section level2">
<h2 id="methodology">Methodology<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#methodology"></a>
</h2>
<p>The methodology used to detect the seasonal onset of epidemics, can
be divided into two essential criteria:</p>
<ol style="list-style-type: decimal">
<li>The local estimate of the exponential growth rate, <span class="math inline">\(r\)</span>, is significantly greater than
zero.</li>
<li>The average observation count over the past <span class="math inline">\(k\)</span> units of time exce