[{"bbox": [144, 144, 1083, 1341], "category": "Table", "text": "<table><tr><td>by the elections foreseen in 2018 and 2019.</td><td></td><td>regional cooperation efforts. EU support to elections and election monitoring.</td></tr><tr><td><strong>Migration</strong><br>Acceleration in inflows of refugees and the resulting pressure on budget expenditure for basic service delivery.</td><td>M</td><td>Implementation of the EU support package for migration. Specific policy dialogue with government in the context of the executive committee for the re-integration of displaced persons and refugees (DiREC).</td></tr><tr><td><strong>Macroeconomic</strong><br>Strong vulnerabilities due to aid dependency, security and potential external shocks.<br>Decline in donor inflows to the budget and to finance development projects leading to lower public spending, lower growth, increased unemployment, and/or exchange rate pressures.</td><td>M</td><td>Strengthen policy implementation to maintain macro stability, speed up structural reform, and improve economic governance, including stronger legislative, institutional, and regulatory frameworks, and law enforcement – with the support of EU SRBC, IMF ECF and WB DPG. Follow-up on BCA pledges.</td></tr><tr><td><strong>Fiscal Policy</strong><br>Weak fiscal policy implementation, particularly setbacks in revenue mobilization efforts and weaknesses in expenditure and cash management.</td><td>H</td><td>Improve tax compliance, revenue mobilization, spending prioritization, and coordination between the treasury and budget departments.</td></tr><tr><td><strong>Corruption / Fraud</strong><br>Transparency International's corruption perception index 2017 lists Afghanistan as 177<sup>th</sup> out of 180 countries, and the National Chapter's specific survey of the Afghan People 2017 finds that 69.8% of Afghans perceive corruption as a major problem in their daily lives. Potential deviation of resources by local powerbrokers and widespread corruption at all levels of government and society remain real challenges.</td><td>H</td><td>National anti-corruption strategy (2017) and Government's strong commitment to combatting corruption.<br>Addressed through a combination of continued support for PFM, anti-corruption institutions, civil society's oversight.</td></tr><tr><td><strong>Public Finance Management</strong><br>PFM risks have overall been reduced through significant international support since 2003. However, weak institutional capacity persists in line ministries and at sub-national level.</td><td>M</td><td>The five-year FPIP presents a credible realistic policy with a high degree of government ownership of the reform process that is supported for implementation by the WB.</td></tr></table>"}, {"bbox": [159, 1344, 299, 1371], "category": "Section-header", "text": "Assumptions"}, {"bbox": [159, 1373, 1072, 1429], "category": "Text", "text": "The Government remains committed to pursue its ambitious reform agenda by formulating and implementing credible policies (ANPDF, SMAF, NPPs, PFM Reform);"}, {"bbox": [159, 1430, 1072, 1487], "category": "Text", "text": "The international community remains engaged in Afghanistan and actively engaged in the reform process."}, {"bbox": [599, 1605, 635, 1627], "category": "Page-footer", "text": "[15]"}]