Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Modeling Collective Anticipation and Response on Wikipedia   The dynamics of popularity in online media are driven by a combination of
endogenous spreading mechanisms and response to exogenous shocks including news
and events. However, little is known about the dependence of temporal patterns
of popularity on event-related information, e.g. which types of events trigger
long-lasting activity. Here we propose a simple model that describes the
dynamics around peaks of popularity by incorporating key features, i.e., the
anticipatory growth and the decay of collective attention together with
circadian rhythms. The proposed model allows us to develop a new method for
predicting the future page view activity and for clustering time series. To
validate our methodology, we collect a corpus of page view data from Wikipedia
associated to a range of planned events, that are events which we know in
advance will have a fixed date in the future, such as elections and sport
events. Our methodology is superior to existing models in both prediction and
clustering tasks. Furthermore, restricting to Wikipedia pages associated to
association football, we observe that the specific realization of the event, in
our case which team wins a match or the type of the match, has a significant
effect on the response dynamics after the event. Our work demonstrates the
importance of appropriately modeling all phases of collective attention, as
well as the connection between temporal patterns of attention and
characteristic underlying information of the events they represent.

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The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
16
The categories of this paper are: stat
28
The categories of this paper are: alg-geom
30
The categories of this paper are: q-alg
29
The categories of this paper are: funct-an
36
The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
25
The categories of this paper are: patt-sol
9
The categories of this paper are: nlin
20
The categories of this paper are: acc-phys
4
The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
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The categories of this paper are: ao-sci
13
The categories of this paper are: quant-ph
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The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
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The categories of this paper are: hep-th
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The categories of this paper are: bayes-an
5
The categories of this paper are: gr-qc