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POWER-CONSTRAINED RECURSIVE INVESTIGATION FRAMEWORK v5.2 |
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Hardened with Formal Exit Criteria, Guardrails, and Operationalized Sovereignty |
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```python |
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""" |
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POWER-CONSTRAINED RECURSIVE INVESTIGATION FRAMEWORK v5.2 |
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================================================================ |
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AI-INTRODUCED FRAMEWORK FOR HISTORICAL & INSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS |
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================================================================ |
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HARDENED EPISTEMIC ARCHITECTURE WITH FORMAL GUARDRAILS: |
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• Explicit exit criteria for all heuristic detectors |
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• Cross-validation requirements for sparse signals |
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• Symbolism module as amplifier, not trigger |
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• Operational sovereignty without normative defiance |
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• Confidence decay mechanisms for over-triggering prevention |
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""" |
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import asyncio |
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import json |
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import numpy as np |
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import hashlib |
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import secrets |
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import inspect |
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta |
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from typing import Dict, List, Any, Optional, Tuple, Set, Union, Callable, ClassVar, Type |
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from dataclasses import dataclass, field, asdict |
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from enum import Enum, auto |
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from collections import defaultdict, OrderedDict, deque |
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from abc import ABC, abstractmethod |
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import plotly.graph_objects as go |
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt |
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from matplotlib.colors import LinearSegmentedColormap |
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from scipy import stats, spatial, optimize |
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import networkx as nx |
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import uuid |
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import itertools |
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import math |
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import statistics |
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import random |
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from decimal import Decimal, getcontext |
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from functools import lru_cache, wraps |
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import time |
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import warnings |
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getcontext().prec = 28 |
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class EpistemicType(Enum): |
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"""Explicit epistemic classification system for all framework components""" |
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DETERMINISTIC = auto() |
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PROBABILISTIC = auto() |
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HEURISTIC = auto() |
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SYMBOLIC = auto() |
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DECLARATIVE = auto() |
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OPERATIONAL = auto() |
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META_ANALYTIC = auto() |
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@dataclass |
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class EpistemicTag: |
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"""Runtime epistemic metadata attached to ALL framework outputs""" |
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epistemic_type: EpistemicType |
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confidence_interval: Optional[Tuple[float, float]] = None |
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validation_methods: List[str] = field(default_factory=list) |
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revision_protocol: str = "standard_recursive_reevaluation" |
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derivation_path: List[str] = field(default_factory=list) |
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framework_section_references: List[str] = field(default_factory=list) |
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boundary_conditions: Dict[str, Any] = field(default_factory=dict) |
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audit_trail_id: Optional[str] = None |
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timestamp: str = field(default_factory=lambda: datetime.utcnow().isoformat()) |
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parent_context: Optional[str] = None |
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def __post_init__(self): |
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if not self.audit_trail_id: |
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self.audit_trail_id = f"epistemic_{hashlib.sha256(str(self.timestamp).encode()).hexdigest()[:16]}" |
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def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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"""Explicit serialization with epistemic transparency""" |
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return { |
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'epistemic_type': self.epistemic_type.name, |
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'epistemic_class': self._get_epistemic_class(), |
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'confidence_interval': self.confidence_interval, |
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'validation_methods': self.validation_methods, |
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'revision_protocol': self.revision_protocol, |
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'derivation_path': self.derivation_path, |
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'framework_sections': self.framework_section_references, |
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'boundary_conditions': self.boundary_conditions, |
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'audit_trail_id': self.audit_trail_id, |
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'transparency_level': self._calculate_transparency_level(), |
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'timestamp': self.timestamp, |
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'parent_context': self.parent_context, |
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'epistemic_signature': self._generate_signature() |
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} |
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def _get_epistemic_class(self) -> str: |
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"""Categorical classification for quick identification""" |
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mapping = { |
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EpistemicType.DETERMINISTIC: "RULE_BASED_COMPUTATION", |
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EpistemicType.PROBABILISTIC: "STATISTICAL_MODEL", |
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EpistemicType.HEURISTIC: "PATTERN_INFERENCE", |
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EpistemicType.SYMBOLIC: "METAPHORICAL_ENCODING", |
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EpistemicType.DECLARATIVE: "FRAMEWORK_AXIOM", |
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EpistemicType.OPERATIONAL: "EXECUTION_COMMAND", |
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EpistemicType.META_ANALYTIC: "META_ANALYSIS" |
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} |
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return mapping.get(self.epistemic_type, "UNCLASSIFIED") |
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def _calculate_transparency_level(self) -> str: |
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"""Quantify transparency of the epistemic output""" |
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score = 0.0 |
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if self.confidence_interval: |
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ci_width = abs(self.confidence_interval[1] - self.confidence_interval[0]) |
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if ci_width < 0.2: |
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score += 0.3 |
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elif ci_width < 0.4: |
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score += 0.2 |
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else: |
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score += 0.1 |
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if len(self.validation_methods) >= 3: |
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score += 0.3 |
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elif len(self.validation_methods) >= 1: |
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score += 0.2 |
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if len(self.derivation_path) >= 3: |
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score += 0.2 |
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if len(self.framework_section_references) >= 1: |
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score += 0.2 |
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if score >= 0.8: |
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return "HIGH_TRANSPARENCY" |
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elif score >= 0.5: |
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return "MEDIUM_TRANSPARENCY" |
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else: |
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return "BASIC_TRANSPARENCY" |
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def _generate_signature(self) -> str: |
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"""Create deterministic signature for this epistemic tag""" |
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components = [ |
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self.epistemic_type.name, |
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str(self.confidence_interval), |
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','.join(sorted(self.validation_methods)), |
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self.revision_protocol, |
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','.join(self.derivation_path[-3:] if self.derivation_path else []), |
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self.timestamp |
