Instruct: Identify the main category of Biorxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Predicting Bird Distributions Under Global Change Global change creates an urgent need to predict spatial responses of biota to support the conservation of sufficient habitat to maintain biodiversity. We present species distribution model theory and a synthesis of avian literature on approaches to collecting occurrence data, selecting explanatory variables and analytical processes currently in use to predict future distributions. We find that interpreting the validity of current predictive distributions is hindered by variation in spatio-temporal resolution of data sets that force hypothesis testing under the Grinnellian niche concept. Broadly, the capacity of species to shift their geographic ranges under land use and climate change is expected to be limited by both large scale (i.e., the physiological or fundamental niche) and small scale (i.e., the realized or tolerance niche) factors. We highlight the strengths and weaknesses of widely used explanatory variables and analytical approaches tailored to macrohabitat characteristics and the Grinnellian niche concept. This synthesis addresses if and how current approaches align with theory and makes recommendations for future directions to improve the accuracy of predictive distribution modelling.
14
The categories of this paper are: biophysics
16
The categories of this paper are: microbiology
5
The categories of this paper are: cell
13
The categories of this paper are: animal
23
The categories of this paper are: immunology
4
The categories of this paper are: neuroscience
18
The categories of this paper are: systems
8
The categories of this paper are: genomics
17
The categories of this paper are: molecular
25
The categories of this paper are: bioengineering
3
The categories of this paper are: evolutionary
15
The categories of this paper are: developmental
2
The categories of this paper are: biology
32
The categories of this paper are: zoology
6
The categories of this paper are: plant
9
The categories of this paper are: synthetic