.0439, 0.0446, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0465, 0.0455, 0.0453, 0.0478, 0.0511]
504
+
505
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
506
+ RMSE : [3.4323, 3.8652, 4.3140, 4.4805, 4.4540, 4.6301, 5.0670, 5.8080, 6.5829, 7.3047, 8.1476, 9.2164]
507
+ RMSE_std : [0.4040, 0.3103, 0.2715, 0.3282, 0.2582, 0.3080, 1.3461, 2.4447, 2.8497, 2.7637, 2.5658, 2.0354]
508
+ R² : [0.9880, 0.9848, 0.9811, 0.9795, 0.9799, 0.9784, 0.9738, 0.9649, 0.9561, 0.9471, 0.9352, 0.9179]
509
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0031, 0.0026, 0.0030, 0.0143, 0.0276, 0.0322, 0.0323, 0.0332, 0.0312]
510
+ SSIM : [0.9421, 0.9260, 0.9183, 0.9140, 0.9165, 0.9183, 0.9008, 0.8813, 0.8589, 0.8359, 0.8120, 0.7787]
511
+ SSIM_std : [0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0085, 0.0092, 0.0079, 0.0045, 0.0408, 0.0693, 0.0792, 0.0762, 0.0726, 0.0567]
512
+
513
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
514
+
515
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
516
+ RMSE : [3.4969, 4.5035, 5.0313, 5.3515, 5.4803, 5.6070, 5.7261, 5.7798, 5.8975, 6.0380, 6.1504, 6.3377]
517
+ RMSE_std : [0.5431, 0.7511, 0.8878, 1.0261, 1.0757, 1.1332, 1.1799, 1.2564, 1.2306, 1.2995, 1.3963, 1.3966]
518
+ R² : [0.9868, 0.9780, 0.9725, 0.9687, 0.9670, 0.9653, 0.9635, 0.9626, 0.9610, 0.9589, 0.9569, 0.9542]
519
+ R²_std : [0.0041, 0.0075, 0.0091, 0.0115, 0.0121, 0.0128, 0.0141, 0.0151, 0.0154, 0.0166, 0.0195, 0.0204]
520
+ SSIM : [0.9383, 0.9107, 0.8948, 0.8883, 0.8886, 0.8862, 0.8812, 0.8828, 0.8817, 0.8786, 0.8796, 0.8766]
521
+ SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0220, 0.0282, 0.0306, 0.0297, 0.0314, 0.0316, 0.0339, 0.0332, 0.0342, 0.0348, 0.0340]
522
+
523
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
524
+ RMSE : [3.6227, 4.8000, 5.6659, 5.9855, 6.3654, 6.7070, 6.7976, 6.6294, 6.4142, 6.4562, 6.8749, 7.2389]
525
+ RMSE_std : [0.2510, 0.4548, 0.7060, 0.8603, 0.8425, 0.7116, 0.7872, 0.7496, 0.7129, 0.8556, 0.8055, 0.7069]
526
+ R² : [0.9873, 0.9782, 0.9695, 0.9653, 0.9604, 0.9553, 0.9527, 0.9545, 0.9570, 0.9568, 0.9518, 0.9472]
527
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0030, 0.0058, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0066, 0.0096, 0.0083, 0.0077, 0.0096, 0.0099, 0.0087]
528
+ SSIM : [0.9349, 0.8933, 0.8644, 0.8594, 0.8626, 0.8625, 0.8586, 0.8622, 0.8594, 0.8552, 0.8473, 0.8365]
529
+ SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0222, 0.0279, 0.0270, 0.0209, 0.0208, 0.0230, 0.0221, 0.0250, 0.0249, 0.0281, 0.0223]
530
+
531
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
532
+
533
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
534
+ RMSE : [3.9086, 4.6823, 5.1253, 5.5349, 5.8901, 6.0202, 6.2593, 6.3533, 6.6226, 6.6501, 6.6547, 6.6243]
535
+ RMSE_std : [0.6153, 0.8146, 1.0320, 1.1667, 1.2377, 1.3547, 1.4674, 1.4853, 1.5519, 1.5540, 1.5840, 1.7199]
536
+ R² : [0.9830, 0.9756, 0.9708, 0.9659, 0.9612, 0.9595, 0.9558, 0.9546, 0.9505, 0.9501, 0.9498, 0.9498]
537
+ R²_std : [0.0058, 0.0083, 0.0112, 0.0137, 0.0159, 0.0177, 0.0206, 0.0212, 0.0244, 0.0245, 0.0252, 0.0269]
538
+ SSIM : [0.9323, 0.9073, 0.8948, 0.8872, 0.8831, 0.8794, 0.8757, 0.8751, 0.8709, 0.8695, 0.8720, 0.8722]
539
+ SSIM_std : [0.0157, 0.0253, 0.0309, 0.0340, 0.0332, 0.0362, 0.0359, 0.0357, 0.0358, 0.0350, 0.0351, 0.0389]
540
+
541
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
542
+ RMSE : [3.5358, 3.7854, 4.0639, 4.3036, 4.7646, 5.0936, 5.6675, 6.4134, 7.1730, 7.4942, 7.8785, 8.6395]
543
+ RMSE_std : [0.4039, 0.2526, 0.2274, 0.3962, 0.5601, 0.7994, 1.1903, 1.7311, 1.7354, 1.5063, 1.2340, 1.0039]
544
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9842, 0.9818, 0.9793, 0.9743, 0.9710, 0.9657, 0.9577, 0.9491, 0.9462, 0.9422, 0.9318]
545
+ R²_std : [0.0035, 0.0024, 0.0018, 0.0040, 0.0060, 0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0133, 0.0130]
546
+ SSIM : [0.9446, 0.9324, 0.9220, 0.9159, 0.9045, 0.8931, 0.8771, 0.8586, 0.8404, 0.8194, 0.8088, 0.7953]
547
+ SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0041, 0.0055, 0.0123, 0.0176, 0.0254, 0.0367, 0.0457, 0.0495, 0.0445, 0.0313, 0.0249]
548
+
549
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
550
+
551
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
552
+ RMSE : [2.8092, 3.5197, 3.9834, 4.2800, 4.5797, 4.7496, 4.8929, 5.0394, 5.1434, 5.2880, 5.4160, 5.5450]
553
+ RMSE_std : [0.7259, 0.9482, 1.1138, 1.2192, 1.2778, 1.3141, 1.3981, 1.4891, 1.6063, 1.7045, 1.8045, 1.8762]
554
+ R² : [0.9868, 0.9795, 0.9738, 0.9699, 0.9658, 0.9635, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9570, 0.9546, 0.9524, 0.9504]
555
+ R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0086, 0.0114, 0.0132, 0.0146, 0.0153, 0.0174, 0.0197, 0.0225, 0.0244, 0.0271, 0.0286]
556
+ SSIM : [0.9467, 0.9235, 0.9087, 0.9013, 0.8968, 0.8934, 0.8903, 0.8886, 0.8863, 0.8826, 0.8803, 0.8755]
557
+ SSIM_std : [0.0180, 0.0268, 0.0338, 0.0377, 0.0388, 0.0402, 0.0421, 0.0430, 0.0449, 0.0481, 0.0504, 0.0535]
558
+
559
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
560
+ RMSE : [3.1900, 4.1998, 5.0614, 5.7498, 6.2297, 6.2971, 6.3335, 6.4340, 6.7126, 7.0601, 7.3004, 7.7929]
561
+ RMSE_std : [0.8135, 0.9048, 0.8743, 0.6528, 0.6300, 0.6502, 0.4694, 0.4780, 0.5299, 0.5427, 0.4991, 0.4676]
562
+ R² : [0.9859, 0.9766, 0.9674, 0.9590, 0.9522, 0.9504, 0.9486, 0.9451, 0.9387, 0.9307, 0.9249, 0.9140]
563
+ R²_std : [0.0061, 0.0082, 0.0095, 0.0091, 0.0093, 0.0087, 0.0060, 0.0066, 0.0080, 0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0112]
564
+ SSIM : [0.9293, 0.8965, 0.8769, 0.8578, 0.8494, 0.8437, 0.8392, 0.8259, 0.8099, 0.7946, 0.7869, 0.7769]
565
+ SSIM_std : [0.0207, 0.0246, 0.0239, 0.0208, 0.0200, 0.0168, 0.0139, 0.0134, 0.0100, 0.0094, 0.0103, 0.0174]
566
+
567
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
568
+
569
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
570
+ RMSE : [2.7765, 3.5411, 3.8442, 4.0300, 4.1005, 4.1602, 4.1809, 4.2840, 4.3100, 4.3268, 4.3667, 4.3717]
571
+ RMSE_std : [0.5255, 0.7526, 0.8436, 0.9238, 0.9147, 0.8558, 0.8243, 0.8940, 0.9317, 0.9909, 0.9979, 1.1124]
572
+ R² : [0.9741, 0.9574, 0.9495, 0.9445, 0.9423, 0.9410, 0.9404, 0.9371, 0.9360, 0.9354, 0.9345, 0.9336]
573
+ R²_std : [0.0083, 0.0168, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0272, 0.0253, 0.0239, 0.0261, 0.0282, 0.0298, 0.0313, 0.0377]
574
+ SSIM : [0.9083, 0.8687, 0.8554, 0.8484, 0.8481, 0.8449, 0.8430, 0.8444, 0.8436, 0.8418, 0.8421, 0.8421]
575
+ SSIM_std : [0.0223, 0.0313, 0.0349, 0.0372, 0.0366, 0.0368, 0.0379, 0.0390, 0.0405, 0.0416, 0.0391, 0.0405]
576
+
577
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
578
+ RMSE : [2.7370, 3.4952, 3.6859, 3.8800, 3.9928, 4.0670, 3.9519, 4.0425, 4.3765, 5.0792, 5.4361, 5.6275]
579
+ RMSE_std : [0.1858, 0.3403, 0.4141, 0.3525, 0.4055, 0.3305, 0.3694, 0.6687, 0.8193, 1.0085, 1.0451, 1.0418]
580
+ R² : [0.9714, 0.9532, 0.9492, 0.9479, 0.9472, 0.9495, 0.9553, 0.9541, 0.9473, 0.9313, 0.9218, 0.9163]
581
+ R²_std : [0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0167, 0.0126, 0.0172, 0.0129, 0.0072, 0.0122, 0.0174, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0234]
582
+ SSIM : [0.9007, 0.8531, 0.8431, 0.8416, 0.8470, 0.8614, 0.8633, 0.8661, 0.8510, 0.8329, 0.8154, 0.8079]
583
+ SSIM_std : [0.0172, 0.0259, 0.0365, 0.0390, 0.0443, 0.0238, 0.0142, 0.0185, 0.0358, 0.0348, 0.0426, 0.0360]
584
+
585
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
586
+
587
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
588
+ RMSE : [1.7877, 2.2898, 2.4989, 2.5558, 2.6388, 2.7011, 2.7689, 2.8379, 2.9002, 2.9693, 3.0291, 3.1514]
589
+ RMSE_std : [0.5442, 0.6949, 0.7635, 0.8369, 0.8776, 0.9268, 1.0322, 1.0725, 1.1603, 1.1770, 1.2071, 1.2848]
590
+ R² : [0.9706, 0.9515, 0.9419, 0.9385, 0.9343, 0.9309, 0.9269, 0.9228, 0.9185, 0.9139, 0.9095, 0.9003]
591
+ R²_std : [0.0190, 0.0300, 0.0354, 0.0399, 0.0426, 0.0462, 0.0501, 0.0548, 0.0607, 0.0650, 0.0695, 0.0807]
592
+ SSIM : [0.8991, 0.8582, 0.8411, 0.8357, 0.8332, 0.8288, 0.8241, 0.8255, 0.8249, 0.8225, 0.8220, 0.8177]
593
+ SSIM_std : [0.0355, 0.0546, 0.0613, 0.0665, 0.0689, 0.0707, 0.0738, 0.0739, 0.0741, 0.0746, 0.0764, 0.0795]
594
+
595
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
596
+ RMSE : [1.5452, 2.1232, 2.5653, 2.9668, 3.5853, 4.2954, 4.8807, 4.8495, 5.0580, 5.1004, 5.1712, 5.2843]
597
+ RMSE_std : [0.4602, 0.6264, 0.7643, 0.8088, 0.6678, 0.7225, 0.8270, 1.0536, 1.3771, 1.3846, 1.2287, 1.0251]
598
+ R² : [0.9804, 0.9643, 0.9488, 0.9338, 0.9105, 0.8813, 0.8483, 0.8464, 0.8275, 0.8201, 0.8071, 0.7799]
599
+ R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0166, 0.0264, 0.0332, 0.0284, 0.0264, 0.0343, 0.0428, 0.0601, 0.0599, 0.0502, 0.0380]
600
+ SSIM : [0.9101, 0.8698, 0.8429, 0.8243, 0.7981, 0.7773, 0.7429, 0.7342, 0.7151, 0.6949, 0.6756, 0.6566]
601
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0301, 0.0307, 0.0344, 0.0220, 0.0221, 0.0301, 0.0391, 0.0423, 0.0366, 0.0287, 0.0229]
602
+
603
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
604
+
605
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
606
+ RMSE : [2.5745, 3.3292, 3.6748, 3.8731, 4.0340, 4.1263, 4.1508, 4.2806, 4.3528, 4.4575, 4.5509, 4.6424]
607
+ RMSE_std : [0.4864, 0.7616, 0.8669, 0.9595, 1.0063, 1.0929, 1.1938, 1.2975, 1.3886, 1.5154, 1.5819, 1.6895]
608
+ R² : [0.9805, 0.9672, 0.9599, 0.9553, 0.9513, 0.9486, 0.9476, 0.9437, 0.9415, 0.9382, 0.9352, 0.9319]
609
+ R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0132, 0.0161, 0.0187, 0.0207, 0.0237, 0.0263, 0.0303, 0.0338, 0.0395, 0.0433, 0.0472]
610
+ SSIM : [0.9307, 0.8993, 0.8861, 0.8813, 0.8783, 0.8755, 0.8753, 0.8752, 0.8743, 0.8713, 0.8703, 0.8681]
611
+ SSIM_std : [0.0196, 0.0332, 0.0385, 0.0417, 0.0435, 0.0457, 0.0489, 0.0512, 0.0533, 0.0554, 0.0550, 0.0595]
612
+
613
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
614
+ RMSE : [2.3255, 2.7861, 3.0598, 3.2712, 3.6114, 3.8457, 4.1834, 4.8293, 5.5216, 6.4332, 7.2039, 7.8165]
615
+ RMSE_std : [0.1623, 0.0970, 0.2369, 0.4266, 0.4887, 0.5726, 0.8084, 1.1631, 1.7603, 2.2259, 2.3256, 2.1795]
616
+ R² : [0.9829, 0.9755, 0.9706, 0.9669, 0.9607, 0.9562, 0.9492, 0.9345, 0.9178, 0.8915, 0.8650, 0.8417]
617
+ R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0021, 0.0044, 0.0080, 0.0090, 0.0104, 0.0160, 0.0262, 0.0440, 0.0638, 0.0758, 0.0783]
618
+ SSIM : [0.9402, 0.9206, 0.9109, 0.9021, 0.8889, 0.8725, 0.8586, 0.8389, 0.8153, 0.7856, 0.7644, 0.7389]
619
+ SSIM_std : [0.0058, 0.0080, 0.0115, 0.0257, 0.0279, 0.0289, 0.0344, 0.0419, 0.0597, 0.0668, 0.0650, 0.0618]
620
+
621
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
622
+
623
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
624
+ RMSE : [2.4615, 3.2274, 3.5836, 3.8127, 3.9442, 4.0468, 4.1798, 4.2512, 4.3254, 4.4075, 4.4868, 4.5309]
625
+ RMSE_std : [0.4937, 0.6851, 0.7877, 0.8695, 0.9362, 0.9915, 1.0411, 1.0459, 1.0920, 1.1446, 1.2102, 1.2114]
626
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9683, 0.9609, 0.9556, 0.9525, 0.9499, 0.9462, 0.9441, 0.9417, 0.9392, 0.9370, 0.9355]
627
+ R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0189, 0.0206, 0.0221, 0.0236, 0.0247, 0.0282, 0.0321, 0.0347, 0.0364]
628
+ SSIM : [0.9267, 0.8932, 0.8787, 0.8723, 0.8697, 0.8680, 0.8636, 0.8652, 0.8639, 0.8611, 0.8603, 0.8584]
629
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0329, 0.0359, 0.0394, 0.0414, 0.0409, 0.0417, 0.0415, 0.0433, 0.0442, 0.0462, 0.0471]
630
+
631
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
632
+ RMSE : [2.2156, 2.6833, 3.0936, 3.2732, 3.3470, 3.6751, 4.3126, 4.8522, 5.5075, 6.0052, 6.5681, 7.0342]
633
+ RMSE_std : [0.2486, 0.2698, 0.3869, 0.3905, 0.4140, 0.8112, 1.2484, 1.4590, 1.3146, 1.1968, 1.0756, 0.6554]
634
+ R² : [0.9852, 0.9792, 0.9729, 0.9698, 0.9684, 0.9606, 0.9459, 0.9343, 0.9213, 0.9105, 0.8934, 0.8731]
635
+ R²_std : [0.0032, 0.0033, 0.0051, 0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0173, 0.0275, 0.0310, 0.0273, 0.0249, 0.0245, 0.0329]
636
+ SSIM : [0.9436, 0.9259, 0.9145, 0.9104, 0.9030, 0.8810, 0.8504, 0.8311, 0.8042, 0.7874, 0.7652, 0.7525]
637
+ SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0054, 0.0077, 0.0069, 0.0197, 0.0526, 0.0722, 0.0749, 0.0666, 0.0582, 0.0407, 0.0179]
