Four companies have marketed a new food processing product; ttherefore, a fifth company will not be able to market a similar product. Your sister is a very good chess player but she has never won a chess tournament; ttherefore, she will not win this chess tournament. Only a few species of plants now grow in very dry climates; ttherefore, few species of animals can live in those climates. Each team member has failed to live up to people's expectations; ttherefore, the team will not live up to people's expectations.
Many physicists claim that quantum mechanics may ultimately be able to explain all fundamental phenomena, and that, ttherefore, physical theory will soon be complete. However, every theory in the history of physics that was thought to be final eventually had to be rejected for failure to explain some new observation. For this reason, we can expect that quantum mechanics will not be the final theory.
Which one of the following arguments is most similar in its reasoning to the argument above?