Intuitively understanding the purpose of Bayes' theorem for a $3/4$-probability truth-teller
56937
A man who lies a fourth of the time throws a die and says it is a six. What is the probability it is actually a six?
136769
Intuition behind Weight of Evidence and Information Value formula
124789
Expected value of subset of variables in Bayesian setting
123186
Proving the probability integral transform without assuming that the CDF is strictly increasing
90906
unconditional probability, fake coin tossing
85983
Normalizing constant in Bayes theorem
157208
Statistics: Bertrand's Box Paradox
92834
Motivation for statistical distributions
61347
Understanding a probability paradox
13113
Intuition behind using complementary CDF to compute expectation for nonnegative random variables
68629
Help me understand Bayesian prior and posterior distributions
155438
Bayes rule logic. Why we do use this?
39754
Converting (normalizing) very small likelihood values to probability
101417
Bayesian vs frequentist Interpretations of Probability
145118
How does the proof of Rejection Sampling make sense?
70695
When approximating a posterior using MCMC, why don't we save the posterior probabilities but use the parameter value frequencies afterwards?
25043
Bayes' Theorem or Bayes's Theorem? (Similarly, Charles' Law or Charles's Law?)