638
+
639
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
640
+
641
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
642
+ RMSE : [2.3920, 2.9985, 3.3357, 3.4785, 3.5972, 3.6605, 3.6667, 3.7518, 3.8038, 3.8411, 3.9538, 3.9371]
643
+ RMSE_std : [0.4652, 0.6408, 0.8000, 0.9437, 1.0688, 1.1552, 1.2140, 1.2855, 1.3053, 1.3481, 1.3800, 1.3913]
644
+ R² : [0.9887, 0.9822, 0.9779, 0.9756, 0.9735, 0.9721, 0.9717, 0.9700, 0.9689, 0.9680, 0.9660, 0.9662]
645
+ R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0109, 0.0142, 0.0175, 0.0206, 0.0220, 0.0238, 0.0247, 0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0262]
646
+ SSIM : [0.9532, 0.9337, 0.9220, 0.9158, 0.9142, 0.9128, 0.9108, 0.9108, 0.9098, 0.9106, 0.9113, 0.9118]
647
+ SSIM_std : [0.0133, 0.0222, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0370, 0.0405, 0.0425, 0.0444, 0.0452, 0.0463, 0.0449, 0.0450]
648
+
649
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
650
+ RMSE : [1.8647, 2.2107, 2.4019, 2.4218, 2.5649, 2.7382, 3.1185, 3.8368, 4.6705, 5.3757, 6.1185, 6.6861]
651
+ RMSE_std : [0.1496, 0.1906, 0.0985, 0.1285, 0.2331, 0.3859, 0.9381, 1.7570, 2.1950, 2.2207, 1.9859, 1.6172]
652
+ R² : [0.9926, 0.9896, 0.9877, 0.9874, 0.9858, 0.9838, 0.9787, 0.9676, 0.9538, 0.9409, 0.9253, 0.9137]
653
+ R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0015, 0.0008, 0.0012, 0.0024, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0359, 0.0392, 0.0403, 0.0353]
654
+ SSIM : [0.9644, 0.9516, 0.9460, 0.9440, 0.9390, 0.9370, 0.9264, 0.9079, 0.8826, 0.8583, 0.8372, 0.8170]
655
+ SSIM_std : [0.0047, 0.0065, 0.0025, 0.0030, 0.0081, 0.0097, 0.0247, 0.0516, 0.0684, 0.0752, 0.0675, 0.0604]
656
+
657
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
658
+
659
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
660
+ RMSE : [2.0786, 2.6674, 2.9512, 3.1022, 3.2108, 3.2670, 3.3019, 3.3454, 3.3570, 3.3916, 3.4228, 3.4935]
661
+ RMSE_std : [0.4358, 0.6608, 0.8142, 0.8463, 0.8652, 0.9293, 0.9847, 0.9404, 0.9551, 0.9694, 0.9704, 0.9529]
662
+ R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9611, 0.9573, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9516, 0.9504, 0.9501, 0.9492, 0.9485, 0.9466]
663
+ R²_std : [0.0069, 0.0150, 0.0192, 0.0195, 0.0201, 0.0226, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0254, 0.0260, 0.0261, 0.0255]
664
+ SSIM : [0.9281, 0.8972, 0.8846, 0.8791, 0.8763, 0.8745, 0.8717, 0.8727, 0.8725, 0.8716, 0.8702, 0.8680]
665
+ SSIM_std : [0.0199, 0.0315, 0.0372, 0.0393, 0.0391, 0.0418, 0.0448, 0.0458, 0.0476, 0.0472, 0.0485, 0.0500]
666
+
667
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
668
+ RMSE : [2.4764, 3.5389, 3.9560, 4.0080, 3.9729, 4.0689, 4.5338, 4.7117, 4.9499, 5.0902, 5.1908, 5.1404]
669
+ RMSE_std : [0.4228, 0.7084, 0.7837, 0.6052, 0.7673, 0.8807, 0.9236, 0.8438, 0.7887, 0.5078, 0.4810, 0.4143]
670
+ R² : [0.9719, 0.9419, 0.9289, 0.9318, 0.9365, 0.9359, 0.9241, 0.9212, 0.9151, 0.9099, 0.9033, 0.9000]
671
+ R²_std : [0.0090, 0.0264, 0.0280, 0.0208, 0.0180, 0.0194, 0.0225, 0.0235, 0.0256, 0.0172, 0.0137, 0.0089]
672
+ SSIM : [0.8955, 0.8415, 0.8227, 0.8213, 0.8361, 0.8367, 0.8312, 0.8255, 0.8115, 0.8018, 0.7958, 0.7832]
673
+ SSIM_std : [0.0254, 0.0325, 0.0349, 0.0363, 0.0332, 0.0290, 0.0249, 0.0331, 0.0419, 0.0295, 0.0316, 0.0269]
674
+
675
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
676
+
677
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
678
+ RMSE : [3.6263, 4.4407, 4.8969, 5.2489, 5.5784, 5.7522, 5.8912, 6.0749, 6.2703, 6.4748, 6.5919, 6.7265]
679
+ RMSE_std : [0.5388, 0.6421, 0.6999, 0.8272, 0.9172, 0.8951, 1.0689, 1.1094, 1.1754, 1.2233, 1.2514, 1.2887]
680
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9789, 0.9742, 0.9700, 0.9658, 0.9636, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9561, 0.9533, 0.9517, 0.9499]
681
+ R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0067, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0158, 0.0168, 0.0186, 0.0194, 0.0197, 0.0199]
682
+ SSIM : [0.9335, 0.9077, 0.8938, 0.8875, 0.8847, 0.8805, 0.8794, 0.8799, 0.8759, 0.8742, 0.8754, 0.8727]
683
+ SSIM_std : [0.0166, 0.0238, 0.0282, 0.0302, 0.0303, 0.0332, 0.0335, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0337, 0.0338, 0.0326]
684
+
685
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
686
+ RMSE : [3.0494, 3.7210, 4.0846, 4.5159, 5.0244, 5.7137, 6.3502, 7.1129, 7.6967, 8.3236, 8.8072, 9.2545]
687
+ RMSE_std : [0.2882, 0.5703, 0.8337, 1.0869, 1.2209, 1.4258, 1.2923, 1.2026, 0.9902, 1.2097, 1.3564, 1.2246]
688
+ R² : [0.9898, 0.9846, 0.9813, 0.9771, 0.9718, 0.9636, 0.9560, 0.9458, 0.9379, 0.9280, 0.9204, 0.9145]
689
+ R²_std : [0.0018, 0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0156, 0.0170, 0.0166, 0.0218, 0.0252, 0.0234]
690
+ SSIM : [0.9501, 0.9329, 0.9198, 0.9038, 0.8831, 0.8589, 0.8435, 0.8278, 0.8158, 0.8087, 0.8046, 0.8062]
691
+ SSIM_std : [0.0073, 0.0151, 0.0300, 0.0418, 0.0484, 0.0543, 0.0469, 0.0359, 0.0175, 0.0212, 0.0275, 0.0244]
692
+
693
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
694
+
695
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
696
+ RMSE : [2.3474, 3.0244, 3.3594, 3.5398, 3.7387, 3.7885, 3.9173, 4.0413, 4.1089, 4.2127, 4.2920, 4.4030]
697
+ RMSE_std : [0.6126, 0.9472, 1.2130, 1.4140, 1.4961, 1.5840, 1.6504, 1.6974, 1.6873, 1.6817, 1.6850, 1.6789]
698
+ R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9606, 0.9557, 0.9502, 0.9481, 0.9443, 0.9405, 0.9389, 0.9368, 0.9350, 0.9327]
699
+ R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0156, 0.0232, 0.0301, 0.0354, 0.0398, 0.0438, 0.0487, 0.0492, 0.0488, 0.0491, 0.0478]
700
+ SSIM : [0.9223, 0.8901, 0.8770, 0.8698, 0.8641, 0.8623, 0.8577, 0.8571, 0.8542, 0.8539, 0.8516, 0.8487]
701
+ SSIM_std : [0.0191, 0.0336, 0.0417, 0.0500, 0.0528, 0.0566, 0.0585, 0.0603, 0.0614, 0.0603, 0.0596, 0.0617]
702
+
703
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
704
+ RMSE : [2.3015, 2.8941, 3.0619, 2.9598, 2.9575, 3.3257, 3.9441, 4.7917, 5.5570, 6.4429, 7.1821, 7.7887]
705
+ RMSE_std : [0.2775, 0.3868, 0.4421, 0.4807, 0.4294, 1.0963, 1.5059, 2.0663, 2.3231, 2.1607, 1.6829, 1.0039]
706
+ R² : [0.9794, 0.9677, 0.9652, 0.9690, 0.9715, 0.9659, 0.9552, 0.9387, 0.9220, 0.8986, 0.8774, 0.8574]
707
+ R²_std : [0.0056, 0.0117, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.0072, 0.0186, 0.0270, 0.0404, 0.0504, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0356]
708
+ SSIM : [0.9149, 0.8815, 0.8775, 0.8830, 0.8787, 0.8732, 0.8624, 0.8437, 0.8199, 0.7952, 0.7770, 0.7565]
709
+ SSIM_std : [0.0220, 0.0346, 0.0301, 0.0270, 0.0316, 0.0369, 0.0351, 0.0368, 0.0461, 0.0552, 0.0536, 0.0502]
710
+
711
+ Storm Analysis Results:
712
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
713
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
714
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
715
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 6.96 ± 3.13 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.82 ± 0.08 8.39 ± 3.28 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08
716
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 6.47 ± 2.06 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.08 7.93 ± 1.99 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.78 ± 0.07
717
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.41 ± 2.41 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.08 6.78 ± 3.06 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.09
718
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 4.97 ± 1.78 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.86 ± 0.07 6.82 ± 1.60 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.76 ± 0.05
719
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.04 ± 1.99 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 5.81 ± 1.90 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.04
720
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 5.40 ± 1.53 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04 6.01 ± 1.72 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.82 ± 0.01
721
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 5.85 ± 1.63 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.03 5.86 ± 1.58 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04
722
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 4.54 ± 1.79 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.05 5.94 ± 1.75 / 0.95 ± 0.00 / 0.80 ± 0.01
723
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 3.90 ± 1.41 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04 4.11 ± 1.34 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.00
724
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 2.65 ± 1.11 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08 4.07 ± 1.29 / 0.87 ± 0.02 / 0.67 ± 0.03
725
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 3.94 ± 1.51 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.07 4.71 ± 1.86 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07
726
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 3.82 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.84 ± 0.05 4.48 ± 1.50 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.05
727
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 3.50 ± 1.30 / 0.97 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.05 3.90 ± 1.56 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.87 ± 0.06
728
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.07 ± 1.15 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 4.23 ± 1.30 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.01
729
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 5.64 ± 1.29 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03 6.47 ± 1.08 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04
730
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 3.78 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.07 4.69 ± 1.66 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.06
731
+
732
+
733
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
734
+
735
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
736
+
737
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
738
+ RMSE : [4.1192, 5.3218, 6.0750, 6.5378, 6.9250, 7.2092, 7.3898, 7.5617, 7.7427, 7.8764, 8.0228, 8.2361]
739
+ RMSE_std : [1.3776, 2.0510, 2.4238, 2.7309, 2.9729, 3.2370, 3.3063, 3.3938, 3.2114, 3.3200, 3.5706, 3.6009]
740
+ R² : [0.9815, 0.9686, 0.9593, 0.9526, 0.9464, 0.9409, 0.9373, 0.9340, 0.9323, 0.9298, 0.9261, 0.9225]
741
+ R²_std : [0.0136, 0.0241, 0.0308, 0.0373, 0.0449, 0.0579, 0.0659, 0.0692, 0.0624, 0.0651, 0.0721, 0.0740]
742
+ SSIM : [0.9306, 0.8983, 0.8792, 0.8696, 0.8660, 0.8618, 0.8576, 0.8588, 0.8561, 0.8543, 0.8524, 0.8483]
743
+ SSIM_std : [0.0321, 0.0480, 0.0578, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0698, 0.0738, 0.0777, 0.0799, 0.0805, 0.0840, 0.0844]
744
+
745
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
746
+ RMSE : [2.8422, 3.4202, 3.6427, 3.9341, 4.8492, 5.8049, 6.9473, 8.1249, 9.6947, 11.6618, 13.8169, 15.1150]
747
+ RMSE_std : [0.1792, 0.3199, 0.1737, 0.3724, 1.4970, 2.6851, 3.3571, 3.8208, 4.3531, 4.5543, 4.2984, 3.3670]
748
+ R² : [0.9907, 0.9862, 0.9845, 0.9821, 0.9722, 0.9599, 0.9460, 0.9317, 0.9079, 0.8660, 0.8112, 0.7823]
749
+ R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0025, 0.0012, 0.0025, 0.0172, 0.0351, 0.0443, 0.0505, 0.0678, 0.0981, 0.1215, 0.1069]
750
+ SSIM : [0.9568, 0.9460, 0.9380, 0.9324, 0.9209, 0.9084, 0.8876, 0.8672, 0.8297, 0.7876, 0.7426, 0.7054]
751
+ SSIM_std : [0.0040, 0.0039, 0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0141, 0.0338, 0.0476, 0.0692, 0.0915, 0.1068, 0.1110, 0.0963]
752
+
753
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
754
+
755
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
756
+ RMSE : [3.9541, 4.8273, 5.3903, 5.9038, 6.3749, 6.6118, 6.8668, 7.1135, 7.1798, 7.3619, 7.5515, 7.7505]
757
+ RMSE_std : [1.1323, 1.3097, 1.4887, 1.6145, 1.7384, 1.8624, 1.8682, 1.9805, 2.0467, 2.3101, 2.5219, 2.7313]
758
+ R² : [0.9808, 0.9717, 0.9647, 0.9576, 0.9503, 0.9463, 0.9424, 0.9377, 0.9361, 0.9316, 0.9270, 0.9221]
759