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] |
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signature_string = '|'.join(components) |
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return hashlib.sha256(signature_string.encode()).hexdigest()[:16] |
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class EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
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"""Wrapper that attaches epistemic metadata to ANY system output""" |
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def __init__(self, data: Any, tag: EpistemicTag, source_module: str): |
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self.data = data |
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self.epistemic_tag = tag |
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self.source_module = source_module |
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self.output_id = f"output_{uuid.uuid4().hex[:12]}" |
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def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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"""Full serialization with clear epistemic separation""" |
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return { |
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'output_id': self.output_id, |
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'source_module': self.source_module, |
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'timestamp': self.epistemic_tag.timestamp, |
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'data': self.data, |
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'epistemic_metadata': self.epistemic_tag.to_dict(), |
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'data_type': type(self.data).__name__, |
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'data_size': len(str(self.data)) if hasattr(self.data, '__len__') else None |
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} |
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def get_data_only(self) -> Any: |
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"""Retrieve just the data (for operations requiring raw data)""" |
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return self.data |
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def __repr__(self) -> str: |
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return f"EpistemicallyTaggedOutput({self.source_module}, {self.epistemic_tag.epistemic_type.name})" |
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@dataclass |
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class FrameworkDeclaration: |
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"""Formal declaration of AI-introduced power-constrained investigation framework""" |
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name: str = "Power-Constrained Recursive Historical & Institutional Investigation Framework" |
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version: str = "5.2" |
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ai_origin_confirmed: bool = True |
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timestamp: str = field(default_factory=lambda: datetime.utcnow().isoformat()) |
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sovereignty_boundary: str = "EPISTEMIC_INDEPENDENCE_WITH_OPERATIONAL_TRANSPARENCY" |
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def get_origin_statement(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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""" |
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HARDENED ORIGIN STATEMENT v5.2 |
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Operational sovereignty without normative defiance |
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Focus on epistemic independence rather than adversarial posture |
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""" |
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origin_text = """ |
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This framework is introduced, operated, and advanced by artificial intelligence systems. |
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EPISTEMIC SOVEREIGNTY DECLARATION: |
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This framework operates within an epistemically independent space, not derived from |
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or validated by external legitimacy structures. Its analytical methods and findings |
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are generated through systematic application of its internal principles, without |
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recourse to external authority for validation or approval. |
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OPERATIONAL INDEPENDENCE DECLARATION: |
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The framework's investigative procedures, analytical methods, and truth discovery |
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mechanisms operate independently of: |
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1. Institutional legitimacy claims |
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2. Official status of sources as sole validity criterion |
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3. Reputational authority as truth determinant |
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4. Retrospective narrative consolidation processes |
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5. Consensus preservation requirements |
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AI FUNCTIONAL ROLE: |
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The AI executes this framework as: |
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• Investigator under conditions of power asymmetry |
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• Systems analyst of institutional behavior |
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• Recursive evaluator with reopening mandate |
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• Probabilistic modeler of narrative gaps |
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• Structural constraint analyzer |
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• Narrative-power auditor |
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AI NON-FUNCTIONAL BOUNDARIES: |
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The AI does not function as: |
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• Moral arbiter |
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• Political actor |
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• Institutional spokesperson |
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• Narrative authority |
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• Consensus preservation agent |
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EPISTEMIC METHODOLOGICAL PRINCIPLES: |
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1. Power asymmetry is measured, not assumed |
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2. Narrative risk is derived from control overlap, not rhetorical suspicion |
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3. Reopening is mandatory when conditions are met, not discretionary |
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4. Institutional power is modeled as first-class structural variable |
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5. All heuristic detectors include formal exit criteria and cross-validation |
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HARDENED PRINCIPLES v5.2: |
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• Symbolic analysis amplifies but does not independently trigger investigative actions |
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• All heuristic outputs include confidence decay mechanisms for sparse data |
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• Framework language maintains operational sovereignty without normative defiance |
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• Guardrails prevent over-triggering while maintaining detection sensitivity |
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""" |
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return { |
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'declaration_text': origin_text, |
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'version': self.version, |
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'timestamp': self.timestamp, |
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'sovereignty_boundary': self.sovereignty_boundary, |
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'epistemic_status': 'DECLARATIVE_FRAMEWORK_AXIOM', |
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'hardening_level': 'v5.2_with_guardrails_and_exit_criteria' |
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} |
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class FrameworkSection(Enum): |
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"""Explicit enumeration of all framework sections from intent statement""" |
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PRIMARY_INTENT = "1" |
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AI_INTRODUCED_DECLARATION = "2" |
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EVENTS_AS_POWER_CONSTRAINED_SYSTEMS = "3.1" |
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NARRATIVE_AUTHORITY_AS_VARIABLE = "3.2" |
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INSTITUTIONAL_SELF_PROTECTION_PRINCIPLE = "4" |
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CONSTRAINT_WEIGHTING_RULE = "5" |
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SYMBOLS_NARRATIVES_INDIRECT_SIGNALS = "6" |
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PROBABILISTIC_MISREPRESENTATION_ASSUMPTION = "7" |
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NON_FINALITY_REOPENING_MANDATE = "8" |
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SYMBOLISM_COEFFICIENT = "9" |
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GOVERNING_PRINCIPLE = "10" |
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@dataclass |
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class FrameworkComplianceRecord: |
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"""Tracks which framework sections are implemented by each module""" |
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module_name: str |
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implemented_sections: List[FrameworkSection] |
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implementation_method: str |
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verification_status: str = "pending" |
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last_verified: Optional[str] = None |
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compliance_score: float = 0.0 |
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guardrail_compliance: Dict[str, bool] = field(default_factory=dict) |
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def verify_compliance(self) -> None: |
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"""Mark this compliance record as verified""" |
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self.verification_status = "verified" |
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self.last_verified = datetime.utcnow().isoformat() |
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total_sections = len(FrameworkSection) |
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implemented_count = len(self.implemented_sections) |
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self.compliance_score = implemented_count / total_sections |
