[{"bbox": [97, 209, 485, 236], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## Conflict sensitivity, peace and resilience"}, {"bbox": [95, 246, 1132, 408], "category": "Text", "text": "The main risks of escalation of violence may arise from the fragile situation at the Tajik borders with Afghanistan and Kyrgyzstan. The proposed budget support intends to contribute indirectly to the EU Delegation measures to mitigate instability, insecurity, conflict and violence in country. Contribution to an increased employability of youth, women and returnees, which is the overall objective of this action, can contribute to generation of income to those groups in need, and therefore supporting economic development and decent jobs opportunities to prevent exclusion and reduce the risk of radicalisation, especially among the youth."}, {"bbox": [97, 464, 335, 489], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## Disaster Risk Reduction"}, {"bbox": [95, 502, 1132, 609], "category": "Text", "text": "Tajikistan is one of the countries in Central Asia most vulnerable to shocks procured by extreme weather events caused by the climate change, due to its high sensitivity, low adaptive capacity and the lack of emergency management capacity to natural hazards. Income from agricultural production is the largest source of livelihood for the poorest rural households; their vulnerability is exacerbated by the above factors."}, {"bbox": [95, 620, 1132, 781], "category": "Text", "text": "The proposed budget support intends to contribute indirectly to the measures that EUD has planned to mitigate disaster risks and vulnerability to shocks. To increase the Tajik economy's resilience and ensure macro-stability, the authorities need to accelerate reforms in public finance by improving the efficiency of public spending and quality of tax collections and promoting development of a vibrant private sector for a sustainable economic progress. These efforts will be supported by this Action, particularly the areas related to PFM and supporting the Ministry of Finance."}, {"bbox": [97, 836, 278, 863], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## Reduce Inequality"}, {"bbox": [95, 874, 1132, 981], "category": "Text", "text": "As per OECD Inequalities DAC codes identified in section 1.1, this action is labelled as I-1. This implies that the programme will directly have an impact on inequality reduction considering that the level of income and social inequality remains high and that the development of a system on ensuring inclusive development and reduction of inequality is a priority in Tajikistan."}, {"bbox": [97, 1027, 397, 1052], "category": "Section-header", "text": "## 3.4 Risks and Lessons Learnt"}, {"bbox": [81, 1065, 1141, 1620], "category": "Table", "text": "<table><thead><tr><td>Category</td><td>Risks</td><td>Likelihood</td><td>Impact</td><td>Mitigating measures</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td rowspan=\"2\">External environment</td><td>1.Political instability in the region and impact of global crises</td><td>High</td><td>High</td><td>Continuous policy dialogue and coordinated effort with other development partners in supporting stability.</td></tr><tr><td>2.Climate change and disaster risks</td><td>Medium</td><td>Medium</td><td>EU interventions in WASH and energy sectors.</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=\"3\">Planning, processes and systems.</td><td>3.Fiscal constraints, which divert government efforts to other priorities</td><td>Medium</td><td>High</td><td>Regular monitoring of fiscal policy implementation in line with IMF recommendations, development of enabling policies and remedial actions.</td></tr><tr><td>4.Financial fraud, corruption or funds not being used for planned purposes</td><td>Medium</td><td>High</td><td>Policy dialogue with GoT (including oversight bodies) with regular monitoring of government spending, coordination through GoT platforms.</td></tr><tr><td>5.Weaknesses in the policy analysis, planning, monitoring and reporting</td><td>Medium</td><td>Medium</td><td>Mitigation through TA interventions and in coordination with Development Partners. Improvement and refinement of EMIS and strengthening of learning MIS.</td></tr></tbody></table>"}, {"bbox": [1026, 1680, 1142, 1704], "category": "Page-footer", "text": "Page 18 of 36"}]