Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Probabilistic Mortality Forecasting with Varying Age-Specific Survival
  Improvements   We propose a probabilistic mortality forecasting model that can be applied to
derive forecasts for populations with regular and irregular mortality
developments. Our model (1) uses rates of mortality improvement to model
dynamic age patterns of mortality change and it can (2) optionally complement
the mortality trend of a country of interest with that of at least one
reference country. Retrospective mortality forecasts for British and Danish
women from 1991 to 2011 suggest that our model can generate smaller forecast
errors than other widely accepted approaches like, for instance, the Lee-Carter
model or the UN Bayesian approach.

36
The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
6
The categories of this paper are: astro-ph
10
The categories of this paper are: q-bio
30
The categories of this paper are: q-alg
17
The categories of this paper are: q-fin
21
The categories of this paper are: adap-org
7
The categories of this paper are: hep-th
11
The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
25
The categories of this paper are: patt-sol
2
The categories of this paper are: math
19
The categories of this paper are: eess
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
12
The categories of this paper are: nucl-th
18
The categories of this paper are: econ
31
The categories of this paper are: ao-sci