Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Presenting the Probabilities of Different Effect Sizes: Towards a Better
  Understanding and Communication of Statistical Uncertainty   How should social scientists understand and communicate the uncertainty of
statistically estimated causal effects? It is well-known that the conventional
significance-vs.-insignificance approach is associated with misunderstandings
and misuses. Behavioral research suggests people understand uncertainty more
appropriately in a numerical, continuous scale than in a verbal, discrete
scale. Motivated by these backgrounds, I propose presenting the probabilities
of different effect sizes. Probability is an intuitive continuous measure of
uncertainty. It allows researchers to better understand and communicate the
uncertainty of statistically estimated effects. In addition, my approach needs
no decision threshold for an uncertainty measure or an effect size, unlike the
conventional approaches, allowing researchers to be agnostic about a decision
threshold such as p<5% and a justification for that. I apply my approach to a
previous social scientific study, showing it enables richer inference than the
significance-vs.-insignificance approach taken by the original study. The
accompanying R package makes my approach easy to implement.

15
The categories of this paper are: nucl-ex
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph
28
The categories of this paper are: alg-geom
26
The categories of this paper are: bayes-an
18
The categories of this paper are: econ
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
11
The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
21
The categories of this paper are: adap-org
7
The categories of this paper are: hep-th
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The categories of this paper are: eess
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The categories of this paper are: q-fin
12
The categories of this paper are: nucl-th
9
The categories of this paper are: nlin
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
20
The categories of this paper are: acc-phys