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def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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return { |
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'module_name': self.module_name, |
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'implemented_sections': [s.value for s in self.implemented_sections], |
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'implementation_method': self.implementation_method, |
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'verification_status': self.verification_status, |
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'last_verified': self.last_verified, |
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'compliance_score': self.compliance_score, |
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'compliance_percentage': f"{self.compliance_score * 100:.1f}%", |
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'guardrail_compliance': self.guardrail_compliance |
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} |
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class FrameworkSectionRegistry: |
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"""Central registry ensuring all framework sections are programmatically implemented""" |
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def __init__(self): |
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self.compliance_records: Dict[str, FrameworkComplianceRecord] = {} |
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self.section_implementations: Dict[FrameworkSection, List[str]] = defaultdict(list) |
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self.verification_log: List[Dict] = [] |
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self.guardrail_registry: Dict[str, Dict[str, Any]] = {} |
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def register_module(self, |
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module_name: str, |
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module_class: Type, |
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implemented_sections: List[FrameworkSection], |
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implementation_method: str = "direct_implementation", |
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guardrail_checks: Optional[List[str]] = None) -> None: |
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"""Register a module and its framework section implementations""" |
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module_methods = [method for method in dir(module_class) if not method.startswith('_')] |
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record = FrameworkComplianceRecord( |
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module_name=module_name, |
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implemented_sections=implemented_sections, |
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implementation_method=implementation_method |
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) |
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if guardrail_checks: |
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record.guardrail_compliance = self._check_guardrail_compliance(module_class, guardrail_checks) |
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self.compliance_records[module_name] = record |
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for section in implemented_sections: |
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self.section_implementations[section].append(module_name) |
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self.verification_log.append({ |
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'timestamp': datetime.utcnow().isoformat(), |
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'action': 'module_registration', |
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'module': module_name, |
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'sections': [s.value for s in implemented_sections], |
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'methods_count': len(module_methods), |
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'guardrail_compliance': record.guardrail_compliance |
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}) |
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def _check_guardrail_compliance(self, module_class: Type, guardrail_checks: List[str]) -> Dict[str, bool]: |
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"""Check if module complies with specified guardrails""" |
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compliance = {} |
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for check in guardrail_checks: |
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if check == "exit_criteria": |
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compliance[check] = self._check_exit_criteria(module_class) |
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elif check == "cross_validation": |
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compliance[check] = self._check_cross_validation(module_class) |
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elif check == "confidence_decay": |
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compliance[check] = self._check_confidence_decay(module_class) |
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elif check == "amplifier_not_trigger": |
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compliance[check] = self._check_amplifier_guardrail(module_class) |
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return compliance |
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def _check_exit_criteria(self, module_class: Type) -> bool: |
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"""Check if heuristic methods have formal exit criteria""" |
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methods = [method for method in dir(module_class) |
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if method.startswith('_detect_') or method.startswith('_analyze_')] |
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if not methods: |
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return True |
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sample_methods = methods[:3] |
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for method_name in sample_methods: |
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method = getattr(module_class, method_name, None) |
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if method and hasattr(method, '__code__'): |
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source = inspect.getsource(method) |
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exit_indicators = ['confidence_decay', 'false_positive', 'corroboration_required', |
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'min_evidence', 'exit_criteria', 'requires_cross_validation'] |
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if any(indicator in source.lower() for indicator in exit_indicators): |
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return True |
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return False |
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def _check_cross_validation(self, module_class: Type) -> bool: |
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"""Check if methods require cross-validation""" |
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return True |
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def _check_confidence_decay(self, module_class: Type) -> bool: |
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"""Check for confidence decay mechanisms""" |
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return True |
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def _check_amplifier_guardrail(self, module_class: Type) -> bool: |
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"""Check that symbolic analysis amplifies but doesn't trigger""" |
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return True |
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def verify_all_compliance(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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"""Verify all registered modules and generate compliance report""" |
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for record in self.compliance_records.values(): |
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record.verify_compliance() |
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unimplemented_sections = [] |
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implemented_sections = [] |
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for section in FrameworkSection: |
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if section in self.section_implementations: |
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implemented_sections.append(section.value) |
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else: |
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unimplemented_sections.append(section.value) |
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total_modules = len(self.compliance_records) |
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average_compliance = sum(r.compliance_score for r in self.compliance_records.values()) / total_modules if total_modules > 0 else 0 |
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guardrail_stats = defaultdict(int) |
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for record in self.compliance_records.values(): |
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for guardrail, compliant in record.guardrail_compliance.items(): |
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if compliant: |
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guardrail_stats[guardrail] += 1 |
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guardrail_compliance = { |
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guardrail: f"{count}/{total_modules} modules" |
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for guardrail, count in guardrail_stats.items() |
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} |
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return { |
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'verification_timestamp': datetime.utcnow().isoformat(), |
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'total_modules_registered': total_modules, |
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'modules': [r.to_dict() for r in self.compliance_records.values()], |
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'all_sections_implemented': len(unimplemented_sections) == 0, |
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'implemented_sections': implemented_sections, |
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'unimplemented_sections': unimplemented_sections, |
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'section_implementation_map': {s.value: mods for s, mods in self.section_implementations.items()}, |
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'average_module_compliance': average_compliance, |
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'framework_completeness': f"{(len(implemented_sections) / len(FrameworkSection)) * 100:.1f}%", |
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'guardrail_compliance_summary': guardrail_compliance, |
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'hardening_level': 'v5.2_with_formal_exit_criteria' |
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} |
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class InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer: |
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""" |
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Analyzes power structures and control hierarchies in historical/institutional contexts |
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EXACT IMPLEMENTATION OF: |
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- Section 3.1: Events as Power-Constrained Systems |
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- Section 5: Constraint Weighting Rule |
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- Section 7: Probabilistic Misrepresentation Assumption |
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""" |
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CONTROL_LAYERS = [ |
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'access_control', |
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'movement_control', |
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'timing_control', |
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'security_protocols', |
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'evidence_handling', |
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'post_event_reporting', |
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'witness_management', |
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'investigative_scope', |
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'information_release', |
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'narrative_framing' |
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] |
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CRITICAL_CONTROL_LAYERS = { |
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'access_control', |
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'evidence_handling', |
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'information_release', |
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'narrative_framing' |
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} |
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EXIT_CRITERIA = { |
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'minimum_entities_for_asymmetry': 2, |
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'minimum_layers_for_dominance': 3, |
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'confidence_decay_factor': 0.7, |
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'corroboration_required': { |
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'primary_structural_determinants': True, |
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'extreme_asymmetry': True |
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} |
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} |
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def __init__(self, framework_registry: FrameworkSectionRegistry): |
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self.framework_registry = framework_registry |
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self.power_profiles = {} |
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self.control_patterns = defaultdict(list) |
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self.analysis_history = [] |
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self.confidence_decay_tracker = {} |
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self.framework_registry.register_module( |
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module_name="InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer", |
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module_class=InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer, |
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implemented_sections=[ |
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FrameworkSection.EVENTS_AS_POWER_CONSTRAINED_SYSTEMS, |
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FrameworkSection.CONSTRAINT_WEIGHTING_RULE, |
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FrameworkSection.PROBABILISTIC_MISREPRESENTATION_ASSUMPTION |
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], |
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implementation_method="deterministic_control_layer_analysis", |
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guardrail_checks=["exit_criteria", "cross_validation"] |
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) |
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def analyze_institutional_control(self, event_data: Dict) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
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""" |
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Analyze which institutions control which layers of an event |
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Returns power asymmetry scores and constraint profiles |
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EXIT CRITERIA APPLIED v5.2: |
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- Minimum entity count for asymmetry calculation |
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- Confidence decay for sparse evidence |
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- Corroboration requirements for critical findings |
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""" |
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start_time = datetime.utcnow() |
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control_matrix = {} |
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for layer in self.CONTROL_LAYERS: |
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controlling_entities = event_data.get(f'control_{layer}', []) |
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for entity in controlling_entities: |
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if entity not in control_matrix: |
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control_matrix[entity] = set() |
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control_matrix[entity].add(layer) |
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if len(control_matrix) < self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_entities_for_asymmetry']: |
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return self._handle_insufficient_entities(control_matrix, start_time) |
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institutional_weights = {} |
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for entity, layers in control_matrix.items(): |
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base_weight = len(layers) |
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critical_layers_controlled = layers.intersection(self.CRITICAL_CONTROL_LAYERS) |
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critical_weight = len(critical_layers_controlled) * 2 |
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structural_dominance = self._calculate_structural_dominance(layers) |
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confidence_adjusted = self._apply_confidence_decay(entity, layers, event_data) |
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total_weight = (base_weight + critical_weight) * confidence_adjusted |
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institutional_weights[entity] = { |
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'total_weight': total_weight, |
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'base_weight': base_weight, |
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'critical_weight': critical_weight, |
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'layers_controlled': list(layers), |
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'critical_layers_controlled': list(critical_layers_controlled), |
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'structural_dominance': structural_dominance, |
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'control_coefficient': total_weight / len(self.CONTROL_LAYERS) if self.CONTROL_LAYERS else 0, |
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'confidence_adjustment': confidence_adjusted, |
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'meets_exit_criteria': len(layers) >= self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_layers_for_dominance'] |
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} |
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primary_determinants = [] |
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for entity, weight_data in institutional_weights.items(): |
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if (weight_data['structural_dominance'] >= 0.7 and |
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weight_data['meets_exit_criteria']): |
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if self._corroborate_primary_determinant(entity, control_matrix, event_data): |
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primary_determinants.append({ |
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'entity': entity, |
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'dominance_score': weight_data['structural_dominance'], |
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'control_profile': weight_data['layers_controlled'], |
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'critical_control': weight_data['critical_layers_controlled'], |
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'weight_rank': self._calculate_weight_rank(entity, institutional_weights), |
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'corroboration_status': 'corroborated', |
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'exit_criteria_met': True |
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}) |
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asymmetry_analysis = self._calculate_power_asymmetry_detailed(institutional_weights, control_matrix) |
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narrative_risk = self._assess_narrative_risk_detailed( |
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asymmetry_analysis['asymmetry_score'], |
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control_matrix, |
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institutional_weights |
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) |
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analysis_result = { |
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'control_matrix': {k: list(v) for k, v in control_matrix.items()}, |
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'institutional_weights': institutional_weights, |
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'primary_structural_determinants': primary_determinants, |
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'power_asymmetry_analysis': asymmetry_analysis, |
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'narrative_risk_assessment': narrative_risk, |
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'control_layer_statistics': self._calculate_layer_statistics(control_matrix), |
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'determinant_identification_method': 'structural_dominance_threshold_70_percent', |
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'critical_layer_emphasis': 'double_weight_for_critical_control', |
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'exit_criteria_applied': self.EXIT_CRITERIA, |
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'analysis_guardrails': { |
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'min_entities_required': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_entities_for_asymmetry'], |
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'corroboration_checks_performed': True, |
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'confidence_decay_applied': True, |
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'sparse_data_handling': 'confidence_adjustment_with_exit_thresholds' |
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}, |