+ R²_std : [0.0116, 0.0158, 0.0201, 0.0236, 0.0278, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0357, 0.0386, 0.0484, 0.0566, 0.0644]
760
+ SSIM : [0.9248, 0.8970, 0.8811, 0.8722, 0.8664, 0.8629, 0.8569, 0.8570, 0.8538, 0.8511, 0.8489, 0.8462]
761
+ SSIM_std : [0.0297, 0.0435, 0.0506, 0.0534, 0.0538, 0.0559, 0.0591, 0.0596, 0.0608, 0.0627, 0.0663, 0.0700]
762
+
763
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
764
+ RMSE : [3.1465, 4.1117, 4.6499, 5.1475, 5.5401, 5.8548, 6.4198, 7.4544, 8.6703, 10.3680, 12.0141, 13.7147]
765
+ RMSE_std : [0.2291, 0.2659, 0.4155, 0.4313, 0.5039, 0.9827, 1.4270, 2.5717, 3.1097, 3.4502, 3.3249, 2.7405]
766
+ R² : [0.9872, 0.9780, 0.9718, 0.9656, 0.9604, 0.9555, 0.9476, 0.9319, 0.9087, 0.8640, 0.8180, 0.7695]
767
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0148, 0.0207, 0.0393, 0.0577, 0.0874, 0.0994, 0.0931]
768
+ SSIM : [0.9437, 0.9186, 0.9010, 0.8860, 0.8753, 0.8624, 0.8503, 0.8195, 0.7872, 0.7520, 0.7185, 0.6843]
769
+ SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0095, 0.0104, 0.0147, 0.0152, 0.0276, 0.0339, 0.0630, 0.0765, 0.0823, 0.0785, 0.0615]
770
+
771
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
772
+
773
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
774
+ RMSE : [3.2471, 4.2605, 4.7848, 5.1314, 5.3914, 5.4957, 5.8205, 6.0376, 6.1871, 6.3186, 6.5239, 6.5273]
775
+ RMSE_std : [0.9939, 1.2655, 1.4437, 1.5738, 1.6544, 1.7919, 1.9475, 2.1748, 2.3578, 2.6013, 2.7456, 2.9388]
776
+ R² : [0.9851, 0.9743, 0.9675, 0.9625, 0.9584, 0.9559, 0.9499, 0.9448, 0.9411, 0.9370, 0.9319, 0.9299]
777
+ R²_std : [0.0114, 0.0174, 0.0208, 0.0243, 0.0271, 0.0323, 0.0392, 0.0478, 0.0547, 0.0632, 0.0688, 0.0743]
778
+ SSIM : [0.9413, 0.9151, 0.8980, 0.8884, 0.8853, 0.8820, 0.8745, 0.8721, 0.8699, 0.8646, 0.8636, 0.8605]
779
+ SSIM_std : [0.0266, 0.0379, 0.0444, 0.0481, 0.0488, 0.0537, 0.0576, 0.0635, 0.0677, 0.0730, 0.0772, 0.0811]
780
+
781
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
782
+ RMSE : [2.9501, 3.5025, 3.5266, 3.6695, 4.3740, 5.2872, 6.3255, 7.2963, 8.3547, 9.6604, 10.9071, 11.9562]
783
+ RMSE_std : [0.6462, 0.5304, 0.3664, 0.2954, 1.1777, 2.2680, 2.9333, 3.1434, 3.0184, 2.7880, 2.2573, 1.8935]
784
+ R² : [0.9879, 0.9829, 0.9824, 0.9806, 0.9716, 0.9585, 0.9431, 0.9292, 0.9107, 0.8808, 0.8482, 0.8144]
785
+ R²_std : [0.0053, 0.0043, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0318, 0.0427, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0620, 0.0716, 0.0808]
786
+ SSIM : [0.9574, 0.9439, 0.9369, 0.9302, 0.9138, 0.8887, 0.8576, 0.8331, 0.8063, 0.7744, 0.7409, 0.7116]
787
+ SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0085, 0.0070, 0.0135, 0.0359, 0.0666, 0.0770, 0.0764, 0.0744, 0.0640, 0.0539, 0.0517]
788
+
789
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
790
+
791
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
792
+ RMSE : [3.2827, 3.9334, 4.4614, 4.7218, 4.9272, 5.0355, 5.3090, 5.4476, 5.5231, 5.5424, 5.6385, 5.7127]
793
+ RMSE_std : [0.8458, 1.1088, 1.3102, 1.5660, 1.5906, 1.5966, 1.7779, 1.8080, 1.8930, 1.9168, 1.9715, 1.9918]
794
+ R² : [0.9812, 0.9725, 0.9644, 0.9591, 0.9558, 0.9541, 0.9483, 0.9458, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9412, 0.9397]
795
+ R²_std : [0.0103, 0.0172, 0.0229, 0.0294, 0.0302, 0.0299, 0.0348, 0.0354, 0.0380, 0.0385, 0.0402, 0.0423]
796
+ SSIM : [0.9307, 0.9047, 0.8891, 0.8828, 0.8802, 0.8774, 0.8742, 0.8744, 0.8731, 0.8726, 0.8726, 0.8705]
797
+ SSIM_std : [0.0275, 0.0407, 0.0475, 0.0518, 0.0516, 0.0529, 0.0559, 0.0566, 0.0586, 0.0592, 0.0579, 0.0575]
798
+
799
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
800
+ RMSE : [3.0778, 3.4700, 3.9177, 4.3131, 5.1069, 5.9247, 6.3961, 7.2407, 8.2287, 9.2248, 9.8703, 10.1777]
801
+ RMSE_std : [0.5882, 0.4735, 0.4392, 0.7439, 1.6821, 1.9490, 2.3033, 2.2516, 2.0727, 1.3573, 0.6645, 0.7750]
802
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9811, 0.9758, 0.9695, 0.9548, 0.9398, 0.9298, 0.9149, 0.8953, 0.8737, 0.8592, 0.8511]
803
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0055, 0.0117, 0.0316, 0.0371, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0398, 0.0301, 0.0178, 0.0244]
804
+ SSIM : [0.9368, 0.9229, 0.9138, 0.8978, 0.8723, 0.8470, 0.8296, 0.8011, 0.7757, 0.7507, 0.7463, 0.7471]
805
+ SSIM_std : [0.0124, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0321, 0.0620, 0.0696, 0.0738, 0.0692, 0.0550, 0.0299, 0.0212, 0.0237]
806
+
807
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
808
+
809
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
810
+ RMSE : [3.8856, 4.7295, 5.2928, 5.7091, 5.9668, 6.2044, 6.4662, 6.5455, 6.7698, 6.7991, 6.9897, 7.1499]
811
+ RMSE_std : [0.9505, 1.2081, 1.4190, 1.5882, 1.6940, 1.8342, 1.8626, 1.9364, 1.8758, 1.9592, 2.0250, 2.0364]
812
+ R² : [0.9837, 0.9758, 0.9700, 0.9651, 0.9616, 0.9584, 0.9550, 0.9538, 0.9508, 0.9502, 0.9474, 0.9451]
813
+ R²_std : [0.0081, 0.0119, 0.0147, 0.0174, 0.0200, 0.0231, 0.0237, 0.0252, 0.0245, 0.0263, 0.0280, 0.0283]
814
+ SSIM : [0.9325, 0.9085, 0.8948, 0.8854, 0.8823, 0.8779, 0.8728, 0.8745, 0.8720, 0.8696, 0.8675, 0.8642]
815
+ SSIM_std : [0.0218, 0.0314, 0.0390, 0.0439, 0.0446, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0465, 0.0455, 0.0453, 0.0478, 0.0511]
816
+
817
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
818
+ RMSE : [3.4323, 3.8652, 4.3140, 4.4805, 4.4540, 4.6301, 5.0670, 5.8080, 6.5829, 7.3047, 8.1476, 9.2164]
819
+ RMSE_std : [0.4040, 0.3103, 0.2715, 0.3282, 0.2582, 0.3080, 1.3461, 2.4447, 2.8497, 2.7637, 2.5658, 2.0354]
820
+ R² : [0.9880, 0.9848, 0.9811, 0.9795, 0.9799, 0.9784, 0.9738, 0.9649, 0.9561, 0.9471, 0.9352, 0.9179]
821
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0031, 0.0026, 0.0030, 0.0143, 0.0276, 0.0322, 0.0323, 0.0332, 0.0312]
822
+ SSIM : [0.9421, 0.9260, 0.9183, 0.9140, 0.9165, 0.9183, 0.9008, 0.8813, 0.8589, 0.8359, 0.8120, 0.7787]
823
+ SSIM_std : [0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0085, 0.0092, 0.0079, 0.0045, 0.0408, 0.0693, 0.0792, 0.0762, 0.0726, 0.0567]
824
+
825
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
826
+
827
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
828
+ RMSE : [3.4969, 4.5035, 5.0313, 5.3515, 5.4803, 5.6070, 5.7261, 5.7798, 5.8975, 6.0380, 6.1504, 6.3377]
829
+ RMSE_std : [0.5431, 0.7511, 0.8878, 1.0261, 1.0757, 1.1332, 1.1799, 1.2564, 1.2306, 1.2995, 1.3963, 1.3966]
830
+ R² : [0.9868, 0.9780, 0.9725, 0.9687, 0.9670, 0.9653, 0.9635, 0.9626, 0.9610, 0.9589, 0.9569, 0.9542]
831
+ R²_std : [0.0041, 0.0075, 0.0091, 0.0115, 0.0121, 0.0128, 0.0141, 0.0151, 0.0154, 0.0166, 0.0195, 0.0204]
832
+ SSIM : [0.9383, 0.9107, 0.8948, 0.8883, 0.8886, 0.8862, 0.8812, 0.8828, 0.8817, 0.8786, 0.8796, 0.8766]
833
+ SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0220, 0.0282, 0.0306, 0.0297, 0.0314, 0.0316, 0.0339, 0.0332, 0.0342, 0.0348, 0.0340]
834
+
835
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
836
+ RMSE : [3.6227, 4.8000, 5.6659, 5.9855, 6.3654, 6.7070, 6.7976, 6.6294, 6.4142, 6.4562, 6.8749, 7.2389]
837
+ RMSE_std : [0.2510, 0.4548, 0.7060, 0.8603, 0.8425, 0.7116, 0.7872, 0.7496, 0.7129, 0.8556, 0.8055, 0.7069]
838
+ R² : [0.9873, 0.9782, 0.9695, 0.9653, 0.9604, 0.9553, 0.9527, 0.9545, 0.9570, 0.9568, 0.9518, 0.9472]
839
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0030, 0.0058, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0066, 0.0096, 0.0083, 0.0077, 0.0096, 0.0099, 0.0087]
840
+ SSIM : [0.9349, 0.8933, 0.8644, 0.8594, 0.8626, 0.8625, 0.8586, 0.8622, 0.8594, 0.8552, 0.8473, 0.8365]
841
+ SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0222, 0.0279, 0.0270, 0.0209, 0.0208, 0.0230, 0.0221, 0.0250, 0.0249, 0.0281, 0.0223]
842
+
843
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
844
+
845
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
846
+ RMSE : [3.9086, 4.6823, 5.1253, 5.5349, 5.8901, 6.0202, 6.2593, 6.3533, 6.6226, 6.6501, 6.6547, 6.6243]
847
+ RMSE_std : [0.6153, 0.8146, 1.0320, 1.1667, 1.2377, 1.3547, 1.4674, 1.4853, 1.5519, 1.5540, 1.5840, 1.7199]
848
+ R² : [0.9830, 0.9756, 0.9708, 0.9659, 0.9612, 0.9595, 0.9558, 0.9546, 0.9505, 0.9501, 0.9498, 0.9498]
849
+ R²_std : [0.0058, 0.0083, 0.0112, 0.0137, 0.0159, 0.0177, 0.0206, 0.0212, 0.0244, 0.0245, 0.0252, 0.0269]
850
+ SSIM : [0.9323, 0.9073, 0.8948, 0.8872, 0.8831, 0.8794, 0.8757, 0.8751, 0.8709, 0.8695, 0.8720, 0.8722]
851
+ SSIM_std : [0.0157, 0.0253, 0.0309, 0.0340, 0.0332, 0.0362, 0.0359, 0.0357, 0.0358, 0.0350, 0.0351, 0.0389]
852
+
853
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
854
+ RMSE : [3.5358, 3.7854, 4.0639, 4.3036, 4.7646, 5.0936, 5.6675, 6.4134, 7.1730, 7.4942, 7.8785, 8.6395]
855
+ RMSE_std : [0.4039, 0.2526, 0.2274, 0.3962, 0.5601, 0.7994, 1.1903, 1.7311, 1.7354, 1.5063, 1.2340, 1.0039]
856
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9842, 0.9818, 0.9793, 0.9743, 0.9710, 0.9657, 0.9577, 0.9491, 0.9462, 0.9422, 0.9318]
857
+ R²_std : [0.0035, 0.0024, 0.0018, 0.0040, 0.0060, 0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0133, 0.0130]
858
+ SSIM : [0.9446, 0.9324, 0.9220, 0.9159, 0.9045, 0.8931, 0.8771, 0.8586, 0.8404, 0.8194, 0.8088, 0.7953]
859
+ SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0041, 0.0055, 0.0123, 0.0176, 0.0254, 0.0367, 0.0457, 0.0495, 0.0445, 0.0313, 0.0249]
860
+
861
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
862
+
863
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
864
+ RMSE : [2.8092, 3.5197, 3.9834, 4.2800, 4.5797, 4.7496, 4.8929, 5.0394, 5.1434, 5.2880, 5.4160, 5.5450]
865
+ RMSE_std : [0.7259, 0.9482, 1.1138, 1.2192, 1.2778, 1.3141, 1.3981, 1.4891, 1.6063, 1.7045, 1.8045, 1.8762]
866
+ R² : [0.9868, 0.9795, 0.9738, 0.9699, 0.9658, 0.9635, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9570, 0.9546, 0.9524, 0.9504]
867
+ R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0086, 0.0114, 0.0132, 0.0146, 0.0153, 0.0174, 0.0197, 0.0225, 0.0244, 0.0271, 0.0286]
868
+ SSIM : [0.9467, 0.9235, 0.9087, 0.9013, 0.8968, 0.8934, 0.8903, 0.8886, 0.8863, 0.8826, 0.8803, 0.8755]
869
+ SSIM_std : [0.0180, 0.0268, 0.0338, 0.0377, 0.0388, 0.0402, 0.0421, 0.0430, 0.0449, 0.0481, 0.0504, 0.0535]
870
+
871
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
872
+ RMSE : [3.1900, 4.1998, 5.0614, 5.7498, 6.2297, 6.2971, 6.3335, 6.4340, 6.7126, 7.0601, 7.3004, 7.7929]
873
+ RMSE_std : [0.8135, 0.9048, 0.8743, 0.6528, 0.6300, 0.6502, 0.4694, 0.4780, 0.5299, 0.5427, 0.4991, 0.4676]
874
+ R² : [0.9859, 0.9766, 0.9674, 0.9590, 0.9522, 0.9504, 0.9486, 0.9451, 0.9387, 0.9307, 0.9249, 0.9140]
875
+ R²_std : [0.0061, 0.0082, 0.0095, 0.0091, 0.0093, 0.0087, 0.0060, 0.0066, 0.0080, 0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0112]
876
+ SSIM : [0.9293, 0.8965, 0.8769, 0.8578, 0.8494, 0.8437, 0.8392, 0.8259, 0.8099, 0.7946, 0.7869, 0.7769]
877
+ SSIM_std : [0.0207, 0.0246, 0.0239, 0.0208, 0.0200, 0.0168, 0.0139, 0.0134, 0.0100, 0.0094, 0.0103, 0.0174]
878
+
879
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
880
+
881
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
882
+ RMSE : [2.7765, 3.5411, 3.8442, 4.0300, 4.1005, 4.1602, 4.1809, 4.2840, 4.3100, 4.3268, 4.3667, 4.3717]
883
+ RMSE_std : [0.5255, 0.7526, 0.8436, 0.9238, 0.9147, 0.8558, 0.8243, 0.8940, 0.9317, 0.9909, 0.9979, 1.1124]
884
+ R² : [0.9741, 0.9574, 0.9495, 0.9445, 0.9423, 0.9410, 0.9404, 0.9371, 0.9360, 0.9354, 0.9345, 0.9336]
885
+ R²_std : [0.0083, 0.0168, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0272, 0.0253, 0.0239, 0.0261, 0.0282, 0.0298, 0.0313, 0.0377]
886
+ SSIM : [0.9083, 0.8687, 0.8554, 0.8484, 0.8481, 0.8449, 0.8430, 0.8444, 0.8436, 0.8418, 0.8421, 0.8421]
887
+ SSIM_std : [0.0223, 0.0313, 0.0349, 0.0372, 0.0366, 0.0368, 0.0379, 0.0390, 0.0405, 0.0416, 0.0391, 0.0405]
888
+
889
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
890
+ RMSE : [2.7370, 3.4952, 3.6859, 3.8800, 3.9928, 4.0670, 3.9519, 4.0425, 4.3765, 5.0792, 5.4361, 5.6275]
891
+ RMSE_std : [0.1858, 0.3403, 0.4141, 0.3525, 0.4055, 0.3305, 0.3694, 0.6687, 0.8193, 1.0085, 1.0451, 1.0418]
892
+ R² : [0.9714, 0.9532, 0.9492, 0.9479, 0.9472, 0.9495, 0.9553, 0.9541, 0.9473, 0.9313, 0.9218, 0.9163]
893
+ R²_std : [0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0167, 0.0126, 0.0172, 0.0129, 0.0072, 0.0122, 0.0174, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0234]
