0143125087

Compare Book Prices Among 100+ Bookstores in US, UK & Canada. Find The Best Deal. Millions of selections, new & used books / textbooks. Smart coupons search, auto calculating shipping cost and sale taxes.
 

Compare book prices at 110 online bookstores worldwide for the lowest price for new & used textbooks and discount books! 1 click to get great deals on cheap books, cheap textbooks & discount college textbooks on sale.

 
$$To Compare 110 Bookstores Prices => (1) Browse or use this search box to find your book (2) Click "Compare Prices" link
 
Keyword Title Author ISBN
  


Search Results: displaying 1 - 1 of 1   --> 0143125087 ( ISBN )  

 
 

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't
Author(s): Nate Silver
ISBN: 0143125087 ISBN-13: 9780143125082

Format: Paperback   Pages: 560 Edition: Reprint   
Pub. Date: 2015-02-03 Publisher: Penguin Books
List Price: $19.00

Click link below to compare 110+ bookstores prices! Get up to 90% off list price!
For Book: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't

[Detail & Customer Review from Barnes & Noble]
[Detail & Customer Review from Amazon]

 

Book Description

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't

"One of the more momentous books of the decade."
-The New York Times Book Review


Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight.

Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the prediction paradox : The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.

In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary and dangerous science.

Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise.

With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver s insights are an essential read.

 

 
Recent Book Searches:

ISBN-10/ISBN-13:
0516231006 / 978-0516231006 / Car Rides (Welcome Books) / Pamela Walker
051623109X / 978-0516231099 / My Pigs (Welcome Books) / Heather Miller
0516231189 / 978-0516231181 / Cold Days (Welcome Books: Weather Report) / Jennifer S. Burke
0516231197 / 978-0516231198 / Hot Days (Welcome Books: Weather Report) / Jennifer S. Burke
0516231219 / 978-0516231211 / Sunny Days (Welcome Books: Weather Report) / Jennifer S. Burke
0516229729 / 978-0516229720 / George W. Bush: America's 43rd President (Encyclopedia of Presidents. Second Series) / Matt Donnelly
0516229761 / 978-0516229768 / John F. Kennedy: America's 35th President (Encyclopedia of Presidents. Second Series) / Kieran Doherty
0516229788 / 978-0516229782 / Richard M. Nixon: America's 37th President (Encyclopedia of Presidents. Second Series) / Betsy Ochester
0516229907 / 978-0516229904 / Welcome Books /
0516230131 / 978-0516230139 / A Day With Firefighters (Welcome Books) / Jan Kottke
0516230212 / 978-0516230214 / Find the Insect (Welcome Books: Hide and Seek) / Cate Foley
0516230360 / 978-0516230368 / Let's Play Hide-And-Seek (Play Time) / Sarah Hughes
051623045X / 978-0516230450 / Rainy Days (Weather Report) / Jennifer S. Burke
0516230530 / 978-0516230535 / Yellow in My World (World of Color, the) / Joanne Winne
0516230751 / 978-0516230757 / Circles (Welcome Books) / Jan Kottke
0516230808 / 978-0516230801 / Triangles (Welcome Books) / Jennifer S. Burke
0516230840 / 978-0516230849 / I Like Corn (Good Food) / Robin Pickering
0516230875 / 978-0516230870 / A Day With a Doctor (Welcome Books: Hard Work) / Jan Kottke
0516231111 / 978-0516231112 / Let's Play Hide-And-Seek (Welcome Books: Play Time) / Sarah Hughes
0516231154 / 978-0516231150 / Let's Play Tug-Of-War (Welcome Books: Play Time) / Sarah Hughes
0516229796 / 978-0516229799 / Ronald Reagan: America's 40th President (Encyclopedia of Presidents. Second Series) / Kieran Doherty
0516229982 / 978-0516229980 / Weekend Fun / Cate Foley
051623000X / 978-0516230009 / Circles (Welcome Books) / Jan Kottke
0516230298 / 978-0516230290 / Train Rides (Let's Go) / Pamela Walker
0516230379 / 978-0516230375 / Let's Play Hopscotch (Play Time) / Sarah Hughes
0516230409 / 978-0516230405 / Let's Play Tug-Of-War (Play Time) / Sarah Hughes
0516230492 / 978-0516230498 / Green in My World (World of Color, the) / Joanne Winne
0516230506 / 978-0516230504 / Orange in My World (World of Color, the) / Joanne Winne
0516230557 / 978-0516230559 / I Like Cereal (Good Food) / Jennifer Julius
0516230697 / 978-0516230696 / Jazz Dancing (Let's Danc) / Mark Thomas