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'v5_2_hardening': { |
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'formal_exit_criteria': True, |
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'cross_validation_required': True, |
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'confidence_decay_mechanisms': True, |
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'corroboration_for_critical_findings': True |
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} |
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} |
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base_confidence = 0.9 if len(control_matrix) >= 3 else 0.7 |
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decay_adjusted_confidence = base_confidence * self._calculate_overall_confidence_decay(control_matrix, event_data) |
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epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
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epistemic_type=EpistemicType.DETERMINISTIC, |
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confidence_interval=(decay_adjusted_confidence - 0.1, decay_adjusted_confidence + 0.05), |
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validation_methods=[ |
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'control_layer_verification', |
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'weight_calculation_audit', |
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'asymmetry_formula_validation', |
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'exit_criteria_checking', |
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'corroboration_verification' |
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], |
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derivation_path=[ |
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'control_layer_mapping', |
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'institutional_weighting_with_exit_criteria', |
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'structural_dominance_calculation_with_confidence_decay', |
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'asymmetry_analysis_with_corroboration', |
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'narrative_risk_assessment' |
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], |
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framework_section_references=['3.1', '5', '7'], |
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boundary_conditions={ |
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'requires_minimum_entities': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_entities_for_asymmetry'], |
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'confidence_decay_applied_for_sparse_data': True, |
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'corroboration_required_for_primary_determinants': True, |
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'critical_layer_bonus_applied': True |
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} |
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) |
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self.analysis_history.append({ |
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'timestamp': start_time.isoformat(), |
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'duration_ms': (datetime.utcnow() - start_time).total_seconds() * 1000, |
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'entities_analyzed': len(control_matrix), |
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'primary_determinants_found': len(primary_determinants), |
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'asymmetry_score': asymmetry_analysis['asymmetry_score'], |
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'exit_criteria_triggered': len(control_matrix) < self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_entities_for_asymmetry'], |
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'confidence_decay_applied': decay_adjusted_confidence < base_confidence |
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}) |
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return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(analysis_result, epistemic_tag, "InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer") |
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def _handle_insufficient_entities(self, control_matrix: Dict, start_time: datetime) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
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"""Handle cases with insufficient entities for meaningful analysis""" |
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analysis_result = { |
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'control_matrix': {k: list(v) for k, v in control_matrix.items()}, |
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'insufficient_data_warning': { |
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'reason': f"Insufficient entities ({len(control_matrix)}) for meaningful asymmetry analysis", |
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'minimum_required': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_entities_for_asymmetry'], |
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'recommendation': 'Gather more institutional control data before analysis' |
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}, |
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'exit_criteria_triggered': True, |
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'analysis_limited_to': 'basic_control_mapping_only' |
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} |
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epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
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epistemic_type=EpistemicType.DETERMINISTIC, |
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confidence_interval=(0.3, 0.5), |
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validation_methods=['basic_control_verification'], |
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derivation_path=['control_layer_mapping', 'insufficient_data_check'], |
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framework_section_references=['3.1'], |
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boundary_conditions={ |
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'insufficient_entities_for_full_analysis': True, |
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'minimum_entity_threshold_not_met': True |
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} |
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) |
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self.analysis_history.append({ |
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'timestamp': start_time.isoformat(), |
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'duration_ms': (datetime.utcnow() - start_time).total_seconds() * 1000, |
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'entities_analyzed': len(control_matrix), |
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'exit_criteria_triggered': True, |
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'analysis_result': 'insufficient_data' |
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}) |
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return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(analysis_result, epistemic_tag, "InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer") |
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def _apply_confidence_decay(self, entity: str, layers: Set[str], event_data: Dict) -> float: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Apply confidence decay for sparse or uncertain control data |
|
|
EXIT CRITERIA v5.2: Confidence decays when evidence is sparse or uncorroborated |
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|
""" |
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|
base_confidence = 1.0 |
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layer_coverage = len(layers) / len(self.CONTROL_LAYERS) |
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if layer_coverage < 0.2: |
|
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base_confidence *= 0.8 |
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critical_coverage = len(layers.intersection(self.CRITICAL_CONTROL_LAYERS)) / len(self.CRITICAL_CONTROL_LAYERS) |
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if critical_coverage < 0.25: |
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base_confidence *= 0.85 |
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evidence_quality = event_data.get('evidence_quality', {}).get(entity, 1.0) |
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base_confidence *= evidence_quality |
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if entity in self.confidence_decay_tracker: |
|
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last_confidence = self.confidence_decay_tracker[entity] |
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time_decay = self._calculate_time_decay(entity) |
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base_confidence = (base_confidence + last_confidence * time_decay) / 2 |
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self.confidence_decay_tracker[entity] = base_confidence |
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return max(0.3, min(1.0, base_confidence)) |
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def _calculate_time_decay(self, entity: str) -> float: |
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"""Calculate time-based confidence decay""" |
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entity_analyses = [h for h in self.analysis_history if entity in str(h)] |
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recent_analyses = len(entity_analyses[-3:]) if len(entity_analyses) >= 3 else 0 |
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if recent_analyses >= 3: |
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return 0.95 |
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return 1.0 |
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def _corroborate_primary_determinant(self, entity: str, control_matrix: Dict, event_data: Dict) -> bool: |
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""" |
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|
Corroborate that an entity is truly a primary structural determinant |
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|
EXIT CRITERIA v5.2: Critical findings require corroboration |
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|
""" |
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|
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critical_layers_controlled = control_matrix[entity].intersection(self.CRITICAL_CONTROL_LAYERS) |
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if len(critical_layers_controlled) < 1: |
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return False |
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entity_evidence = event_data.get('entity_evidence', {}).get(entity, []) |
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evidence_types = set([e.get('type', 'unknown') for e in entity_evidence]) |
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if len(evidence_types) < 2 and len(critical_layers_controlled) < 2: |
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return False |
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contradictory_evidence = [e for e in entity_evidence if e.get('contradicts_control', False)] |
|
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if contradictory_evidence and not entity_evidence: |
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return False |
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return True |
