Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Evaluating Ex Ante Counterfactual Predictions Using Ex Post Causal
  Inference   We derive a formal, decision-based method for comparing the performance of
counterfactual treatment regime predictions using the results of experiments
that give relevant information on the distribution of treated outcomes. Our
approach allows us to quantify and assess the statistical significance of
differential performance for optimal treatment regimes estimated from
structural models, extrapolated treatment effects, expert opinion, and other
methods. We apply our method to evaluate optimal treatment regimes for
conditional cash transfer programs across countries where predictions are
generated using data from experimental evaluations in other countries and
pre-program data in the country of interest.

9
The categories of this paper are: nlin
14
The categories of this paper are: math-ph
11
The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
17
The categories of this paper are: q-fin
27
The categories of this paper are: comp-gas
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
7
The categories of this paper are: hep-th
2
The categories of this paper are: math
23
The categories of this paper are: solv-int
22
The categories of this paper are: chao-dyn
8
The categories of this paper are: hep-ex
25
The categories of this paper are: patt-sol
5
The categories of this paper are: gr-qc
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph