Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Multivariate Dynamic Modeling for Bayesian Forecasting of Business
  Revenue   Forecasting enterprise-wide revenue is critical to many companies and
presents several challenges and opportunities for significant business impact.
This case study is based on model developments to address these challenges for
forecasting in a large-scale retail company. Focused on multivariate revenue
forecasting across collections of supermarkets and product Categories,
hierarchical dynamic models are natural: these are able to couple revenue
streams in an integrated forecasting model, while allowing conditional
decoupling to enable relevant and sensitive analysis together with scalable
computation. Structured models exploit multi-scale modeling to cascade
information on price and promotion activities as predictors relevant across
Categories and groups of stores. With a context-relevant focus on forecasting
revenue 12 weeks ahead, the study highlights product Categories that benefit
from multi-scale information, defines insights into when, how and why
multivariate models improve forecast accuracy, and shows how cross-Category
dependencies can relate to promotion decisions in one Category impacting
others. Bayesian modeling developments underlying the case study are accessible
in custom code for interested readers.

35
The categories of this paper are: mtrl-th
8
The categories of this paper are: hep-ex
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
4
The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
13
The categories of this paper are: quant-ph
15
The categories of this paper are: nucl-ex
36
The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph
5
The categories of this paper are: gr-qc
23
The categories of this paper are: solv-int
22
The categories of this paper are: chao-dyn
12
The categories of this paper are: nucl-th
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The categories of this paper are: eess
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con
3
The categories of this paper are: physics