894
+ SSIM : [0.9007, 0.8531, 0.8431, 0.8416, 0.8470, 0.8614, 0.8633, 0.8661, 0.8510, 0.8329, 0.8154, 0.8079]
895
+ SSIM_std : [0.0172, 0.0259, 0.0365, 0.0390, 0.0443, 0.0238, 0.0142, 0.0185, 0.0358, 0.0348, 0.0426, 0.0360]
896
+
897
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
898
+
899
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
900
+ RMSE : [1.7877, 2.2898, 2.4989, 2.5558, 2.6388, 2.7011, 2.7689, 2.8379, 2.9002, 2.9693, 3.0291, 3.1514]
901
+ RMSE_std : [0.5442, 0.6949, 0.7635, 0.8369, 0.8776, 0.9268, 1.0322, 1.0725, 1.1603, 1.1770, 1.2071, 1.2848]
902
+ R² : [0.9706, 0.9515, 0.9419, 0.9385, 0.9343, 0.9309, 0.9269, 0.9228, 0.9185, 0.9139, 0.9095, 0.9003]
903
+ R²_std : [0.0190, 0.0300, 0.0354, 0.0399, 0.0426, 0.0462, 0.0501, 0.0548, 0.0607, 0.0650, 0.0695, 0.0807]
904
+ SSIM : [0.8991, 0.8582, 0.8411, 0.8357, 0.8332, 0.8288, 0.8241, 0.8255, 0.8249, 0.8225, 0.8220, 0.8177]
905
+ SSIM_std : [0.0355, 0.0546, 0.0613, 0.0665, 0.0689, 0.0707, 0.0738, 0.0739, 0.0741, 0.0746, 0.0764, 0.0795]
906
+
907
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
908
+ RMSE : [1.5452, 2.1232, 2.5653, 2.9668, 3.5853, 4.2954, 4.8807, 4.8495, 5.0580, 5.1004, 5.1712, 5.2843]
909
+ RMSE_std : [0.4602, 0.6264, 0.7643, 0.8088, 0.6678, 0.7225, 0.8270, 1.0536, 1.3771, 1.3846, 1.2287, 1.0251]
910
+ R² : [0.9804, 0.9643, 0.9488, 0.9338, 0.9105, 0.8813, 0.8483, 0.8464, 0.8275, 0.8201, 0.8071, 0.7799]
911
+ R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0166, 0.0264, 0.0332, 0.0284, 0.0264, 0.0343, 0.0428, 0.0601, 0.0599, 0.0502, 0.0380]
912
+ SSIM : [0.9101, 0.8698, 0.8429, 0.8243, 0.7981, 0.7773, 0.7429, 0.7342, 0.7151, 0.6949, 0.6756, 0.6566]
913
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0301, 0.0307, 0.0344, 0.0220, 0.0221, 0.0301, 0.0391, 0.0423, 0.0366, 0.0287, 0.0229]
914
+
915
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
916
+
917
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
918
+ RMSE : [2.5745, 3.3292, 3.6748, 3.8731, 4.0340, 4.1263, 4.1508, 4.2806, 4.3528, 4.4575, 4.5509, 4.6424]
919
+ RMSE_std : [0.4864, 0.7616, 0.8669, 0.9595, 1.0063, 1.0929, 1.1938, 1.2975, 1.3886, 1.5154, 1.5819, 1.6895]
920
+ R² : [0.9805, 0.9672, 0.9599, 0.9553, 0.9513, 0.9486, 0.9476, 0.9437, 0.9415, 0.9382, 0.9352, 0.9319]
921
+ R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0132, 0.0161, 0.0187, 0.0207, 0.0237, 0.0263, 0.0303, 0.0338, 0.0395, 0.0433, 0.0472]
922
+ SSIM : [0.9307, 0.8993, 0.8861, 0.8813, 0.8783, 0.8755, 0.8753, 0.8752, 0.8743, 0.8713, 0.8703, 0.8681]
923
+ SSIM_std : [0.0196, 0.0332, 0.0385, 0.0417, 0.0435, 0.0457, 0.0489, 0.0512, 0.0533, 0.0554, 0.0550, 0.0595]
924
+
925
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
926
+ RMSE : [2.3255, 2.7861, 3.0598, 3.2712, 3.6114, 3.8457, 4.1834, 4.8293, 5.5216, 6.4332, 7.2039, 7.8165]
927
+ RMSE_std : [0.1623, 0.0970, 0.2369, 0.4266, 0.4887, 0.5726, 0.8084, 1.1631, 1.7603, 2.2259, 2.3256, 2.1795]
928
+ R² : [0.9829, 0.9755, 0.9706, 0.9669, 0.9607, 0.9562, 0.9492, 0.9345, 0.9178, 0.8915, 0.8650, 0.8417]
929
+ R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0021, 0.0044, 0.0080, 0.0090, 0.0104, 0.0160, 0.0262, 0.0440, 0.0638, 0.0758, 0.0783]
930
+ SSIM : [0.9402, 0.9206, 0.9109, 0.9021, 0.8889, 0.8725, 0.8586, 0.8389, 0.8153, 0.7856, 0.7644, 0.7389]
931
+ SSIM_std : [0.0058, 0.0080, 0.0115, 0.0257, 0.0279, 0.0289, 0.0344, 0.0419, 0.0597, 0.0668, 0.0650, 0.0618]
932
+
933
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
934
+
935
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
936
+ RMSE : [2.4615, 3.2274, 3.5836, 3.8127, 3.9442, 4.0468, 4.1798, 4.2512, 4.3254, 4.4075, 4.4868, 4.5309]
937
+ RMSE_std : [0.4937, 0.6851, 0.7877, 0.8695, 0.9362, 0.9915, 1.0411, 1.0459, 1.0920, 1.1446, 1.2102, 1.2114]
938
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9683, 0.9609, 0.9556, 0.9525, 0.9499, 0.9462, 0.9441, 0.9417, 0.9392, 0.9370, 0.9355]
939
+ R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0189, 0.0206, 0.0221, 0.0236, 0.0247, 0.0282, 0.0321, 0.0347, 0.0364]
940
+ SSIM : [0.9267, 0.8932, 0.8787, 0.8723, 0.8697, 0.8680, 0.8636, 0.8652, 0.8639, 0.8611, 0.8603, 0.8584]
941
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0329, 0.0359, 0.0394, 0.0414, 0.0409, 0.0417, 0.0415, 0.0433, 0.0442, 0.0462, 0.0471]
942
+
943
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
944
+ RMSE : [2.2156, 2.6833, 3.0936, 3.2732, 3.3470, 3.6751, 4.3126, 4.8522, 5.5075, 6.0052, 6.5681, 7.0342]
945
+ RMSE_std : [0.2486, 0.2698, 0.3869, 0.3905, 0.4140, 0.8112, 1.2484, 1.4590, 1.3146, 1.1968, 1.0756, 0.6554]
946
+ R² : [0.9852, 0.9792, 0.9729, 0.9698, 0.9684, 0.9606, 0.9459, 0.9343, 0.9213, 0.9105, 0.8934, 0.8731]
947
+ R²_std : [0.0032, 0.0033, 0.0051, 0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0173, 0.0275, 0.0310, 0.0273, 0.0249, 0.0245, 0.0329]
948
+ SSIM : [0.9436, 0.9259, 0.9145, 0.9104, 0.9030, 0.8810, 0.8504, 0.8311, 0.8042, 0.7874, 0.7652, 0.7525]
949
+ SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0054, 0.0077, 0.0069, 0.0197, 0.0526, 0.0722, 0.0749, 0.0666, 0.0582, 0.0407, 0.0179]
950
+
951
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
952
+
953
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
954
+ RMSE : [2.3920, 2.9985, 3.3357, 3.4785, 3.5972, 3.6605, 3.6667, 3.7518, 3.8038, 3.8411, 3.9538, 3.9371]
955
+ RMSE_std : [0.4652, 0.6408, 0.8000, 0.9437, 1.0688, 1.1552, 1.2140, 1.2855, 1.3053, 1.3481, 1.3800, 1.3913]
956
+ R² : [0.9887, 0.9822, 0.9779, 0.9756, 0.9735, 0.9721, 0.9717, 0.9700, 0.9689, 0.9680, 0.9660, 0.9662]
957
+ R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0109, 0.0142, 0.0175, 0.0206, 0.0220, 0.0238, 0.0247, 0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0262]
958
+ SSIM : [0.9532, 0.9337, 0.9220, 0.9158, 0.9142, 0.9128, 0.9108, 0.9108, 0.9098, 0.9106, 0.9113, 0.9118]
959
+ SSIM_std : [0.0133, 0.0222, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0370, 0.0405, 0.0425, 0.0444, 0.0452, 0.0463, 0.0449, 0.0450]
960
+
961
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
962
+ RMSE : [1.8647, 2.2107, 2.4019, 2.4218, 2.5649, 2.7382, 3.1185, 3.8368, 4.6705, 5.3757, 6.1185, 6.6861]
963
+ RMSE_std : [0.1496, 0.1906, 0.0985, 0.1285, 0.2331, 0.3859, 0.9381, 1.7570, 2.1950, 2.2207, 1.9859, 1.6172]
964
+ R² : [0.9926, 0.9896, 0.9877, 0.9874, 0.9858, 0.9838, 0.9787, 0.9676, 0.9538, 0.9409, 0.9253, 0.9137]
965
+ R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0015, 0.0008, 0.0012, 0.0024, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0359, 0.0392, 0.0403, 0.0353]
966
+ SSIM : [0.9644, 0.9516, 0.9460, 0.9440, 0.9390, 0.9370, 0.9264, 0.9079, 0.8826, 0.8583, 0.8372, 0.8170]
967
+ SSIM_std : [0.0047, 0.0065, 0.0025, 0.0030, 0.0081, 0.0097, 0.0247, 0.0516, 0.0684, 0.0752, 0.0675, 0.0604]
968
+
969
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
970
+
971
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
972
+ RMSE : [2.0786, 2.6674, 2.9512, 3.1022, 3.2108, 3.2670, 3.3019, 3.3454, 3.3570, 3.3916, 3.4228, 3.4935]
973
+ RMSE_std : [0.4358, 0.6608, 0.8142, 0.8463, 0.8652, 0.9293, 0.9847, 0.9404, 0.9551, 0.9694, 0.9704, 0.9529]
974
+ R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9611, 0.9573, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9516, 0.9504, 0.9501, 0.9492, 0.9485, 0.9466]
975
+ R²_std : [0.0069, 0.0150, 0.0192, 0.0195, 0.0201, 0.0226, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0254, 0.0260, 0.0261, 0.0255]
976
+ SSIM : [0.9281, 0.8972, 0.8846, 0.8791, 0.8763, 0.8745, 0.8717, 0.8727, 0.8725, 0.8716, 0.8702, 0.8680]
977
+ SSIM_std : [0.0199, 0.0315, 0.0372, 0.0393, 0.0391, 0.0418, 0.0448, 0.0458, 0.0476, 0.0472, 0.0485, 0.0500]
978
+
979
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
980
+ RMSE : [2.4764, 3.5389, 3.9560, 4.0080, 3.9729, 4.0689, 4.5338, 4.7117, 4.9499, 5.0902, 5.1908, 5.1404]
981
+ RMSE_std : [0.4228, 0.7084, 0.7837, 0.6052, 0.7673, 0.8807, 0.9236, 0.8438, 0.7887, 0.5078, 0.4810, 0.4143]
982
+ R² : [0.9719, 0.9419, 0.9289, 0.9318, 0.9365, 0.9359, 0.9241, 0.9212, 0.9151, 0.9099, 0.9033, 0.9000]
983
+ R²_std : [0.0090, 0.0264, 0.0280, 0.0208, 0.0180, 0.0194, 0.0225, 0.0235, 0.0256, 0.0172, 0.0137, 0.0089]
984
+ SSIM : [0.8955, 0.8415, 0.8227, 0.8213, 0.8361, 0.8367, 0.8312, 0.8255, 0.8115, 0.8018, 0.7958, 0.7832]
985
+ SSIM_std : [0.0254, 0.0325, 0.0349, 0.0363, 0.0332, 0.0290, 0.0249, 0.0331, 0.0419, 0.0295, 0.0316, 0.0269]
986
+
987
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
988
+
989
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
990
+ RMSE : [3.6263, 4.4407, 4.8969, 5.2489, 5.5784, 5.7522, 5.8912, 6.0749, 6.2703, 6.4748, 6.5919, 6.7265]
991
+ RMSE_std : [0.5388, 0.6421, 0.6999, 0.8272, 0.9172, 0.8951, 1.0689, 1.1094, 1.1754, 1.2233, 1.2514, 1.2887]
992
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9789, 0.9742, 0.9700, 0.9658, 0.9636, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9561, 0.9533, 0.9517, 0.9499]
993
+ R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0067, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0158, 0.0168, 0.0186, 0.0194, 0.0197, 0.0199]
994
+ SSIM : [0.9335, 0.9077, 0.8938, 0.8875, 0.8847, 0.8805, 0.8794, 0.8799, 0.8759, 0.8742, 0.8754, 0.8727]
995
+ SSIM_std : [0.0166, 0.0238, 0.0282, 0.0302, 0.0303, 0.0332, 0.0335, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0337, 0.0338, 0.0326]
996
+
997
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
998
+ RMSE : [3.0494, 3.7210, 4.0846, 4.5159, 5.0244, 5.7137, 6.3502, 7.1129, 7.6967, 8.3236, 8.8072, 9.2545]
999
+ RMSE_std : [0.2882, 0.5703, 0.8337, 1.0869, 1.2209, 1.4258, 1.2923, 1.2026, 0.9902, 1.2097, 1.3564, 1.2246]
1000
+ R² : [0.9898, 0.9846, 0.9813, 0.9771, 0.9718, 0.9636, 0.9560, 0.9458, 0.9379, 0.9280, 0.9204, 0.9145]
1001
+ R²_std : [0.0018, 0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0156, 0.0170, 0.0166, 0.0218, 0.0252, 0.0234]
1002
+ SSIM : [0.9501, 0.9329, 0.9198, 0.9038, 0.8831, 0.8589, 0.8435, 0.8278, 0.8158, 0.8087, 0.8046, 0.8062]
1003
+ SSIM_std : [0.0073, 0.0151, 0.0300, 0.0418, 0.0484, 0.0543, 0.0469, 0.0359, 0.0175, 0.0212, 0.0275, 0.0244]
1004
+
1005
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
1006
+
1007
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
1008
+ RMSE : [2.3474, 3.0244, 3.3594, 3.5398, 3.7387, 3.7885, 3.9173, 4.0413, 4.1089, 4.2127, 4.2920, 4.4030]
1009
+ RMSE_std : [0.6126, 0.9472, 1.2130, 1.4140, 1.4961, 1.5840, 1.6504, 1.6974, 1.6873, 1.6817, 1.6850, 1.6789]
1010
+ R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9606, 0.9557, 0.9502, 0.9481, 0.9443, 0.9405, 0.9389, 0.9368, 0.9350, 0.9327]
1011
+ R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0156, 0.0232, 0.0301, 0.0354, 0.0398, 0.0438, 0.0487, 0.0492, 0.0488, 0.0491, 0.0478]
1012
+ SSIM : [0.9223, 0.8901, 0.8770, 0.8698, 0.8641, 0.8623, 0.8577, 0.8571, 0.8542, 0.8539, 0.8516, 0.8487]
1013
+ SSIM_std : [0.0191, 0.0336, 0.0417, 0.0500, 0.0528, 0.0566, 0.0585, 0.0603, 0.0614, 0.0603, 0.0596, 0.0617]
1014
+
1015
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
1016
+ RMSE : [2.3015, 2.8941, 3.0619, 2.9598, 2.9575, 3.3257, 3.9441, 4.7917, 5.5570, 6.4429, 7.1821, 7.7887]
1017
+ RMSE_std : [0.2775, 0.3868, 0.4421, 0.4807, 0.4294, 1.0963, 1.5059, 2.0663, 2.3231, 2.1607, 1.6829, 1.0039]
1018
+ R² : [0.9794, 0.9677, 0.9652, 0.9690, 0.9715, 0.9659, 0.9552, 0.9387, 0.9220, 0.8986, 0.8774, 0.8574]
1019
+ R²_std : [0.0056, 0.0117, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.0072, 0.0186, 0.0270, 0.0404, 0.0504, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0356]
1020
+ SSIM : [0.9149, 0.8815, 0.8775, 0.8830, 0.8787, 0.8732, 0.8624, 0.8437, 0.8199, 0.7952, 0.7770, 0.7565]
1021
+ SSIM_std : [0.0220, 0.0346, 0.0301, 0.0270, 0.0316, 0.0369, 0.0351, 0.0368, 0.0461, 0.0552, 0.0536, 0.0502]
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/SimVP_chronologicalSplit_best_checkpoint_20250326_1606.pth ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
 
 
 
 
1
+ version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
2
+ oid sha256:e7ff7eaed3cb16826bb250eda36a4903ce16b103abd89052f908d7f7deae6521
3
+ size 59842790