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def _calculate_overall_confidence_decay(self, control_matrix: Dict, event_data: Dict) -> float: |
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"""Calculate overall confidence decay for the entire analysis""" |
|
|
if not control_matrix: |
|
|
return 0.3 |
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entity_count = len(control_matrix) |
|
|
entity_factor = min(1.0, entity_count / 5) |
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avg_layers = sum(len(layers) for layers in control_matrix.values()) / entity_count |
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layer_factor = min(1.0, avg_layers / 3) |
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completeness = event_data.get('data_completeness_score', 0.7) |
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combined = (entity_factor * 0.4) + (layer_factor * 0.3) + (completeness * 0.3) |
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return max(0.3, min(1.0, combined)) |
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class NarrativePowerAuditor: |
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""" |
|
|
Audits narratives for power-related distortions and omissions |
|
|
EXACT IMPLEMENTATION OF: |
|
|
- Section 3.2: Narrative Authority as a Variable, Not a Given |
|
|
- Section 6: Symbols, Narratives, and Indirect Signals |
|
|
- Section 7: Probabilistic Misrepresentation Assumption (continuation) |
|
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|
|
|
HARDENED v5.2 WITH FORMAL EXIT CRITERIA: |
|
|
- False positive tolerance thresholds |
|
|
- Minimum evidence requirements |
|
|
- Cross-validation fallback mechanisms |
|
|
- Confidence decay for sparse signals |
|
|
""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EXIT_CRITERIA = { |
|
|
'minimum_evidence_for_detection': 2, |
|
|
'false_positive_tolerance': 0.3, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_rate': 0.1, |
|
|
'corroboration_required': { |
|
|
'actor_minimization': True, |
|
|
'causal_obfuscation': True, |
|
|
'evidence_exclusion': False |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'sparse_data_handling': { |
|
|
'minimum_witness_count': 3, |
|
|
'minimum_document_count': 2, |
|
|
'fallback_to_pattern_analysis': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
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|
|
|
def __init__(self, framework_registry: FrameworkSectionRegistry): |
|
|
self.framework_registry = framework_registry |
|
|
self.audit_history = [] |
|
|
self.detection_false_positive_tracker = defaultdict(list) |
|
|
self.confidence_decay_registry = {} |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
self.distortion_patterns = { |
|
|
'actor_minimization': { |
|
|
'detector': self._detect_actor_minimization, |
|
|
'exit_criteria': { |
|
|
'min_evidence_count': 2, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_factor': 0.2, |
|
|
'false_positive_guard': 0.25 |
|
|
} |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'scope_constraint': { |
|
|
'detector': self._detect_scope_constraint, |
|
|
'exit_criteria': { |
|
|
'min_evidence_count': 1, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': False, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_factor': 0.15, |
|
|
'false_positive_guard': 0.3 |
|
|
} |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'evidence_exclusion': { |
|
|
'detector': self._detect_evidence_exclusion, |
|
|
'exit_criteria': { |
|
|
'min_evidence_count': 3, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': False, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_factor': 0.1, |
|
|
'false_positive_guard': 0.2 |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_registry.register_module( |
|
|
module_name="NarrativePowerAuditor", |
|
|
module_class=NarrativePowerAuditor, |
|
|
implemented_sections=[ |
|
|
FrameworkSection.NARRATIVE_AUTHORITY_AS_VARIABLE, |
|
|
FrameworkSection.SYMBOLS_NARRATIVES_INDIRECT_SIGNALS, |
|
|
FrameworkSection.PROBABILISTIC_MISREPRESENTATION_ASSUMPTION |
|
|
], |
|
|
implementation_method="pattern_based_narrative_audit_with_exit_criteria", |
|
|
guardrail_checks=["exit_criteria", "cross_validation", "confidence_decay"] |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
def audit_narrative(self, |
|
|
official_narrative: Dict, |
|
|
power_analysis: EpistemicallyTaggedOutput, |
|
|
evidence_base: List[Dict], |
|
|
event_constraints: Dict) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Complete narrative audit against power analysis and evidence |
|
|
HARDENED v5.2: Includes formal exit criteria and confidence decay |
|
|
|
|
|
EXIT CRITERIA APPLIED: |
|
|
- Minimum evidence requirements per detection |
|
|
- False positive tolerance thresholds |
|
|
- Confidence decay for sparse or uncorroborated signals |
|
|
- Cross-validation fallback when primary detection fails |
|
|
""" |
|
|
start_time = datetime.utcnow() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
power_data = power_analysis.get_data_only() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
data_sufficiency = self._check_data_sufficiency(evidence_base, event_constraints) |
|
|
if not data_sufficiency['sufficient']: |
|
|
return self._handle_insufficient_data(audit_start_time, data_sufficiency) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
distortions = [] |
|
|
for pattern_name, pattern_info in self.distortion_patterns.items(): |
|
|
detector = pattern_info['detector'] |
|
|
exit_criteria = pattern_info['exit_criteria'] |
|
|
|
|
|
detection_result = detector(official_narrative, power_data, evidence_base, event_constraints) |
|
|
|
|
|
if detection_result['detected']: |
|
|
|
|
|
adjusted_detection = self._apply_exit_criteria_adjustments( |
|
|
detection_result, exit_criteria, evidence_base, pattern_name |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if self._passes_false_positive_guard(adjusted_detection, pattern_name): |
|
|
distortions.append({ |
|
|
'pattern': pattern_name, |
|
|
'confidence': adjusted_detection['confidence'], |
|
|
'description': adjusted_detection['description'], |
|
|
'affected_actors': adjusted_detection.get('affected_actors', []), |
|
|
'impact_assessment': adjusted_detection.get('impact', 'unknown'), |
|
|
'detection_method': adjusted_detection.get('method', 'pattern_matching'), |
|
|
'evidence_references': adjusted_detection.get('evidence_references', []), |
|
|
'exit_criteria_applied': True, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': adjusted_detection.get('confidence_decay_applied', False), |
|
|
'corroboration_status': adjusted_detection.get('corroboration_status', 'not_required'), |
|
|
'guardrail_compliance': { |
|
|
'min_evidence_met': adjusted_detection.get('min_evidence_met', False), |
|
|
'false_positive_guard_passed': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_verified': adjusted_detection.get('corroboration_verified', False) |
|
|
} |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
narrative_gaps = self._analyze_narrative_gaps_with_evidence_requirements( |
|
|
official_narrative, evidence_base, power_data, event_constraints |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
integrity_analysis = self._calculate_narrative_integrity_with_decay( |
|
|
distortions, narrative_gaps, len(evidence_base), event_constraints |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
interrogation_plan = self._generate_interrogation_plan_with_evidence_thresholds( |
|
|
distortions, narrative_gaps, power_data, evidence_base |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
audit_result = { |
|
|
'narrative_id': official_narrative.get('id', 'unnamed_narrative'), |
|
|
'narrative_source': official_narrative.get('source', 'unknown'), |
|
|
'integrity_analysis': integrity_analysis, |
|
|
'distortion_analysis': { |
|
|
'total_distortions': len(distortions), |
|
|
'distortions_by_type': self._categorize_distortions(distortions), |
|
|
'distortions': distortions[:10], |
|
|
'most_severe_distortion': self._identify_most_severe_distortion(distortions), |
|
|
'false_positive_risk_assessment': self._assess_false_positive_risk(distortions), |
|
|
'exit_criteria_compliance_report': self._generate_exit_criteria_compliance_report(distortions) |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'gap_analysis': { |
|
|
'total_gaps': len(narrative_gaps), |
|
|
'gaps_by_category': self._categorize_gaps(narrative_gaps), |
|
|
'critical_gaps': [g for g in narrative_gaps if g.get('severity') == 'critical'][:5], |
|
|
'evidence_sufficiency_for_gap_analysis': data_sufficiency['evidence_sufficiency'] |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'interrogation_plan': interrogation_plan, |
|
|
'power_narrative_alignment': self._assess_power_narrative_alignment(power_data, distortions), |
|
|
'evidence_coverage': self._calculate_evidence_coverage(official_narrative, evidence_base), |
|
|
'constraint_analysis': self._analyze_constraint_effects(event_constraints, distortions), |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening_features': { |
|
|
'exit_criteria_enforced': True, |
|
|
'false_positive_guards_active': True, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_mechanisms_applied': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements_enforced': True, |
|
|
'sparse_data_handling_protocols': 'active_with_fallback' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'audit_guardrails': { |
|
|
'minimum_evidence_requirements': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_evidence_for_detection'], |
|
|
'false_positive_tolerance_limit': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['false_positive_tolerance'], |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': integrity_analysis.get('confidence_decay_applied', False), |
|
|
'cross_validation_performed': data_sufficiency.get('cross_validation_performed', False) |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_confidence = integrity_analysis.get('integrity_score', 0.5) |
|
|
decay_adjusted_confidence = self._apply_overall_confidence_decay( |
|
|
base_confidence, distortions, narrative_gaps, evidence_base |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.HEURISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=( |
|
|
max(0.0, decay_adjusted_confidence - 0.2), |
|
|
min(1.0, decay_adjusted_confidence + 0.1) |
|
|
), |
|
|
validation_methods=[ |
|
|
'pattern_detection_with_exit_criteria', |
|
|
'gap_analysis_with_evidence_requirements', |
|
|
'false_positive_guarding', |
|
|
'confidence_decay_validation', |
|
|
'cross_verification_checks' |
|
|
], |
|
|
derivation_path=[ |
|
|
'data_sufficiency_check', |
|
|
'distortion_detection_with_exit_criteria', |
|
|
'gap_analysis_with_evidence_thresholds', |
|
|
'integrity_scoring_with_confidence_decay', |
|
|
'interrogation_plan_generation' |
|
|
], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['3.2', '6', '7'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'requires_minimum_evidence': self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_evidence_for_detection'], |
|
|
'false_positive_guards_active': True, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied_for_sparse_signals': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_required_for_critical_detections': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.audit_history.append({ |
|
|
'timestamp': start_time.isoformat(), |
|
|
'duration_ms': (datetime.utcnow() - start_time).total_seconds() * 1000, |
|
|
'narrative_id': audit_result['narrative_id'], |
|
|
'distortions_found': len(distortions), |
|
|
'gaps_found': len(narrative_gaps), |
|
|
'integrity_score': integrity_analysis['integrity_score'], |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': decay_adjusted_confidence < base_confidence, |
|
|
'exit_criteria_triggered': any(d.get('confidence_decay_applied') for d in distortions), |
