With a short 1.2 day observation arc, the Sentry Risk Table shows an estimated 1 in 11 million chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 2 October 2024, which is 1,900 times lower than the background threat. The nominal JPL Horizons 2 October 2024 Earth distance is with a 3-sigma uncertainty of . NEODyS lists the nominal 2 October 2024 Earth distance as .