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/SimVP_chronologicalSplit_lr8e-05_bs128_20250326_1606.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Session: SimVP_chronologicalSplit
2
+ Start Time: 2025-03-26 16:06
3
+ Hyperparameters:
4
+ sessionName: SimVP_chronologicalSplit
5
+ inputNames: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+ lr: 8e-05
7
+ lrEnd: 5e-06
8
+ batchSize: 128
9
+ numEpochs: 50
10
+ resumeEpoch: 0
11
+ earlyStop: 10
12
+ criterion: MSELoss()
13
+ optimizer: Adam (
14
+ Parameter Group 0
15
+ amsgrad: False
16
+ betas: (0.9, 0.999)
17
+ capturable: False
18
+ differentiable: False
19
+ eps: 1e-08
20
+ foreach: None
21
+ fused: None
22
+ lr: 8e-05
23
+ maximize: False
24
+ weight_decay: 0
25
+ )
26
+ scheduler: <torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau object at 0x7f3771d5ce50>
27
+
28
+ Epoch | Train Loss | Val Loss | LR | Early Stop Count | Timestamp
29
+ -------------------------------------------------------------
30
+ 1 | 4.553e-03 | 9.982e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 16:14
31
+ 2 | 7.920e-04 | 6.358e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 16:21
32
+ 3 | 5.648e-04 | 4.362e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 16:29
33
+ 4 | 4.687e-04 | 3.866e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 16:36
34
+ 5 | 4.024e-04 | 4.443e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 16:44
35
+ 6 | 3.587e-04 | 3.060e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 16:51
36
+ 7 | 3.295e-04 | 3.537e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 16:59
37
+ 8 | 3.077e-04 | 2.936e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 17:06
38
+ 9 | 2.942e-04 | 2.809e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 17:14
39
+ 10 | 2.759e-04 | 2.899e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 17:21
40
+ 11 | 2.617e-04 | 2.816e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 17:29
41
+ 12 | 2.512e-04 | 2.943e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-03-26 17:36
42
+ 13 | 2.470e-04 | 2.720e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 17:44
43
+ 14 | 2.411e-04 | 2.140e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 17:52
44
+ 15 | 2.283e-04 | 2.217e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 17:59
45
+ 16 | 2.224e-04 | 1.918e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 18:07
46
+ 17 | 2.184e-04 | 1.919e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 18:14
47
+ 18 | 2.174e-04 | 1.824e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 18:22
48
+ 19 | 2.090e-04 | 1.767e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 18:29
49
+ 20 | 2.075e-04 | 1.865e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 18:37
50
+ 21 | 2.017e-04 | 1.756e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 18:44
51
+ 22 | 2.015e-04 | 1.928e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 18:52
52
+ 23 | 1.987e-04 | 1.800e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 18:59
53
+ 24 | 1.930e-04 | 1.691e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 19:07
54
+ 25 | 1.930e-04 | 1.658e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 19:14
55
+ 26 | 1.892e-04 | 2.569e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 19:22
56
+ 27 | 1.882e-04 | 1.748e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 19:29
57
+ 28 | 1.842e-04 | 1.590e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 19:37
58
+ 29 | 1.820e-04 | 1.607e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 19:44
59
+ 30 | 1.796e-04 | 1.641e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 19:52
60
+ 31 | 1.795e-04 | 1.584e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 19:59
61
+ 32 | 1.786e-04 | 1.602e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 20:07
62
+ 33 | 1.773e-04 | 1.641e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 20:14
63
+ 34 | 1.758e-04 | 1.643e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-03-26 20:22
64
+ 35 | 1.720e-04 | 1.563e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 20:29
65
+ 36 | 1.755e-04 | 1.526e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 20:37
66
+ 37 | 1.723e-04 | 1.460e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 20:44
67
+ 38 | 1.685e-04 | 1.463e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 20:52
68
+ 39 | 1.680e-04 | 1.446e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 20:59
69
+ 40 | 1.682e-04 | 1.444e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 21:07
70
+ 41 | 1.654e-04 | 1.545e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 21:14
71
+ 42 | 1.652e-04 | 1.513e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 21:22
72
+ 43 | 1.643e-04 | 1.417e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 21:29
73
+ 44 | 1.627e-04 | 1.410e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-03-26 21:37
74
+ 45 | 1.618e-04 | 1.418e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-03-26 21:44
75
+ 46 | 1.628e-04 | 1.871e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-03-26 21:52
76
+ 47 | 1.597e-04 | 1.574e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-03-26 21:59
77
+ 48 | 1.592e-04 | 1.484e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 4 | 2025-03-26 22:07
78
+ 49 | 1.585e-04 | 1.624e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 5 | 2025-03-26 22:14
79
+ 50 | 1.604e-04 | 2.217e-04 | 4.000e-05 | 6 | 2025-03-26 22:22
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/testing_info_2025-04-12_17-17-53.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SimVP_chronologicalSplit
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-12_17-17-53
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.1806 ± 1.6177
9
+ R²: 0.9554 ± 0.0241
10
+ SSIM: 0.8547 ± 0.0503
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(3.0729), np.float32(3.7443), np.float32(4.0939), np.float32(4.2806), np.float32(4.2959), np.float32(4.3203), np.float32(4.4511), np.float32(4.5364), np.float32(4.4467), np.float32(4.4654), np.float32(4.5978), np.float32(4.6508)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7707), np.float32(1.0229), np.float32(1.2385), np.float32(1.2695), np.float32(1.3116), np.float32(1.3911), np.float32(1.4829), np.float32(1.4655), np.float32(1.4924), np.float32(1.5667), np.float32(1.6125), np.float32(1.5884)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9773), np.float64(0.9659), np.float64(0.9594), np.float64(0.9553), np.float64(0.9544), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.951), np.float64(0.9491), np.float64(0.9508), np.float64(0.9498), np.float64(0.947), np.float64(0.9458)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0108), np.float64(0.0183), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.0272), np.float64(0.0298), np.float64(0.0332), np.float64(0.0344), np.float64(0.0332), np.float64(0.0333), np.float64(0.0393), np.float64(0.0464), np.float64(0.0462)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9202), np.float64(0.8888), np.float64(0.8752), np.float64(0.874), np.float64(0.87), np.float64(0.8661), np.float64(0.8651), np.float64(0.869), np.float64(0.8696), np.float64(0.8663), np.float64(0.8658), np.float64(0.8706)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0308), np.float64(0.0352), np.float64(0.0373), np.float64(0.0375), np.float64(0.042), np.float64(0.0433), np.float64(0.0429), np.float64(0.0425), np.float64(0.0464), np.float64(0.0455), np.float64(0.0448)]
19
+
20
+ Storm Analysis Results:
21
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
22
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
23
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24
+ 1 2024-05-11 02:00 -412.0 6.45 ± 4.07 / 0.89 ± 0.10 / 0.76 ± 0.14 8.71 ± 4.13 / 0.84 ± 0.08 / 0.74 ± 0.11
25
+ 2 2024-08-12 16:00 -188.0 5.65 ± 2.08 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.80 ± 0.07 7.82 ± 1.86 / 0.89 ± 0.01 / 0.70 ± 0.03
26
+ 3 2023-11-05 22:00 -155.0 5.52 ± 2.33 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.10 7.42 ± 1.89 / 0.90 ± 0.00 / 0.70 ± 0.00
27
+ 4 2024-03-24 20:00 -128.0 5.92 ± 2.27 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 6.60 ± 2.43 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.01
28
+ 5 2024-03-03 18:00 -111.0 4.77 ± 1.76 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.07 5.37 ± 2.23 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.03
29
+ 6 2023-12-01 12:00 -107.0 4.49 ± 1.66 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.08 4.67 ± 1.30 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.83 ± 0.05
30
+ 7 2024-06-28 12:00 -105.0 3.70 ± 1.12 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.40 ± 0.95 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.02
31
+ 8 2024-04-19 18:00 -103.0 6.23 ± 1.76 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.05 6.55 ± 1.88 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.04
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/SwinLSTM_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250411_0134.pth ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
 
 
 
 
1
+ version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
2
+ oid sha256:80f30c10a6fc0b7e2f3f493bc494e3b60ddcf216db106cdcbc5c225b01bcc211
3
+ size 11036666
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/SwinLSTM_in12_out12_lr8e-05_bs16_20250411_0134.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Session: SwinLSTM_in12_out12
2
+ Start Time: 2025-04-11 01:34
3
+ Hyperparameters:
4
+ sessionName: SwinLSTM_in12_out12
5
+ inputNames: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+ lr: 8e-05
7
+ lrEnd: 1e-06
8
+ batchSize: 16
9
+ numEpochs: 50
10
+ resumeEpoch: 0
11
+ earlyStop: 10
12
+ criterion: MSELoss()
13
+ optimizer: Adam (
14
+ Parameter Group 0
15
+ amsgrad: False
16
+ betas: (0.9, 0.999)
17
+ capturable: False
18
+ differentiable: False
19
+ eps: 1e-08
20
+ foreach: None
21
+ fused: None
22
+ lr: 8e-05
23
+ maximize: False
24
+ weight_decay: 0
25
+ )
26
+ scheduler: <torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau object at 0x7f4c24510690>
27
+
28
+ Epoch | Train Loss | Val Loss | LR | Early Stop Count | Timestamp
29
+ -------------------------------------------------------------
30
+ 1 | 1.505e-03 | 7.288e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 01:54
31
+ 2 | 5.022e-04 | 5.408e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 02:15
32
+ 3 | 4.425e-04 | 5.912e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 02:36
33
+ 4 | 4.108e-04 | 5.079e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 02:57
34
+ 5 | 3.849e-04 | 5.170e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 03:17
35
+ 6 | 3.705e-04 | 4.584e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 03:38
36
+ 7 | 3.374e-04 | 4.127e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 03:59
37
+ 8 | 3.047e-04 | 3.602e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 04:19
38
+ 9 | 2.861e-04 | 3.723e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 04:40
39
+ 10 | 2.745e-04 | 3.626e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 05:01
40
+ 11 | 2.654e-04 | 3.308e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 05:22
41
+ 12 | 2.588e-04 | 3.306e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 05:42
42
+ 13 | 2.519e-04 | 3.198e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 06:03
43
+ 14 | 2.449e-04 | 3.166e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 06:24
44
+ 15 | 2.409e-04 | 3.365e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 06:45
45
+ 16 | 2.355e-04 | 3.092e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 07:05
46
+ 17 | 2.304e-04 | 3.234e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 07:26
47
+ 18 | 2.265e-04 | 3.424e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 07:47
48
+ 19 | 2.219e-04 | 3.061e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 08:08
49
+ 20 | 2.181e-04 | 2.913e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 08:28
50
+ 21 | 2.152e-04 | 2.896e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 08:49
51
+ 22 | 2.114e-04 | 2.829e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 09:10
52
+ 23 | 2.085e-04 | 2.971e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 09:30
53