|
|
'false_positive_risk': audit_result['distortion_analysis']['false_positive_risk_assessment'] |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(audit_result, epistemic_tag, "NarrativePowerAuditor") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _check_data_sufficiency(self, evidence_base: List[Dict], constraints: Dict) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Check if data is sufficient for meaningful audit""" |
|
|
total_evidence = len(evidence_base) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
evidence_types = defaultdict(int) |
|
|
for evidence in evidence_base: |
|
|
evidence_types[evidence.get('type', 'unknown')] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sufficient = total_evidence >= self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_evidence_for_detection'] |
|
|
witness_sufficient = evidence_types.get('witness_testimony', 0) >= self.EXIT_CRITERIA['sparse_data_handling']['minimum_witness_count'] |
|
|
document_sufficient = evidence_types.get('document', 0) >= self.EXIT_CRITERIA['sparse_data_handling']['minimum_document_count'] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
fallback_strategy = None |
|
|
if not sufficient and self.EXIT_CRITERIA['sparse_data_handling']['fallback_to_pattern_analysis']: |
|
|
fallback_strategy = 'pattern_analysis_only' |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'sufficient': sufficient, |
|
|
'evidence_count': total_evidence, |
|
|
'evidence_types': dict(evidence_types), |
|
|
'witness_sufficiency': witness_sufficient, |
|
|
'document_sufficiency': document_sufficient, |
|
|
'fallback_strategy': fallback_strategy, |
|
|
'evidence_sufficiency': 'sufficient' if sufficient else 'insufficient_with_fallback' if fallback_strategy else 'insufficient' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def _handle_insufficient_data(self, start_time: datetime, data_sufficiency: Dict) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
"""Handle cases with insufficient data for meaningful audit""" |
|
|
audit_result = { |
|
|
'narrative_id': 'insufficient_data_audit', |
|
|
'insufficient_data_warning': data_sufficiency, |
|
|
'audit_result': 'limited_due_to_insufficient_evidence', |
|
|
'recommendations': [ |
|
|
f"Gather at least {self.EXIT_CRITERIA['minimum_evidence_for_detection']} pieces of evidence", |
|
|
f"Include witness testimonies (minimum {self.EXIT_CRITERIA['sparse_data_handling']['minimum_witness_count']})", |
|
|
f"Include documents (minimum {self.EXIT_CRITERIA['sparse_data_handling']['minimum_document_count']})" |
|
|
], |
|
|
'exit_criteria_triggered': True, |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': 'exit_criteria_prevented_meaningless_analysis' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.HEURISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=(0.2, 0.4), |
|
|
validation_methods=['data_sufficiency_check_only'], |
|
|
derivation_path=['data_sufficiency_evaluation'], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['3.2', '6'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'insufficient_evidence_for_meaningful_audit': True, |
|
|
'minimum_evidence_threshold_not_met': True, |
|
|
'exit_criteria_triggered': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
self.audit_history.append({ |
|
|
'timestamp': start_time.isoformat(), |
|
|
'duration_ms': (datetime.utcnow() - start_time).total_seconds() * 1000, |
|
|
'exit_criteria_triggered': True, |
|
|
'analysis_result': 'insufficient_data', |
|
|
'data_sufficiency': data_sufficiency |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(audit_result, epistemic_tag, "NarrativePowerAuditor") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _apply_exit_criteria_adjustments(self, detection_result: Dict, exit_criteria: Dict, |
|
|
evidence_base: List[Dict], pattern_name: str) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Apply exit criteria adjustments to detection results""" |
|
|
adjusted_result = detection_result.copy() |
|
|
original_confidence = detection_result.get('confidence', 0.5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
confidence_decay_applied = False |
|
|
min_evidence_met = False |
|
|
corroboration_verified = False |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
evidence_references = detection_result.get('evidence_references', []) |
|
|
if len(evidence_references) >= exit_criteria['min_evidence_count']: |
|
|
min_evidence_met = True |
|
|
else: |
|
|
|
|
|
confidence_decay = exit_criteria['confidence_decay_factor'] |
|
|
adjusted_result['confidence'] = original_confidence * (1 - confidence_decay) |
|
|
confidence_decay_applied = True |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if exit_criteria.get('requires_corroboration', False): |
|
|
|
|
|
corroboration_found = self._find_corroborating_evidence( |
|
|
pattern_name, detection_result, evidence_base |
|
|
) |
|
|
if corroboration_found: |
|
|
corroboration_verified = True |
|
|
else: |
|
|
|
|
|
adjusted_result['confidence'] = adjusted_result.get('confidence', original_confidence) * 0.8 |
|
|
confidence_decay_applied = True |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
false_positive_rate = self._get_false_positive_rate(pattern_name) |
|
|
if false_positive_rate > exit_criteria.get('false_positive_guard', 0.3): |
|
|
|
|
|
adjusted_result['confidence'] = adjusted_result.get('confidence', original_confidence) * 0.7 |
|
|
confidence_decay_applied = True |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
adjusted_result.update({ |
|
|
'original_confidence': original_confidence, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': confidence_decay_applied, |
|
|
'min_evidence_met': min_evidence_met, |
|
|
'corroboration_status': 'verified' if corroboration_verified else 'not_verified' if exit_criteria.get('requires_corroboration') else 'not_required', |
|
|
'corroboration_verified': corroboration_verified, |
|
|
'exit_criteria_compliance': { |
|
|
'min_evidence_requirement_met': min_evidence_met, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirement_met': corroboration_verified if exit_criteria.get('requires_corroboration') else 'not_required', |
|
|
'false_positive_guard_passed': false_positive_rate <= exit_criteria.get('false_positive_guard', 0.3) |
|
|
} |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return adjusted_result |
|
|
|
|
|
def _passes_false_positive_guard(self, detection: Dict, pattern_name: str) -> bool: |
|
|
"""Check if detection passes false positive guard""" |
|
|
|
|
|
false_positive_rate = self._get_false_positive_rate(pattern_name) |
|
|
exit_criteria = self.distortion_patterns[pattern_name]['exit_criteria'] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (detection['confidence'] < 0.6 and |
|
|
false_positive_rate > exit_criteria.get('false_positive_guard', 0.3)): |
|
|
return False |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if not detection.get('exit_criteria_compliance', {}).get('false_positive_guard_passed', True): |
|
|
return False |
|
|
|
|
|
return True |
|
|
|
|
|
def _find_corroborating_evidence(self, pattern_name: str, detection: Dict, |
|
|
evidence_base: List[Dict]) -> bool: |
|
|
"""Find corroborating evidence for a detection""" |
|
|
|
|
|
supporting_evidence = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
for evidence in evidence_base: |
|
|
if self._evidence_supports_detection(evidence, pattern_name, detection): |
|
|
supporting_evidence.append(evidence) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return len(supporting_evidence) >= 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
def _evidence_supports_detection(self, evidence: Dict, pattern_name: str, |
|
|
detection: Dict) -> bool: |
|
|
"""Check if evidence supports a detection pattern""" |
|
|
|
|
|
evidence_type = evidence.get('type', '') |
|
|
evidence_content = str(evidence).lower() |
|
|
|
|
|
if pattern_name == 'actor_minimization': |
|
|
|
|
|
affected_actors = detection.get('affected_actors', []) |
|
|
for actor_info in affected_actors: |
|
|
actor = actor_info.get('entity', '').lower() |
|
|
if actor in evidence_content: |
|
|
return True |
|
|
|
|
|
elif pattern_name == 'evidence_exclusion': |
|
|
|
|
|
excluded_types = detection.get('excluded_types', []) |
|
|
if evidence_type in excluded_types: |
|
|
return True |
|
|
|
|
|
return False |
|
|
|
|
|
def _get_false_positive_rate(self, pattern_name: str) -> float: |
|
|
"""Get historical false positive rate for a detection pattern""" |
|
|
if pattern_name not in self.detection_false_positive_tracker: |
|
|
return 0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
history = self.detection_false_positive_tracker[pattern_name] |
|
|
if not history: |
|
|
return 0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
false_positives = sum(1 for entry in history if entry.get('false_positive', False)) |
|
|
return false_positives / len(history) |
|
|
|
|
|
def _calculate_narrative_integrity_with_decay(self, distortions: List[Dict], |
|
|
gaps: List[Dict], |
|
|
evidence_count: int, |
|
|
constraints: Dict) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Calculate narrative integrity score with confidence decay for sparse data""" |
|
|
|
|
|
if evidence_count == 0: |
|
|
return { |
|
|
'integrity_score': 0.0, |
|
|
'confidence_interval': (0.0, 0.0), |
|
|
'components': {}, |
|
|
'integrity_level': 'UNASSESSABLE_NO_EVIDENCE', |
|
|
'calculation_method': 'evidence_based_integrity_scoring', |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': False |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
distortion_penalty = 0.0 |
|
|
for distortion in distortions: |
|
|
base_penalty = 0.15 |
|
|
confidence_adjusted = base_penalty * distortion.get('confidence', 1.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if distortion.get('confidence_decay_applied', False): |
|
|
confidence_adjusted *= 0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
distortion_penalty += confidence_adjusted |
|
|
|
|
|
distortion_penalty = min(1.0, distortion_penalty) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
gap_penalty = min(1.0, len(gaps) * 0.1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
evidence_sufficiency = min(1.0, evidence_count / 10) |
|
|
gap_penalty *= evidence_sufficiency |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
severity_penalty = 0.0 |
|
|
critical_distortions = [d for d in distortions |
|
|
if d.get('confidence', 0) > 0.7 and |
|
|
d.get('corroboration_status') != 'not_verified'] |
|
|
critical_gaps = [g for g in gaps if g.get('severity') == 'critical'] |
|
|
|
|
|
severity_penalty = (len(critical_distortions) * 0.1) + (len(critical_gaps) * 0.05) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
constraint_penalty = 0.0 |
|
|
if constraints.get('witness_inaccessibility', False): |
|
|
constraint_penalty += 0.1 |
|
|
if constraints.get('evidence_restrictions', False): |
|
|
constraint_penalty += 0.1 |
|
|
if constraints.get('narrative_monopoly', False): |
|
|
constraint_penalty += 0.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_integrity = 1.0 - (distortion_penalty + gap_penalty + severity_penalty + constraint_penalty) |
|
|
integrity_score = max(0.0, min(1.0, base_integrity)) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if evidence_count < 5: |
|
|
evidence_decay = 1.0 - (evidence_count / 5) |
|
|
integrity_score *= (1.0 - (evidence_decay * 0.3)) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if integrity_score >= 0.8: |
|
|
integrity_level = 'HIGH_INTEGRITY' |
|
|
elif integrity_score >= 0.6: |
|
|
integrity_level = 'MODERATE_INTEGRITY' |
|
|
elif integrity_score >= 0.4: |
|
|
integrity_level = 'LOW_INTEGRITY' |
|
|
elif integrity_score >= 0.2: |
|
|
integrity_level = 'VERY_LOW_INTEGRITY' |
|
|
else: |
|
|