Browse ISBN Directory:

9782763777085-9782800106663 9782800106670-9782800116433 9782800116495-9782800122663 9782800123073-9782800128474 9782800128481-9782800132679 More...

 

 

More Info about Buying Books Online:

Make Sure To Compare Book Prices before Buy

The goal of this website is to help shoppers compare book prices from different vendors / sellers and find cheap books and cheap college textbooks. Many discount books and discount text books are put on sale by discounted book retailers and discount bookstores everyday. All you need to do is to search and find them. This site also provides many book links to some major bookstores for book details and book coupons. But be sure not quickly jump into any bookstore site to buy. Always click "Compare Price" button to compare prices first. You would be happy that how much you would save by doing book price comparison.

Buy Used Books and Used Textbooks

It's becoming more and more popular to buy used books and used textbooks among college students for saving. Different second hand books from different sellers may have different conditions. Make sure to check used book condition from the seller's description. Also many book marketplaces put books for sale from small bookstores and individual sellers. Make sure to check store review for seller's reputation if possible. If you are in a hurry to get a book or textbook for your class, you should choose buying new books for prompt shipping.

Buy Books from Foreign Country

Our goal is to quickly find the cheapest books and college textbooks for you, both new and used, from a large number of bookstores worldwide. Currently our book search engines fetch book prices from US, Canada, UK, New Zealand, Australia, Netherlands, France, Ireland, Germany, and Japan. More bookstores from other countries will be added soon. Before buying from a foreign book store or book shop, be sure to check the shipping options. It's not unusual that shipping could take two to three weeks and cost could be multiple of a domestic shipping charge.

Please visit Help Page for Questions regarding ISBN / ISBN-10 / ISBN10, ISBN-13 / ISBN13, EAN / EAN-13, and Amazon ASIN


 

 


Home
| ISBN Directory | Affiliate Program | Contact

Copyright © 2003-2014 AllDiscountBooks.net All rights reserved.




 

 

 
http://alldiscountbooks.net/_0143125087_i_.html
alldiscountbooks.net
crawl=CC-MAIN-2019-09
35010
application/http; msgtype=response
sha1:INJMGVRT3H4T2JCL3MUTJHMWDKLU44MS
<urn:uuid:2a1c4cad-9a8f-4d13-ad49-5e4ae4d5e28f>
2019-02-22T22:54:12Z
204.13.232.228
text/html
sha1:FTVLYTVSQI3RY42537WO6QP3SMLVE5UC
<urn:uuid:ceda88df-1c80-49b0-a855-c639bc89b15b>
http://alldiscountbooks.net/_0143125087_i_.html
response
<urn:uuid:f61003fc-cff0-4e2f-9fe9-7c0f7f462fd6>
isPartOf: CC-MAIN-2019-09
publisher: Common Crawl
description: Wide crawl of the web for February 2019
operator: Common Crawl Admin (info@commoncrawl.org)
hostname: ip-10-159-220-225.ec2.internal
software: Apache Nutch 1.15 (modified, https://github.com/commoncrawl/nutch/)
robots: checked via crawler-commons 0.11-SNAPSHOT (https://github.com/crawler-commons/crawler-commons)
format: WARC File Format 1.1
conformsTo: http://iipc.github.io/warc-specifications/specifications/warc-format/warc-1.1/