+ 24 | 2.066e-04 | 3.082e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 09:51
54
+ 25 | 2.034e-04 | 2.853e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-04-11 10:12
55
+ 26 | 2.007e-04 | 3.041e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 4 | 2025-04-11 10:33
56
+ 27 | 1.990e-04 | 2.745e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 10:53
57
+ 28 | 1.971e-04 | 2.655e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 11:14
58
+ 29 | 1.937e-04 | 2.666e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 11:35
59
+ 30 | 1.928e-04 | 2.693e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 11:55
60
+ 31 | 1.901e-04 | 2.588e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 12:16
61
+ 32 | 1.891e-04 | 2.620e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 12:37
62
+ 33 | 1.874e-04 | 2.724e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 12:57
63
+ 34 | 1.844e-04 | 2.544e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 13:18
64
+ 35 | 1.833e-04 | 2.565e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 13:39
65
+ 36 | 1.814e-04 | 2.518e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 13:59
66
+ 37 | 1.798e-04 | 2.494e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 14:20
67
+ 38 | 1.780e-04 | 2.368e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 14:41
68
+ 39 | 1.769e-04 | 2.378e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 15:01
69
+ 40 | 1.744e-04 | 2.426e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 15:22
70
+ 41 | 1.739e-04 | 2.501e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-04-11 15:43
71
+ 42 | 1.722e-04 | 2.435e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 4 | 2025-04-11 16:04
72
+ 43 | 1.703e-04 | 2.512e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 5 | 2025-04-11 16:24
73
+ 44 | 1.690e-04 | 2.325e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 16:45
74
+ 45 | 1.682e-04 | 2.401e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 17:06
75
+ 46 | 1.662e-04 | 2.338e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 17:26
76
+ 47 | 1.659e-04 | 2.245e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 0 | 2025-04-11 17:47
77
+ 48 | 1.643e-04 | 2.355e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 1 | 2025-04-11 18:08
78
+ 49 | 1.631e-04 | 2.279e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 2 | 2025-04-11 18:28
79
+ 50 | 1.622e-04 | 2.310e-04 | 8.000e-05 | 3 | 2025-04-11 18:49
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-00-08.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,390 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SwinLSTM_in12_out12
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-11_19-00-08
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.5656 ± 1.6396
9
+ R²: 0.9463 ± 0.0193
10
+ SSIM: 0.8162 ± 0.0468
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5229), np.float32(2.2181), np.float32(2.5416), np.float32(2.6546), np.float32(2.6752), np.float32(2.721), np.float32(2.7936), np.float32(2.8039), np.float32(2.7759), np.float32(2.7954), np.float32(2.8492), np.float32(2.9074)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7773), np.float32(1.1527), np.float32(1.374), np.float32(1.472), np.float32(1.5113), np.float32(1.5542), np.float32(1.615), np.float32(1.6626), np.float32(1.6846), np.float32(1.7129), np.float32(1.7619), np.float32(1.8025)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9809), np.float64(0.9594), np.float64(0.9482), np.float64(0.9439), np.float64(0.9425), np.float64(0.9402), np.float64(0.9387), np.float64(0.9392), np.float64(0.9404), np.float64(0.9397), np.float64(0.9391), np.float64(0.9365)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0091), np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0281), np.float64(0.0296), np.float64(0.0295), np.float64(0.0294), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.0316)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9253), np.float64(0.8683), np.float64(0.8532), np.float64(0.8516), np.float64(0.8509), np.float64(0.8485), np.float64(0.8478), np.float64(0.85), np.float64(0.8508), np.float64(0.8499), np.float64(0.8522), np.float64(0.851)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0263), np.float64(0.0392), np.float64(0.0398), np.float64(0.0405), np.float64(0.0411), np.float64(0.0417), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0405), np.float64(0.0411), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0384), np.float64(0.0384)]
19
+
20
+ very_weak:
21
+ Overall Metrics:
22
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.3721
23
+ RMSE_std: 0.4775
24
+ R²: 0.9365
25
+ R²_std: 0.0158
26
+ SSIM: 0.7980
27
+ SSIM_std: 0.0425
28
+ RMSE per step: [0.8965, 1.2725, 1.4139, 1.4701, 1.4963, 1.5068, 1.5038, 1.4896, 1.4777, 1.4687, 1.4619, 1.4993]
29
+ RMSE std per step: [0.2053, 0.2573, 0.2742, 0.2847, 0.2924, 0.3, 0.3063, 0.3094, 0.3117, 0.3158, 0.3188, 0.3178]
30
+ R² per step: [0.9745, 0.9489, 0.9367, 0.9313, 0.9287, 0.9275, 0.9277, 0.9291, 0.9303, 0.9312, 0.9319, 0.9283]
31
+ R² std per step: [0.0102, 0.0181, 0.0232, 0.0260, 0.0275, 0.0285, 0.0289, 0.0283, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0280, 0.0291]
32
+ SSIM per step: [0.9067, 0.8439, 0.8305, 0.8293, 0.8291, 0.8292, 0.8294, 0.8301, 0.8304, 0.8335, 0.8391, 0.8364]
33
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0271, 0.0362, 0.0373, 0.0371, 0.0370, 0.0373, 0.0376, 0.0374, 0.0372, 0.0365, 0.0353, 0.0349]
34
+
35
+ weak:
36
+ Overall Metrics:
37
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.5882
38
+ RMSE_std: 0.8289
39
+ R²: 0.9401
40
+ R²_std: 0.0156
41
+ SSIM: 0.8033
42
+ SSIM_std: 0.0402
43
+ RMSE per step: [1.0155, 1.4560, 1.6223, 1.6855, 1.7179, 1.7358, 1.7393, 1.7297, 1.7212, 1.7157, 1.7090, 1.7451]
44
+ RMSE std per step: [0.435, 0.62, 0.6746, 0.6975, 0.7151, 0.7289, 0.7395, 0.7501, 0.761, 0.7695, 0.7723, 0.7751]
45
+ R² per step: [0.9772, 0.9531, 0.9409, 0.9358, 0.9332, 0.9317, 0.9315, 0.9326, 0.9336, 0.9342, 0.9348, 0.9318]
46
+ R² std per step: [0.0094, 0.0172, 0.0223, 0.0249, 0.0264, 0.0277, 0.0280, 0.0275, 0.0272, 0.0271, 0.0272, 0.0283]
47
+ SSIM per step: [0.9136, 0.8549, 0.8414, 0.8394, 0.8386, 0.8380, 0.8379, 0.8385, 0.8390, 0.8417, 0.8465, 0.8436]
48
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0227, 0.0308, 0.0329, 0.0331, 0.0333, 0.0335, 0.0336, 0.0335, 0.0334, 0.0330, 0.0322, 0.0320]
49
+
50
+ moderate:
51
+ Overall Metrics:
52
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.2179
53
+ RMSE_std: 1.2064
54
+ R²: 0.9520
55
+ R²_std: 0.0196
56
+ SSIM: 0.8288
57
+ SSIM_std: 0.0463
58
+ RMSE per step: [1.9749, 2.8432, 3.1724, 3.3036, 3.3750, 3.4157, 3.4434, 3.4691, 3.4980, 3.5263, 3.5466, 3.6076]
59
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5378, 0.7422, 0.8662, 0.9321, 0.9736, 1.0059, 1.0331, 1.0579, 1.081, 1.1031, 1.1259, 1.1366]
60
+ R² per step: [0.9827, 0.9642, 0.9553, 0.9515, 0.9493, 0.9481, 0.9472, 0.9464, 0.9455, 0.9446, 0.9440, 0.9421]
61
+ R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0154, 0.0210, 0.0240, 0.0261, 0.0277, 0.0290, 0.0300, 0.0307, 0.0316, 0.0330, 0.0343]
62
+ SSIM per step: [0.9314, 0.8820, 0.8674, 0.8628, 0.8605, 0.8598, 0.8596, 0.8593, 0.8588, 0.8589, 0.8597, 0.8569]
63
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0203, 0.0309, 0.0352, 0.0371, 0.0381, 0.0388, 0.0393, 0.0396, 0.0398, 0.0402, 0.0405, 0.0405]
64
+
65
+ intense:
66
+ Overall Metrics:
67
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.3602
68
+ RMSE_std: 1.8391
69
+ R²: 0.9579
70
+ R²_std: 0.0180
71
+ SSIM: 0.8397
72
+ SSIM_std: 0.0448
73
+ RMSE per step: [2.5087, 3.6345, 4.1387, 4.3624, 4.4933, 4.5801, 4.6483, 4.7148, 4.7820, 4.8413, 4.9039, 5.0174]
74
+ RMSE std per step: [0.9536, 1.2088, 1.4153, 1.5389, 1.6172, 1.6755, 1.7281, 1.7744, 1.8171, 1.8605, 1.9086, 1.9564]
75
+ R² per step: [0.9860, 0.9716, 0.9633, 0.9592, 0.9565, 0.9548, 0.9534, 0.9520, 0.9507, 0.9495, 0.9483, 0.9460]
76
+ R² std per step: [0.0095, 0.0126, 0.0169, 0.0199, 0.0222, 0.0238, 0.0254, 0.0267, 0.0277, 0.0288, 0.0303, 0.0317]
77
+ SSIM per step: [0.9440, 0.8997, 0.8831, 0.8777, 0.8754, 0.8745, 0.8740, 0.8732, 0.8725, 0.8724, 0.8724, 0.8697]
78
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0212, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0361, 0.0375, 0.0382, 0.0385, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0388, 0.0386]
79
+
80
+ Storm Analysis Results:
81
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
82
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
83
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
84
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 7.49 ± 2.72 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.78 ± 0.07 7.41 ± 2.40 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07
85
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.19 ± 2.09 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.09 7.86 ± 2.42 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.76 ± 0.07
86
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.72 ± 2.27 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.81 ± 0.07 6.45 ± 2.86 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.06
87
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.48 ± 1.45 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 6.01 ± 1.36 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.77 ± 0.04
88
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.90 ± 1.95 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 5.70 ± 1.90 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.02
89
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.19 ± 1.60 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.03 6.39 ± 1.58 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.79 ± 0.00
90
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.76 ± 1.87 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.03 6.31 ± 1.62 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.04
91
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.06 ± 1.94 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.05 6.77 ± 2.09 / 0.93 ± 0.00 / 0.75 ± 0.01
92
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.26 ± 1.53 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.77 ± 0.04 4.54 ± 1.60 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.75 ± 0.01
93
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.20 ± 1.33 / 0.90 ± 0.05 / 0.73 ± 0.09 4.48 ± 1.56 / 0.84 ± 0.03 / 0.62 ± 0.05
94
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.57 ± 1.57 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.80 ± 0.07 4.72 ± 1.74 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.79 ± 0.05
95
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.24 ± 1.63 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.80 ± 0.05 4.56 ± 1.55 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.04
96
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.12 ± 1.35 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.05 3.72 ± 1.40 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03
97
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.53 ± 1.20 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.71 ± 1.48 / 0.91 ± 0.02 / 0.72 ± 0.01
98
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 6.78 ± 1.46 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.04 7.09 ± 1.53 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.77 ± 0.05
99
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.52 ± 1.68 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07 5.63 ± 1.81 / 0.90 ± 0.02 / 0.74 ± 0.03
100
+
101
+
102
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
103
+
104
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
105
+
106
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
107
+ RMSE : [3.4391, 5.3110, 6.5054, 7.3834, 7.7908, 7.8701, 7.9624, 8.2423, 8.4769, 8.5146, 8.6033, 8.8693]
108
+ RMSE_std : [0.8850, 1.3328, 1.7703, 2.1855, 2.7009, 2.8239, 2.6043, 2.6701, 3.0199, 3.0721, 2.8018, 2.8449]
109
+ R² : [0.9876, 0.9706, 0.9570, 0.9430, 0.9335, 0.9310, 0.9334, 0.9278, 0.9201, 0.9180, 0.9208, 0.9154]
110
+ R²_std : [0.0058, 0.0127, 0.0200, 0.0313, 0.0469, 0.0528, 0.0412, 0.0437, 0.0618, 0.0684, 0.0514, 0.0506]
111
