[{"bbox": [70, 104, 1157, 186], "category": "Text", "text": "No conflict analysis has been conducted by HQ. By supporting trade and private sector development in Iran the EU contributes to fostering economic relations between Iran and the EU as well as Iran and its neighbours. Therefore, if successful and impactful, the Action could contribute to decreasing tensions in the region."}, {"bbox": [70, 215, 310, 240], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## Disaster Risk Reduction"}, {"bbox": [70, 242, 595, 266], "category": "Text", "text": "This Action does not contribute to disaster risk reduction."}, {"bbox": [86, 287, 410, 315], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## 3.4. Risks and Lessons Learnt"}, {"bbox": [56, 327, 1145, 1614], "category": "Table", "text": "<table><thead><tr><td>Category</td><td>Risks</td><td>Likelihood (High/ Medium/ Low)</td><td>Impact (High/ Medium/ Low)</td><td>Mitigating measures</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Political</td><td>Stalemate or further degradation of the JCPoA</td><td>Medium</td><td>High</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Authorities insists on supporting state-run enterprises.</td><td>High</td><td>Medium</td><td>Explain risks for the EU in supporting state-run enterprises (human rights, EU sanctions).<br/>Provide rationale why the EU support should target private sector.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Authorities interferes with the selection of the SMEs to whom the project provides assistance</td><td>High</td><td>Medium</td><td>Robust methodology for selecting SMEs and enterprises to whom the project provides assistance will be developed and applied. This is to minimize market distortion and mitigate risks related to human rights and EU sanctions.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Incompatibility of certain activities with existing EU sanctions concerning Iran</td><td>Medium</td><td>High</td><td>Redesign the project to ensure full compliance with EU sanctions.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Iranian authorities insist on technology transfers</td><td>High</td><td>Low</td><td>Explain European Commission's legal and policy limitations to transfer technology. Specifically, technology is in the hands of EU economic operators who independently decide in which geographies to engage. European Commission has neither remit nor interest to guide EU economic operators. EU technical assistance projects can procure equipment to public institutions to achieve project objectives.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Absence of EU Delegation – decreased ability to monitor</td><td>High</td><td>Medium</td><td>Regular project and system audits of the implementing partners.<br/>High insistence on deploying ROM missions.<br/>Regular missions conducted by HQ.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Absence of EU Delegation – decreased EU visibility</td><td>Medium</td><td>Medium</td><td>Specific EU visibility provisions included in the project activities and future contract.<br/>Regular missions conducted by HQ.</td></tr><tr><td>Political/operation al</td><td>Absence of EU Delegation – decreased ability to engage Iranian counterparts</td><td>High</td><td>Medium</td><td>EU-Iran experts' meetings.<br/>Regular missions conducted by HQ.</td></tr></tbody></table>"}, {"bbox": [1050, 1662, 1157, 1686], "category": "Page-footer", "text": "Page 9 of 20"}]