Instruct: Identify the main category of Medrxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Modinterv COVID-19: An online platform to monitor the evolution of epidemic curves BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic is one of the worst public health crises the world has ever faced. A major hindrance in making apt decisions by health control systems is the fact that protocols tested in other epidemics are no guarantee of success to control the COVID-19 epidemic, given its singular nature and complexity. The occurrence of two or more waves of infections all over the world poses an even greater challenge. An effective way to assist health authorities in adopting public policies to face the COVID-19 pandemic depends on smart analytics and visualization.

PurposeWe present the software Modinterv as a tool to monitor, in an automated and user-friendly manner, the evolution and trend of COVID-19 epidemic curves, both for cases and deaths.

MethodsThe Modinterv software uses parametric generalized growth models, together with machine learning algorithms, to fit epidemic curves with one or two waves of infections of cases and deaths for countries around the world as well as for states and cities in Brazil and the USA. The richness of the implemented models lies in the possibility of detecting the distinct acceleration regimes of the disease in places where there are one or two waves of infections.

ResultsWe show how growth models can be combined with machine learning algorithms in an automated software that can identify the current stage of the COVID-19 epidemic curve in the selected place. We describe the backend structure of software as well as its practical use. The software helps the user not only to understand the current stage of the epidemic in the chosen location but also to make short term predictions as to how the curves may evolve.
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The categories of this paper are: ophthalmology
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The categories of this paper are: transplantation
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The categories of this paper are: addiction
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The categories of this paper are: psychology
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The categories of this paper are: nutrition
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The categories of this paper are: physical
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The categories of this paper are: immunology
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The categories of this paper are: sexual
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The categories of this paper are: imaging
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The categories of this paper are: medical
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The categories of this paper are: emergency
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The categories of this paper are: critical
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The categories of this paper are: respiratory
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The categories of this paper are: sports
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The categories of this paper are: nursing
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The categories of this paper are: therapy