+ SSIM : [0.9465, 0.8916, 0.8609, 0.8493, 0.8452, 0.8442, 0.8422, 0.8404, 0.8398, 0.8396, 0.8382, 0.8368]
112
+ SSIM_std : [0.0194, 0.0357, 0.0466, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0645, 0.0642, 0.0697, 0.0735, 0.0707, 0.0688, 0.0739]
113
+
114
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
115
+ RMSE : [2.8306, 4.4659, 4.9864, 5.1276, 5.0252, 5.1598, 5.6380, 7.0591, 7.8381, 8.9906, 11.2158, 13.2739]
116
+ RMSE_std : [0.0045, 0.3050, 0.5545, 0.5193, 0.3790, 0.1440, 0.9775, 2.4105, 3.1548, 3.8062, 4.6705, 4.0892]
117
+ R² : [0.9908, 0.9771, 0.9714, 0.9691, 0.9702, 0.9697, 0.9657, 0.9480, 0.9392, 0.9243, 0.8816, 0.8205]
118
+ R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0015, 0.0054, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0045, 0.0087, 0.0273, 0.0373, 0.0481, 0.0763, 0.1049]
119
+ SSIM : [0.9660, 0.9274, 0.9170, 0.9079, 0.9086, 0.9088, 0.9058, 0.8774, 0.8647, 0.8333, 0.7839, 0.7340]
120
+ SSIM_std : [0.0029, 0.0045, 0.0009, 0.0050, 0.0100, 0.0070, 0.0188, 0.0440, 0.0581, 0.0828, 0.1047, 0.1011]
121
+
122
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
123
+
124
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
125
+ RMSE : [4.2887, 5.7329, 6.5427, 6.9096, 7.1450, 7.3385, 7.4658, 7.6412, 7.7731, 8.0067, 8.2663, 8.5596]
126
+ RMSE_std : [1.5217, 1.2655, 1.8389, 1.7135, 1.5413, 1.7133, 2.1255, 2.0618, 2.0811, 2.2709, 2.4915, 2.3075]
127
+ R² : [0.9761, 0.9609, 0.9495, 0.9428, 0.9373, 0.9352, 0.9338, 0.9292, 0.9232, 0.9198, 0.9168, 0.9102]
128
+ R²_std : [0.0170, 0.0168, 0.0277, 0.0302, 0.0305, 0.0300, 0.0363, 0.0416, 0.0511, 0.0512, 0.0517, 0.0525]
129
+ SSIM : [0.9220, 0.8682, 0.8437, 0.8382, 0.8343, 0.8325, 0.8306, 0.8322, 0.8296, 0.8273, 0.8223, 0.8216]
130
+ SSIM_std : [0.0358, 0.0388, 0.0562, 0.0609, 0.0591, 0.0544, 0.0643, 0.0677, 0.0658, 0.0604, 0.0688, 0.0699]
131
+
132
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
133
+ RMSE : [3.0091, 4.6826, 5.4696, 5.6007, 5.8019, 6.3045, 6.9410, 7.6069, 8.6342, 10.7794, 11.7781, 12.4762]
134
+ RMSE_std : [0.0796, 0.1078, 0.3349, 0.3442, 0.1184, 0.3843, 0.7379, 1.6264, 2.7165, 4.0535, 3.8534, 3.6780]
135
+ R² : [0.9881, 0.9716, 0.9608, 0.9579, 0.9567, 0.9509, 0.9407, 0.9229, 0.9075, 0.8710, 0.8299, 0.7778]
136
+ R²_std : [0.0010, 0.0011, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0026, 0.0040, 0.0068, 0.0258, 0.0467, 0.0753, 0.0997, 0.1288]
137
+ SSIM : [0.9439, 0.8947, 0.8747, 0.8730, 0.8591, 0.8353, 0.8337, 0.8131, 0.7897, 0.7264, 0.7185, 0.7030]
138
+ SSIM_std : [0.0066, 0.0029, 0.0146, 0.0156, 0.0298, 0.0369, 0.0318, 0.0509, 0.0449, 0.0849, 0.0969, 0.0698]
139
+
140
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
+
142
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
+ RMSE : [2.8311, 4.2933, 5.1971, 5.8013, 5.9683, 5.9508, 6.0947, 6.3376, 6.5291, 6.5803, 6.6623, 6.7254]
144
+ RMSE_std : [0.6654, 0.9944, 1.1245, 1.3234, 1.8341, 1.9935, 1.9372, 1.9599, 2.3119, 2.4623, 2.4476, 2.4499]
145
+ R² : [0.9890, 0.9749, 0.9637, 0.9529, 0.9483, 0.9478, 0.9457, 0.9401, 0.9352, 0.9333, 0.9319, 0.9293]
146
+ R²_std : [0.0054, 0.0117, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0353, 0.0383, 0.0379, 0.0405, 0.0501, 0.0562, 0.0582, 0.0589]
147
+ SSIM : [0.9533, 0.9073, 0.8783, 0.8683, 0.8638, 0.8632, 0.8561, 0.8560, 0.8521, 0.8521, 0.8473, 0.8509]
148
+ SSIM_std : [0.0184, 0.0313, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0555, 0.0578, 0.0559, 0.0575, 0.0676, 0.0688, 0.0666, 0.0679]
149
+
150
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
+ RMSE : [2.2898, 3.6590, 4.8045, 4.5921, 4.4570, 4.8574, 6.3337, 7.6071, 8.0134, 8.3528, 9.6145, 11.4078]
152
+ RMSE_std : [0.0915, 0.0673, 0.6013, 0.3623, 0.0375, 0.4270, 1.7062, 3.1668, 3.3297, 2.7779, 1.6296, 0.9570]
153
+ R² : [0.9929, 0.9819, 0.9687, 0.9704, 0.9711, 0.9658, 0.9435, 0.9222, 0.9162, 0.9144, 0.8835, 0.8375]
154
+ R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0008, 0.0058, 0.0032, 0.0001, 0.0054, 0.0255, 0.0486, 0.0514, 0.0414, 0.0356, 0.0436]
155
+ SSIM : [0.9653, 0.9256, 0.8991, 0.9019, 0.9009, 0.8902, 0.8544, 0.8217, 0.8242, 0.8092, 0.7729, 0.7216]
156
+ SSIM_std : [0.0017, 0.0034, 0.0021, 0.0009, 0.0037, 0.0161, 0.0370, 0.0748, 0.0685, 0.0591, 0.0408, 0.0253]
157
+
158
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
+
160
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
+ RMSE : [2.8079, 4.2618, 5.1581, 5.5220, 5.5964, 5.7436, 5.9861, 6.0543, 5.9612, 6.0030, 6.1171, 6.2244]
162
+ RMSE_std : [0.4943, 0.4989, 0.9125, 1.1423, 1.2656, 1.1662, 1.2651, 1.4600, 1.5786, 1.3876, 1.3153, 1.4205]
163
+ R² : [0.9866, 0.9699, 0.9563, 0.9483, 0.9450, 0.9427, 0.9392, 0.9363, 0.9360, 0.9364, 0.9363, 0.9327]
164
+ R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0083, 0.0147, 0.0203, 0.0243, 0.0245, 0.0256, 0.0293, 0.0330, 0.0310, 0.0279, 0.0301]
165
+ SSIM : [0.9413, 0.8898, 0.8610, 0.8561, 0.8565, 0.8530, 0.8447, 0.8497, 0.8555, 0.8539, 0.8475, 0.8486]
166
+ SSIM_std : [0.0182, 0.0261, 0.0380, 0.0422, 0.0442, 0.0375, 0.0438, 0.0465, 0.0468, 0.0385, 0.0421, 0.0430]
167
+
168
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
+ RMSE : [2.9593, 4.5912, 4.7605, 4.5244, 4.6400, 5.6299, 6.3482, 6.1750, 6.0804, 7.1328, 8.5973, 8.8148]
170
+ RMSE_std : [0.1797, 0.7412, 0.0142, 0.0024, 0.1768, 0.3586, 1.2445, 1.5818, 1.5569, 1.7796, 0.9300, 1.0380]
171
+ R² : [0.9864, 0.9669, 0.9652, 0.9672, 0.9657, 0.9507, 0.9365, 0.9368, 0.9408, 0.9227, 0.8923, 0.8824]
172
+ R²_std : [0.0007, 0.0089, 0.0004, 0.0029, 0.0007, 0.0036, 0.0228, 0.0264, 0.0233, 0.0301, 0.0197, 0.0276]
173
+ SSIM : [0.9468, 0.8848, 0.8778, 0.8852, 0.8725, 0.8375, 0.8234, 0.8248, 0.8198, 0.7816, 0.7567, 0.7623]
174
+ SSIM_std : [0.0033, 0.0047, 0.0090, 0.0008, 0.0114, 0.0162, 0.0543, 0.0608, 0.0375, 0.0349, 0.0049, 0.0079]
175
+
176
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
+
178
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
+ RMSE : [4.4282, 5.6986, 6.3021, 6.7619, 6.9182, 7.0353, 7.0785, 7.2743, 7.4309, 7.6790, 7.8874, 8.1004]
180
+ RMSE_std : [1.7774, 1.2890, 1.4752, 1.5347, 1.7295, 1.6714, 1.7925, 1.8110, 1.9987, 1.9436, 1.9655, 1.9518]
181
+ R² : [0.9761, 0.9642, 0.9568, 0.9515, 0.9470, 0.9462, 0.9459, 0.9441, 0.9391, 0.9362, 0.9333, 0.9309]
182
+ R²_std : [0.0196, 0.0162, 0.0190, 0.0205, 0.0248, 0.0231, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0305, 0.0313]
183
+ SSIM : [0.9260, 0.8795, 0.8598, 0.8528, 0.8567, 0.8506, 0.8465, 0.8454, 0.8508, 0.8450, 0.8389, 0.8369]
184
+ SSIM_std : [0.0363, 0.0386, 0.0436, 0.0402, 0.0445, 0.0480, 0.0496, 0.0459, 0.0477, 0.0519, 0.0511, 0.0456]
185
+
186
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
+ RMSE : [3.6532, 4.7229, 5.4381, 4.9095, 4.9891, 4.9440, 4.8632, 4.8990, 6.4183, 7.6866, 7.8072, 7.7351]
188
+ RMSE_std : [0.1788, 0.0238, 0.4201, 0.0518, 0.0595, 0.0681, 0.0262, 0.2227, 1.5461, 2.8027, 2.9475, 2.5066]
189
+ R² : [0.9865, 0.9776, 0.9704, 0.9754, 0.9748, 0.9752, 0.9763, 0.9761, 0.9603, 0.9443, 0.9417, 0.9374]
190
+ R²_std : [0.0017, 0.0010, 0.0038, 0.0006, 0.0000, 0.0013, 0.0009, 0.0017, 0.0163, 0.0321, 0.0353, 0.0360]
191
+ SSIM : [0.9393, 0.8895, 0.8731, 0.8924, 0.8916, 0.8853, 0.8898, 0.8929, 0.8448, 0.8186, 0.8181, 0.8065]
192
+ SSIM_std : [0.0077, 0.0042, 0.0118, 0.0064, 0.0094, 0.0063, 0.0007, 0.0112, 0.0616, 0.0746, 0.0696, 0.0702]
193
+
194
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
+
196
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
+ RMSE : [3.9123, 5.1887, 5.9391, 6.3942, 6.4157, 6.3707, 6.4772, 6.7470, 6.7514, 6.7296, 6.8306, 7.0414]
198
+ RMSE_std : [0.8930, 0.7088, 0.8555, 1.0902, 1.2824, 1.3099, 1.2507, 1.2793, 1.3279, 1.2986, 1.2386, 1.1548]
199
+ R² : [0.9829, 0.9705, 0.9613, 0.9557, 0.9544, 0.9542, 0.9523, 0.9492, 0.9486, 0.9484, 0.9464, 0.9444]
200
+ R²_std : [0.0084, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0148, 0.0203, 0.0214, 0.0192, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0224, 0.0208, 0.0183]
201
+ SSIM : [0.9315, 0.8855, 0.8640, 0.8552, 0.8628, 0.8601, 0.8573, 0.8536, 0.8591, 0.8577, 0.8579, 0.8539]
202
+ SSIM_std : [0.0193, 0.0216, 0.0238, 0.0316, 0.0330, 0.0301, 0.0270, 0.0327, 0.0332, 0.0300, 0.0296, 0.0329]
203
+
204
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
+ RMSE : [3.2970, 5.6489, 6.8292, 6.9191, 6.5163, 6.9038, 7.5117, 7.0135, 6.6568, 6.6697, 6.6816, 6.8226]
206
+ RMSE_std : [0.3741, 1.0910, 1.6145, 0.9748, 0.0245, 0.5680, 0.8426, 0.6580, 0.0388, 0.3646, 0.0999, 0.3971]
207
+ R² : [0.9893, 0.9695, 0.9552, 0.9543, 0.9576, 0.9523, 0.9456, 0.9519, 0.9540, 0.9531, 0.9546, 0.9527]
208
+ R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0096, 0.0173, 0.0106, 0.0023, 0.0017, 0.0064, 0.0050, 0.0002, 0.0013, 0.0014, 0.0032]
209
+ SSIM : [0.9355, 0.8629, 0.8324, 0.8323, 0.8308, 0.8296, 0.8272, 0.8510, 0.8463, 0.8471, 0.8507, 0.8434]
210
+ SSIM_std : [0.0200, 0.0384, 0.0478, 0.0123, 0.0055, 0.0252, 0.0394, 0.0245, 0.0071, 0.0085, 0.0143, 0.0215]
211
+
212
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
+
214
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
+ RMSE : [3.4557, 5.5365, 6.4802, 6.7093, 6.8994, 7.1515, 7.4015, 7.3285, 7.3682, 7.5643, 7.6988, 7.6839]
216
+ RMSE_std : [0.5228, 0.9601, 1.2172, 1.2272, 1.2893, 1.3845, 1.5159, 1.4928, 1.4593, 1.5480, 1.7726, 1.7788]
217
+ R² : [0.9869, 0.9667, 0.9529, 0.9499, 0.9476, 0.9441, 0.9379, 0.9395, 0.9395, 0.9367, 0.9319, 0.9325]
218
+ R²_std : [0.0042, 0.0108, 0.0159, 0.0176, 0.0196, 0.0213, 0.0238, 0.0240, 0.0242, 0.0264, 0.0326, 0.0335]
219
+ SSIM : [0.9441, 0.8814, 0.8600, 0.8527, 0.8518, 0.8501, 0.8480, 0.8457, 0.8474, 0.8467, 0.8460, 0.8415]
220
+ SSIM_std : [0.0144, 0.0320, 0.0321, 0.0355, 0.0400, 0.0390, 0.0339, 0.0374, 0.0404, 0.0365, 0.0310, 0.0360]
221
+
222
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
+ RMSE : [3.7263, 4.6855, 5.3687, 5.4820, 5.7553, 6.2885, 6.2516, 6.1607, 6.9173, 7.9189, 8.1378, 8.7329]
224
+ RMSE_std : [0.2689, 0.0433, 0.0831, 0.4209, 0.2217, 0.0569, 0.1251, 0.7992, 1.4136, 1.7694, 1.8444, 1.7664]
225
+ R² : [0.9845, 0.9754, 0.9684, 0.9678, 0.9634, 0.9547, 0.9564, 0.9602, 0.9532, 0.9396, 0.9341, 0.9260]
226
+ R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0013, 0.0004, 0.0045, 0.0032, 0.0014, 0.0017, 0.0086, 0.0137, 0.0177, 0.0217, 0.0255]
227
+ SSIM : [0.9419, 0.9017, 0.8831, 0.8863, 0.8720, 0.8588, 0.8497, 0.8551, 0.8375, 0.8200, 0.7955, 0.7764]
228
+ SSIM_std : [0.0006, 0.0011, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0077, 0.0040, 0.0082, 0.0315, 0.0435, 0.0461, 0.0491, 0.0493]
229
+
230
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
+
232
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
+ RMSE : [2.4401, 3.8029, 4.5384, 4.9242, 5.1366, 5.4478, 5.5531, 5.6779, 5.7189, 5.9266, 5.9873, 6.1526]
234
+ RMSE_std : [0.4424, 0.8751, 1.0121, 1.3121, 1.4881, 1.6119, 1.6260, 1.7231, 1.7776, 1.7487, 1.7254, 1.7214]
235
+ R² : [0.9901, 0.9764, 0.9664, 0.9604, 0.9567, 0.9516, 0.9497, 0.9473, 0.9467, 0.9439, 0.9428, 0.9401]
236
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0081, 0.0111, 0.0162, 0.0194, 0.0223, 0.0235, 0.0258, 0.0268, 0.0261, 0.0267, 0.0277]
237
+ SSIM : [0.9546, 0.9107, 0.8851, 0.8816, 0.8748, 0.8652, 0.8606, 0.8658, 0.8643, 0.8582, 0.8550, 0.8584]
238
+ SSIM_std : [0.0152, 0.0266, 0.0337, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0464, 0.0483, 0.0516, 0.0524, 0.0490, 0.0489, 0.0508]
239
+
240
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
+ RMSE : [2.8481, 4.4835, 5.4867, 6.4247, 7.2364, 7.3439, 7.2302, 7.3827, 7.6866, 8.2395, 8.8425, 9.0642]
242
+ RMSE_std : [0.7952, 0.8590, 0.6905, 0.2432, 0.5062, 0.6328, 0.4518, 0.4699, 0.2954, 0.0392, 0.2610, 0.3317]
243
+ R² : [0.9886, 0.9730, 0.9602, 0.9474, 0.9362, 0.9341, 0.9345, 0.9303, 0.9224, 0.9067, 0.8918, 0.8855]
244
+ R²_std : [0.0048, 0.0068, 0.0054, 0.0003, 0.0092, 0.0095, 0.0045, 0.0037, 0.0008, 0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0091]
245
+ SSIM : [0.9493, 0.8932, 0.8599, 0.8297, 0.8106, 0.7984, 0.8024, 0.7965, 0.7839, 0.7587, 0.7435, 0.7416]
246
+ SSIM_std : [0.0186, 0.0250, 0.0246, 0.0139, 0.0004, 0.0030, 0.0196, 0.0191, 0.0135, 0.0081, 0.0055, 0.0016]
247
+
248
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
+
250
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
