0387951121

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Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series (Lecture Notes in Statistics)
Author(s): Regina Kaiser, Agustin Maravall
ISBN: 0387951121 ISBN-13: 9780387951126

Format: Paperback   Pages: 190 Edition: Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2001   
Pub. Date: 2000-11-17 Publisher: Springer
List Price: $169.00

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Book Description

Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series (Lecture Notes in Statistics)

This book outlines and demonstrates problems with the use of the HP filter, and proposes an alternative strategy for inferring cyclical behavior from a time series featuring seasonal, trend, cyclical and noise components. The main innovation of the alternative strategy involves augmenting the series forecasts and back-casts obtained from an ARIMA model, and then applying the HP filter to the augmented series. Comparisons presented using artificial and actual data demonstrate the superiority of the alternative strategy.

 

 
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