Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Statistical estimation of spatial wave extremes for tropical cyclones
  from small data samples: validation of the STM-E approach using long-term
  synthetic cyclone data for the Caribbean Sea   Occurrences of tropical cyclones at a location are rare, and for many
locations, only short periods of observations or hindcasts are available.
Hence, estimation of return values (corresponding to a period considerably
longer than that for which data is available) for cyclone-induced significant
wave height (SWH) from small samples is challenging. The STM-E (space-time
maximum and exposure) model was developed to provide reduced bias in estimates
of return values compared to competitor approaches in such situations, and
realistic estimates of return value uncertainty. STM-E exploits data from a
spatial neighbourhood satisfying certain conditions, rather than data from a
single location, for return value estimation.
  This article provides critical assessment of the STM-E model for tropical
cyclones in the Caribbean Sea near Guadeloupe for which a large database of
synthetic cyclones is available, corresponding to more than 3,000 years of
observation. Results indicate that STM-E yields values for the 500-year return
value of SWH and its variability, estimated from 200 years of cyclone data,
consistent with direct empirical estimates obtained by sampling 500 years of
data from the full synthetic cyclone database; similar results were found for
estimation of the 100-year return value from samples corresponding to
approximately 50 years of data. In general, STM-E also provides reduced bias
and more realistic uncertainty estimates for return values relative to single
location analysis.

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The categories of this paper are: quant-ph
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The categories of this paper are: solv-int
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The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
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The categories of this paper are: mtrl-th
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The categories of this paper are: econ
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The categories of this paper are: funct-an
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The categories of this paper are: physics
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The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
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The categories of this paper are: chem-ph
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The categories of this paper are: hep-ex
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The categories of this paper are: acc-phys
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The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
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The categories of this paper are: nucl-ex
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The categories of this paper are: math
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The categories of this paper are: adap-org
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The categories of this paper are: patt-sol