Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Learning the seasonality of disease incidences from empirical data   Investigating the seasonality of disease incidences is very important in
disease surveillance in regions with periodical climatic patterns. In lieu of
the paradigm about disease incidences varying seasonally in line with
meteorology, this work seeks to determine how well standard epidemic models can
capture such seasonality for better forecasts and optimal futuristic
interventions. Once incidence data are assimilated by a periodic model,
asymptotic analysis in relation to the long-term behavior of the disease
occurrences can be performed using the classical Floquet theory, which explains
the stability of the existing periodic solutions. For a test case, we employed
an IR model to assimilate weekly dengue incidence data from the city of
Jakarta, Indonesia, which we present in their raw and moving-average-filtered
versions. To estimate a periodic parameter toward performing the asymptotic
analysis, eight optimization schemes were assigned returning magnitudes of the
parameter that vary insignificantly across schemes. Furthermore, the
computation results combined with the analytical results indicate that if the
disease surveillance in the city does not improve, then the incidence will
raise to a certain positive orbit and remain cyclical.

31
The categories of this paper are: ao-sci
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
18
The categories of this paper are: econ
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
36
The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
15
The categories of this paper are: nucl-ex
10
The categories of this paper are: q-bio
27
The categories of this paper are: comp-gas
24
The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
13
The categories of this paper are: quant-ph
20
The categories of this paper are: acc-phys
6
The categories of this paper are: astro-ph
7
The categories of this paper are: hep-th
29
The categories of this paper are: funct-an
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con