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<p><span class="caption-text">DAG of the Sprinkler dataset.</span><a class="headerlink" href="#id1" title="Link to this image"></a></p>
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<p>Suppose we observed <strong>N</strong> “cloudy” occurrences among a total of “all clouds”, so we might guess that about “50%” of “cloudy” are “sprinkler” or so. According to MLE, we should fill the CPDs in such a way, that P(data|model) is maximal. This is achieved when using the <em>relative frequencies</em>. From the <em