+ RMSE : [2.7289, 3.8607, 4.3032, 4.5498, 4.6037, 4.6608, 4.5832, 4.6204, 4.6312, 4.6896, 4.7195, 4.8548]
252
+ RMSE_std : [0.4595, 0.5219, 0.6250, 1.0034, 1.0474, 0.7891, 0.6928, 1.0139, 1.1976, 1.0101, 0.9462, 1.2288]
253
+ R² : [0.9750, 0.9480, 0.9375, 0.9304, 0.9280, 0.9253, 0.9298, 0.9287, 0.9269, 0.9234, 0.9233, 0.9194]
254
+ R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0170, 0.0203, 0.0307, 0.0312, 0.0252, 0.0226, 0.0312, 0.0350, 0.0310, 0.0357, 0.0443]
255
+ SSIM : [0.9127, 0.8375, 0.8235, 0.8184, 0.8190, 0.8103, 0.8213, 0.8184, 0.8231, 0.8119, 0.8183, 0.8151]
256
+ SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0350, 0.0243, 0.0342, 0.0338, 0.0430, 0.0258, 0.0320, 0.0361, 0.0463, 0.0310, 0.0350]
257
+
258
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
+ RMSE : [2.8085, 4.0308, 4.6082, 4.1163, 4.5490, 4.9108, 4.8277, 4.6228, 4.3559, 5.2282, 5.6408, 6.5016]
260
+ RMSE_std : [0.2533, 0.1885, 0.1577, 0.2195, 0.0866, 0.2367, 0.1097, 0.4129, 0.1396, 0.2503, 1.4515, 1.9309]
261
+ R² : [0.9678, 0.9383, 0.9280, 0.9387, 0.9252, 0.9230, 0.9307, 0.9359, 0.9461, 0.9307, 0.9127, 0.8898]
262
+ R²_std : [0.0095, 0.0008, 0.0000, 0.0017, 0.0207, 0.0131, 0.0081, 0.0079, 0.0056, 0.0096, 0.0390, 0.0509]
263
+ SSIM : [0.8813, 0.8177, 0.8155, 0.8039, 0.7819, 0.8130, 0.8236, 0.8367, 0.8418, 0.8390, 0.7915, 0.7933]
264
+ SSIM_std : [0.0291, 0.0060, 0.0072, 0.0288, 0.0768, 0.0351, 0.0025, 0.0034, 0.0224, 0.0122, 0.0502, 0.0604]
265
+
266
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
+
268
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
+ RMSE : [1.8072, 2.6811, 3.0516, 3.1734, 3.3163, 3.4446, 3.4683, 3.5015, 3.6027, 3.6499, 3.6424, 3.7168]
270
+ RMSE_std : [0.4243, 0.6105, 0.8509, 1.0634, 1.2208, 1.0494, 1.0506, 1.2408, 1.3752, 1.1748, 1.1481, 1.2862]
271
+ R² : [0.9721, 0.9348, 0.9130, 0.9060, 0.8987, 0.8880, 0.8844, 0.8828, 0.8776, 0.8713, 0.8694, 0.8652]
272
+ R²_std : [0.0120, 0.0316, 0.0479, 0.0568, 0.0639, 0.0653, 0.0687, 0.0757, 0.0827, 0.0816, 0.0841, 0.0940]
273
+ SSIM : [0.9072, 0.8375, 0.8117, 0.8052, 0.8052, 0.7971, 0.7961, 0.7934, 0.7954, 0.7896, 0.7922, 0.7859]
274
+ SSIM_std : [0.0258, 0.0513, 0.0605, 0.0649, 0.0740, 0.0791, 0.0763, 0.0790, 0.0867, 0.0852, 0.0792, 0.0804]
275
+
276
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
+ RMSE : [1.6908, 2.5416, 2.9113, 2.7174, 3.2398, 4.6095, 5.6643, 6.2898, 5.7097, 5.1469, 5.5209, 6.1053]
278
+ RMSE_std : [0.5302, 1.1341, 1.3066, 0.9747, 0.4037, 0.4532, 1.0546, 2.0588, 1.6733, 0.1482, 0.6684, 1.3261]
279
+ R² : [0.9754, 0.9455, 0.9270, 0.9399, 0.9208, 0.8571, 0.7964, 0.7627, 0.7702, 0.7972, 0.7818, 0.7555]
280
+ R²_std : [0.0121, 0.0358, 0.0506, 0.0362, 0.0194, 0.0275, 0.0560, 0.1108, 0.1088, 0.0366, 0.0022, 0.0313]
281
+ SSIM : [0.9047, 0.8546, 0.8159, 0.8251, 0.7975, 0.7693, 0.7236, 0.7080, 0.7034, 0.7021, 0.6743, 0.6434]
282
+ SSIM_std : [0.0313, 0.0436, 0.0491, 0.0515, 0.0198, 0.0134, 0.0336, 0.0546, 0.0664, 0.0637, 0.0361, 0.0322]
283
+
284
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
+
286
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
+ RMSE : [2.6925, 3.9936, 4.3120, 4.6257, 4.9089, 5.0053, 4.8533, 4.8989, 4.9954, 5.0566, 4.9762, 5.1021]
288
+ RMSE_std : [0.6354, 0.8926, 0.8684, 1.0679, 1.2162, 1.3223, 1.1817, 1.3122, 1.4549, 1.5423, 1.4678, 1.5825]
289
+ R² : [0.9788, 0.9527, 0.9435, 0.9365, 0.9285, 0.9237, 0.9269, 0.9281, 0.9257, 0.9213, 0.9214, 0.9200]
290
+ R²_std : [0.0087, 0.0188, 0.0199, 0.0238, 0.0287, 0.0364, 0.0336, 0.0327, 0.0366, 0.0445, 0.0432, 0.0408]
291
+ SSIM : [0.9291, 0.8782, 0.8558, 0.8449, 0.8424, 0.8445, 0.8414, 0.8399, 0.8412, 0.8447, 0.8419, 0.8354]
292
+ SSIM_std : [0.0163, 0.0326, 0.0426, 0.0504, 0.0469, 0.0521, 0.0520, 0.0549, 0.0519, 0.0574, 0.0559, 0.0592]
293
+
294
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
+ RMSE : [2.4483, 3.2724, 3.8780, 4.1644, 4.1252, 4.0831, 4.6040, 4.8548, 5.1292, 5.9467, 7.0988, 7.4690]
296
+ RMSE_std : [0.2763, 0.3773, 0.0738, 0.1083, 0.1867, 0.3498, 0.2414, 0.4238, 0.6862, 1.1665, 1.7327, 1.7297]
297
+ R² : [0.9812, 0.9653, 0.9528, 0.9449, 0.9479, 0.9500, 0.9400, 0.9308, 0.9265, 0.9074, 0.8782, 0.8619]
298
+ R²_std : [0.0043, 0.0086, 0.0002, 0.0030, 0.0047, 0.0066, 0.0028, 0.0068, 0.0132, 0.0269, 0.0447, 0.0482]
299
+ SSIM : [0.9369, 0.8962, 0.8718, 0.8682, 0.8732, 0.8525, 0.8371, 0.8219, 0.8227, 0.7860, 0.7394, 0.7266]
300
+ SSIM_std : [0.0091, 0.0161, 0.0062, 0.0092, 0.0086, 0.0394, 0.0323, 0.0310, 0.0434, 0.0284, 0.0470, 0.0418]
301
+
302
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
+
304
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
+ RMSE : [2.4478, 3.8555, 4.3335, 4.4281, 4.4740, 4.7022, 4.7290, 4.7069, 4.6919, 4.8174, 4.7641, 4.6865]
306
+ RMSE_std : [0.4246, 0.7457, 0.9198, 0.9384, 0.9123, 0.9763, 1.1344, 1.0840, 1.0559, 1.1142, 1.3050, 1.2505]
307
+ R² : [0.9822, 0.9553, 0.9417, 0.9396, 0.9390, 0.9319, 0.9290, 0.9319, 0.9334, 0.9292, 0.9275, 0.9313]
308
+ R²_std : [0.0051, 0.0140, 0.0256, 0.0278, 0.0227, 0.0239, 0.0331, 0.0310, 0.0263, 0.0276, 0.0415, 0.0420]
309
+ SSIM : [0.9270, 0.8680, 0.8507, 0.8445, 0.8436, 0.8401, 0.8438, 0.8422, 0.8418, 0.8390, 0.8455, 0.8442]
310
+ SSIM_std : [0.0208, 0.0351, 0.0360, 0.0370, 0.0398, 0.0444, 0.0450, 0.0422, 0.0456, 0.0489, 0.0477, 0.0432]
311
+
312
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
+ RMSE : [2.6918, 3.6564, 3.7685, 3.6308, 4.1401, 4.0642, 4.2029, 4.6669, 5.4704, 5.6039, 6.1080, 6.5334]
314
+ RMSE_std : [0.4103, 0.5539, 0.1112, 0.5682, 0.6136, 0.5624, 0.0159, 1.3549, 1.9175, 2.2201, 1.9512, 0.7837]
315
+ R² : [0.9782, 0.9605, 0.9585, 0.9605, 0.9530, 0.9545, 0.9499, 0.9357, 0.9165, 0.9146, 0.9064, 0.8964]
316
+ R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0010, 0.0114, 0.0096, 0.0088, 0.0006, 0.0315, 0.0456, 0.0511, 0.0444, 0.0162]
317
+ SSIM : [0.9410, 0.9005, 0.8883, 0.8915, 0.8777, 0.8860, 0.8578, 0.8210, 0.7941, 0.8035, 0.7812, 0.7446]
318
+ SSIM_std : [0.0138, 0.0070, 0.0030, 0.0134, 0.0034, 0.0041, 0.0302, 0.0808, 0.0914, 0.0820, 0.0464, 0.0064]
319
+
320
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
+
322
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
+ RMSE : [2.7736, 3.5642, 4.0606, 4.3333, 4.2800, 4.1866, 4.2992, 4.5018, 4.4057, 4.3599, 4.5509, 4.7753]
324
+ RMSE_std : [0.9667, 0.7642, 0.9992, 1.0676, 0.9997, 1.0774, 1.2023, 1.1366, 1.0256, 1.1100, 1.2572, 1.1760]
325
+ R² : [0.9836, 0.9750, 0.9675, 0.9631, 0.9637, 0.9643, 0.9624, 0.9595, 0.9610, 0.9606, 0.9572, 0.9541]
326
+ R²_std : [0.0117, 0.0099, 0.0146, 0.0169, 0.0164, 0.0196, 0.0206, 0.0192, 0.0188, 0.0225, 0.0237, 0.0213]
327
+ SSIM : [0.9465, 0.9154, 0.8969, 0.8881, 0.8952, 0.8963, 0.8920, 0.8873, 0.8954, 0.8965, 0.8913, 0.8854]
328
+ SSIM_std : [0.0238, 0.0193, 0.0286, 0.0322, 0.0344, 0.0378, 0.0387, 0.0363, 0.0367, 0.0393, 0.0396, 0.0356]
329
+
330
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
+ RMSE : [2.0332, 2.8044, 2.9977, 2.8759, 2.7653, 2.9906, 3.3031, 3.4740, 3.9861, 5.1686, 5.7138, 5.6712]
332
+ RMSE_std : [0.1600, 0.0528, 0.0394, 0.0309, 0.1197, 0.0516, 0.2120, 0.4306, 1.2328, 2.0778, 2.1717, 1.6090]
333
+ R² : [0.9911, 0.9830, 0.9811, 0.9826, 0.9836, 0.9805, 0.9769, 0.9745, 0.9669, 0.9476, 0.9368, 0.9345]
334
+ R²_std : [0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0009, 0.0003, 0.0016, 0.0002, 0.0026, 0.0060, 0.0170, 0.0321, 0.0370, 0.0314]
335
+ SSIM : [0.9648, 0.9299, 0.9206, 0.9231, 0.9267, 0.9285, 0.9150, 0.9101, 0.8944, 0.8696, 0.8440, 0.8400]
336
+ SSIM_std : [0.0009, 0.0043, 0.0039, 0.0018, 0.0014, 0.0027, 0.0049, 0.0044, 0.0309, 0.0632, 0.0657, 0.0580]
337
+
338
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
+
340
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
+ RMSE : [2.1563, 2.9925, 3.4924, 3.7330, 3.6229, 3.6948, 3.8426, 3.9154, 3.7798, 3.8463, 3.9669, 4.0164]
342
+ RMSE_std : [0.3962, 0.5457, 0.8615, 1.0071, 0.7902, 0.8051, 1.0054, 1.0845, 0.8478, 0.8821, 1.0473, 1.0529]
343
+ R² : [0.9795, 0.9606, 0.9467, 0.9386, 0.9419, 0.9401, 0.9365, 0.9338, 0.9373, 0.9352, 0.9322, 0.9301]
344
+ R²_std : [0.0060, 0.0096, 0.0189, 0.0288, 0.0226, 0.0205, 0.0259, 0.0306, 0.0256, 0.0253, 0.0296, 0.0312]
345
+ SSIM : [0.9227, 0.8682, 0.8465, 0.8423, 0.8472, 0.8422, 0.8365, 0.8397, 0.8487, 0.8403, 0.8324, 0.8355]
346
+ SSIM_std : [0.0192, 0.0238, 0.0307, 0.0383, 0.0342, 0.0344, 0.0422, 0.0482, 0.0429, 0.0385, 0.0451, 0.0528]
347
+
348
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
+ RMSE : [2.2447, 3.6344, 4.8435, 5.1504, 4.3370, 4.5820, 5.5475, 4.9204, 5.0461, 5.7458, 6.1715, 5.3349]
350
+ RMSE_std : [0.1943, 0.4491, 0.7797, 0.2486, 0.3067, 1.0225, 1.0165, 0.3279, 0.6605, 0.6034, 0.1920, 0.1238]
351
+ R² : [0.9771, 0.9362, 0.8887, 0.8896, 0.9254, 0.9184, 0.8862, 0.9063, 0.9082, 0.8883, 0.8752, 0.8913]
352
+ R²_std : [0.0030, 0.0194, 0.0427, 0.0166, 0.0038, 0.0184, 0.0138, 0.0018, 0.0218, 0.0275, 0.0189, 0.0145]
353
+ SSIM : [0.9108, 0.8378, 0.7891, 0.7734, 0.7918, 0.7700, 0.7775, 0.8087, 0.8027, 0.7508, 0.7437, 0.7712]
354
+ SSIM_std : [0.0147, 0.0346, 0.0081, 0.0218, 0.0335, 0.0076, 0.0106, 0.0024, 0.0250, 0.0250, 0.0384, 0.0354]
355
+
356
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
+
358
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
+ RMSE : [3.2281, 5.2834, 6.3246, 6.7795, 6.9335, 7.1396, 7.4205, 7.5241, 7.4573, 7.5316, 7.6330, 7.7400]
360
+ RMSE_std : [0.3164, 0.6031, 0.6691, 0.6838, 0.8617, 1.1306, 1.2140, 1.2092, 1.0935, 1.1165, 1.1806, 1.2668]
361
+ R² : [0.9891, 0.9705, 0.9567, 0.9509, 0.9485, 0.9448, 0.9387, 0.9377, 0.9394, 0.9383, 0.9355, 0.9343]
362
+ R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0071, 0.0093, 0.0106, 0.0138, 0.0186, 0.0206, 0.0201, 0.0175, 0.0182, 0.0195, 0.0202]
363
+ SSIM : [0.9464, 0.8811, 0.8540, 0.8482, 0.8478, 0.8466, 0.8427, 0.8440, 0.8475, 0.8477, 0.8428, 0.8416]
364
+ SSIM_std : [0.0142, 0.0298, 0.0315, 0.0356, 0.0357, 0.0389, 0.0394, 0.0386, 0.0357, 0.0367, 0.0358, 0.0333]
365
+
366
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
+ RMSE : [3.0670, 4.4539, 5.3425, 5.7763, 6.1864, 6.5187, 6.8391, 7.5960, 8.5510, 9.0958, 9.4258, 9.6777]
368
+ RMSE_std : [0.1402, 0.0804, 0.0445, 0.4278, 0.7850, 0.8992, 1.1502, 1.4229, 1.5327, 1.9475, 1.8611, 1.2918]
369
+ R² : [0.9896, 0.9783, 0.9691, 0.9636, 0.9587, 0.9548, 0.9494, 0.9366, 0.9209, 0.9124, 0.9079, 0.9062]
370
+ R²_std : [0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0002, 0.0054, 0.0099, 0.0111, 0.0164, 0.0221, 0.0271, 0.0353, 0.0320, 0.0199]
371
+ SSIM : [0.9537, 0.9075, 0.8990, 0.8827, 0.8585, 0.8398, 0.8243, 0.8097, 0.7884, 0.7773, 0.7646, 0.7649]
372
+ SSIM_std : [0.0008, 0.0081, 0.0107, 0.0192, 0.0430, 0.0415, 0.0543, 0.0477, 0.0233, 0.0234, 0.0101, 0.0043]
373
+
374
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
+
376
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
+ RMSE : [2.4643, 3.5519, 4.0546, 4.3466, 4.5944, 4.6426, 4.7073, 4.9053, 5.1268, 5.1631, 5.1027, 5.2751]
378
+ RMSE_std : [0.7270, 1.0264, 1.3629, 1.5812, 1.6523, 1.7300, 1.6534, 1.6925, 1.7147, 1.7835, 1.7384, 1.5929]
379
+ R² : [0.9789, 0.9565, 0.9435, 0.9342, 0.9264, 0.9246, 0.9244, 0.9183, 0.9106, 0.9096, 0.9137, 0.9087]
380
+ R²_std : [0.0104, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0390, 0.0437, 0.0459, 0.0409, 0.0482, 0.0511, 0.0505, 0.0448, 0.0451]
381
+ SSIM : [0.9260, 0.8635, 0.8281, 0.8252, 0.8327, 0.8222, 0.8041, 0.8118, 0.8212, 0.8152, 0.8034, 0.8055]
382
+ SSIM_std : [0.0184, 0.0298, 0.0433, 0.0546, 0.0549, 0.0570, 0.0550, 0.0586, 0.0591, 0.0586, 0.0561, 0.0558]
383
+
384
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
+ RMSE : [2.7224, 3.6477, 4.2676, 4.2383, 4.2347, 4.2298, 4.6671, 6.2196, 7.1921, 7.7051, 8.0132, 8.5501]
386
+ RMSE_std : [0.3485, 0.2972, 0.9726, 0.6971, 0.1445, 0.1872, 0.7391, 1.5848, 1.5492, 2.6533, 2.0428, 0.0298]
387
+ R² : [0.9715, 0.9490, 0.9258, 0.9315, 0.9387, 0.9407, 0.9345, 0.8964, 0.8708, 0.8585, 0.8475, 0.8263]
388
+ R²_std : [0.0066, 0.0117, 0.0394, 0.0294, 0.0036, 0.0020, 0.0159, 0.0367, 0.0333, 0.0612, 0.0532, 0.0064]
389
+ SSIM : [0.9130, 0.8361, 0.8146, 0.8172, 0.8085, 0.8019, 0.8101, 0.7943, 0.7659, 0.7528, 0.7368, 0.7337]
390
+ SSIM_std : [0.0007, 0.0285, 0.0523, 0.0238, 0.0105, 0.0205, 0.0453, 0.0277, 0.0129, 0.0238, 0.0361, 0.0275]