9;s what <a href="http://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-9-impact-of-npis-on-covid-19/">the March 16 Imperial College report</a> found: do nothing, and we run out of ICUs, with more than 80% of the population getting infected.
	(remember: total cases <em>overshoots</em> herd immunity)</p>

	<p>Even if only 0.5% of infected die<sup id="fnref15"><a href="#fn15" rel="footnote">15</a></sup> ‚Äì a generous assumption when there&#39;s no more ICUs ‚Äì in a large c