Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Which Type of Statistical Uncertainty Helps Evidence-Based Policymaking?
  An Insight from a Survey Experiment in Ireland   Which type of statistical uncertainty -- statistical (in)significance with a
p-value, or a Bayesian probability -- enables people to see the continuous
nature of uncertainty more clearly in a policymaking context? An original
survey experiment asked participants from Ireland to read a hypothetical
policymaking scenario and decide to or not to introduce a new bus line as a
policy to reduce traffic jams, given a research report estimating its
effectiveness. The four types of information were given as the treatments:
statistical significance with a p-value of 2%, statistical insignificance with
a p-value of 25%, a 95% probability that the estimate is correct, and a 68%
probability that the estimate is correct. The effect size and cost of the
policy were fixed across all treatment groups. In the case of lower
uncertainty, both significance and Bayesian frameworks resulted in a large
proportion of participants adopting the policy (.82 and .91 respectively),
while in the case of higher uncertainty, the significance framework led a much
smaller proportion of participants to adopt the policy than the Bayesian
framework (.39 against .83). The findings suggest participants were able to see
the continuous nature of uncertainty more clearly in the Bayesian framework
than in the significance framework.

5
The categories of this paper are: gr-qc
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
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The categories of this paper are: comp-gas
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The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
23
The categories of this paper are: solv-int
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The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
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The categories of this paper are: adap-org
14
The categories of this paper are: math-ph
8
The categories of this paper are: hep-ex
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
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The categories of this paper are: astro-ph
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The categories of this paper are: hep-ph
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The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
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The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
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The categories of this paper are: hep-th