   from a &quot;Monday Morning Quarterback POV&quot; -- is that the whole reference
class,
    sample space, and array of random variables that explicitly or
implicitly
    give one a sense of the odds of things in general has been altered in
    a way that was just not assignable a likelihood from the preterite
    frame of reference.  This is just one of the reasons why a person
    cannot do abduction the Bayesian way, no matter how many vehicles
    get cranked out with &quot;Abduction&quot; in the head