U.S. Special Forces conduct a downed pilot simulation for the AWA 17.1 exercise at Fort Bliss on Oct. 18, 2016. The Army partnered the RAND Arroyo Center to game out a variety of scenarios featuring different end strengths of U.S. services and allied partners; adversaries’ force posture and capabilities; treaty obligations; posture and policy constraints; and other key variables in order to predict likely options and outcomes. (U.S. Army photo by Pfc. Alexander Holmes)