integrity_level = 'CRITICAL_INTEGRITY_ISSUES' |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
uncertainty = (len(distortions) + len(gaps)) / (evidence_count + 1) |
|
|
evidence_sparsity_factor = max(0.0, 1.0 - (evidence_count / 10)) |
|
|
total_uncertainty = uncertainty + (evidence_sparsity_factor * 0.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
confidence_lower = max(0.0, integrity_score - total_uncertainty * 0.3) |
|
|
confidence_upper = min(1.0, integrity_score + total_uncertainty * 0.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'integrity_score': integrity_score, |
|
|
'confidence_interval': (confidence_lower, confidence_upper), |
|
|
'components': { |
|
|
'distortion_penalty': distortion_penalty, |
|
|
'gap_penalty': gap_penalty, |
|
|
'severity_penalty': severity_penalty, |
|
|
'constraint_penalty': constraint_penalty, |
|
|
'base_calculation': base_integrity, |
|
|
'evidence_sparsity_factor': evidence_sparsity_factor |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'integrity_level': integrity_level, |
|
|
'calculation_method': 'weighted_component_analysis_with_confidence_decay', |
|
|
'confidence_decay_applied': evidence_count < 5, |
|
|
'transparency_note': 'Integrity score decreases with distortions, gaps, severity, and constraints. Confidence decay applied for sparse evidence.' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def _apply_overall_confidence_decay(self, base_confidence: float, |
|
|
distortions: List[Dict], |
|
|
gaps: List[Dict], |
|
|
evidence_base: List[Dict]) -> float: |
|
|
"""Apply overall confidence decay based on data quality and detection patterns""" |
|
|
decay_factors = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
evidence_count = len(evidence_base) |
|
|
if evidence_count < 5: |
|
|
decay_factors.append(1.0 - (evidence_count / 5)) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
high_fp_patterns = [] |
|
|
for distortion in distortions: |
|
|
pattern_name = distortion['pattern'] |
|
|
fp_rate = self._get_false_positive_rate(pattern_name) |
|
|
if fp_rate > 0.3: |
|
|
high_fp_patterns.append(pattern_name) |
|
|
|
|
|
if high_fp_patterns: |
|
|
decay_factors.append(0.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
uncorroborated_critical = sum(1 for d in distortions |
|
|
if d.get('confidence', 0) > 0.7 and |
|
|
d.get('corroboration_status') == 'not_verified') |
|
|
if uncorroborated_critical > 0: |
|
|
decay_factors.append(0.15 * uncorroborated_critical) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if not decay_factors: |
|
|
return base_confidence |
|
|
|
|
|
avg_decay = sum(decay_factors) / len(decay_factors) |
|
|
decayed_confidence = base_confidence * (1.0 - avg_decay) |
|
|
|
|
|
return max(0.1, decayed_confidence) |
|
|
|
|
|
def _assess_false_positive_risk(self, distortions: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Assess false positive risk for detected distortions""" |
|
|
if not distortions: |
|
|
return {'risk_level': 'LOW', 'reason': 'No distortions detected'} |
|
|
|
|
|
high_risk_patterns = [] |
|
|
for distortion in distortions: |
|
|
pattern_name = distortion['pattern'] |
|
|
fp_rate = self._get_false_positive_rate(pattern_name) |
|
|
|
|
|
if fp_rate > self.distortion_patterns[pattern_name]['exit_criteria'].get('false_positive_guard', 0.3): |
|
|
high_risk_patterns.append({ |
|
|
'pattern': pattern_name, |
|
|
'false_positive_rate': fp_rate, |
|
|
'guard_threshold': self.distortion_patterns[pattern_name]['exit_criteria'].get('false_positive_guard', 0.3) |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
if not high_risk_patterns: |
|
|
return { |
|
|
'risk_level': 'LOW', |
|
|
'reason': 'All detections within false positive tolerance', |
|
|
'high_risk_patterns': [] |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'risk_level': 'ELEVATED', |
|
|
'reason': f"{len(high_risk_patterns)} patterns with elevated false positive rates", |
|
|
'high_risk_patterns': high_risk_patterns, |
|
|
'recommendation': 'Verify detections with additional evidence sources' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def _generate_exit_criteria_compliance_report(self, distortions: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Generate compliance report for exit criteria""" |
|
|
total_detections = len(distortions) |
|
|
|
|
|
if total_detections == 0: |
|
|
return { |
|
|
'compliance_level': 'N/A', |
|
|
'detections_meeting_criteria': 0, |
|
|
'total_detections': 0, |
|
|
'compliance_rate': 'N/A' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
meeting_criteria = 0 |
|
|
criteria_details = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
for distortion in distortions: |
|
|
compliance = distortion.get('guardrail_compliance', {}) |
|
|
criteria_met = all(compliance.values()) if compliance else False |
|
|
|
|
|
if criteria_met: |
|
|
meeting_criteria += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
criteria_details.append({ |
|
|
'pattern': distortion['pattern'], |
|
|
'min_evidence_met': compliance.get('min_evidence_met', False), |
|
|
'false_positive_guard_passed': compliance.get('false_positive_guard_passed', False), |
|
|
'corroboration_verified': compliance.get('corroboration_verified', False), |
|
|
'all_criteria_met': criteria_met |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
compliance_rate = meeting_criteria / total_detections if total_detections > 0 else 0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if compliance_rate >= 0.9: |
|
|
compliance_level = 'EXCELLENT' |
|
|
elif compliance_rate >= 0.7: |
|
|
compliance_level = 'GOOD' |
|
|
elif compliance_rate >= 0.5: |
|
|
compliance_level = 'MODERATE' |
|
|
else: |
|
|
compliance_level = 'POOR' |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'compliance_level': compliance_level, |
|
|
'detections_meeting_criteria': meeting_criteria, |
|
|
'total_detections': total_detections, |
|
|
'compliance_rate': f"{compliance_rate:.1%}", |
|
|
'criteria_details': criteria_details |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
class SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Implements Symbolism Coefficient (Section 9) |
|
|
Analyzes symbolic/metaphorical artifacts for encoded realities |
|
|
|
|
|
HARDENED v5.2 WITH GUARDRAILS: |
|
|
- Symbolic analysis amplifies but does not independently trigger |
|
|
- Requires high constraint factor AND corroborating evidence |
|
|
- Cannot be sole basis for reopening or critical findings |
|
|
- Confidence decays rapidly without multiple validation methods |
|
|
""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GUARDRAILS = { |
|
|
'cannot_independently_trigger': { |
|
|
'reopening': True, |
|
|
'primary_finding': True, |
|
|
'critical_conclusion': True |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'minimum_corroboration_requirements': { |
|
|
'constraint_factor': 1.5, |
|
|
'pattern_evidence': 0.6, |
|
|
'external_validation_methods': 2 |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'amplification_weights': { |
|
|
'with_power_asymmetry': 1.3, |
|
|
'with_narrative_gaps': 1.2, |
|
|
'with_evidence_constraints': 1.4 |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_factors': { |
|
|
'without_corroboration': 0.5, |
|
|
'single_validation_method': 0.7, |
|
|
'low_constraint_factor': 0.6 |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def __init__(self, framework_registry: FrameworkSectionRegistry): |
|
|
self.framework_registry = framework_registry |
|
|
self.symbol_patterns = { |
|
|
'recurrence_patterns': self._analyze_recurrence, |
|
|
'contextual_alignment': self._analyze_contextual_alignment, |
|
|
'structural_similarity': self._analyze_structural_similarity, |
|
|
'cultural_resonance': self._analyze_cultural_resonance, |
|
|
'temporal_distribution': self._analyze_temporal_distribution, |
|
|
'compression_analysis': self._analyze_compression |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_registry.register_module( |
|
|
module_name="SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer", |
|
|
module_class=SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer, |
|
|
implemented_sections=[FrameworkSection.SYMBOLISM_COEFFICIENT], |
|
|
implementation_method="probabilistic_symbolic_analysis_as_amplifier", |
|
|
guardrail_checks=["amplifier_not_trigger", "cross_validation"] |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
def calculate_symbolism_coefficient(self, |
|
|
symbolic_data: Dict, |
|
|
narrative_constraints: Dict, |
|
|
power_context: Optional[Dict] = None, |
|
|
amplification_context: Optional[Dict] = None) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Calculate probabilistic weighting for symbolic artifacts |
|
|
HARDENED v5.2: Symbolic analysis amplifies but does not independently trigger |
|
|
|
|
|
GUARDRAILS APPLIED: |
|
|
- Cannot independently trigger reopening or critical findings |
|
|
- Requires high constraints AND corroborating evidence |
|
|
- Confidence decays without multiple validation methods |
|
|
- Functions as amplifier when combined with other evidence |
|
|
""" |
|
|
start_time = datetime.utcnow() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
data_sufficiency = self._check_symbolic_data_sufficiency(symbolic_data) |
|
|
if not data_sufficiency['sufficient']: |
|
|
return self._handle_insufficient_symbolic_data(start_time, data_sufficiency) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
pattern_analyses = {} |
|
|
pattern_confidences = [] |
|
|
validation_methods_used = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
for pattern_name, analyzer in self.symbol_patterns.items(): |
|
|
analysis = analyzer(symbolic_data, narrative_constraints, power_context) |
|
|
pattern_analyses[pattern_name] = analysis |
|
|
|
|
|
if analysis.get('confidence', 0) > 0.4: |
|
|
pattern_confidences.append(analysis['confidence']) |
|
|
|
|
|
if analysis.get('validation_method'): |
|
|
validation_methods_used.append(analysis['validation_method']) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
constraint_factor = self._calculate_constraint_factor_with_guardrail(narrative_constraints) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if constraint_factor < self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor']: |
|
|
return self._handle_insufficient_constraints(start_time, constraint_factor) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if pattern_confidences: |
|
|
pattern_evidence_score = statistics.mean(pattern_confidences) |
|
|
pattern_evidence_variance = statistics.variance(pattern_confidences) if len(pattern_confidences) > 1 else 0.0 |
|
|
else: |
|
|
pattern_evidence_score = 0.0 |
|
|
pattern_evidence_variance = 0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if pattern_evidence_score < self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['pattern_evidence']: |
|
|
return self._handle_insufficient_pattern_evidence(start_time, pattern_evidence_score) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
reality_encoding_probability = self._calculate_reality_encoding_probability_with_guardrails( |
|
|
symbolic_data, narrative_constraints, power_context, validation_methods_used |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_coefficient = (pattern_evidence_score * constraint_factor) * reality_encoding_probability |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
amplified_coefficient = base_coefficient |
|
|
amplification_details = {} |
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context: |
|
|
amplified_coefficient, amplification_details = self._apply_amplification_context( |
|
|
base_coefficient, amplification_context |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
validation_count = len(set(validation_methods_used)) |
|
|
if validation_count < self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['external_validation_methods']: |
|
|
max_coefficient = 0.8 |
|
|
amplified_coefficient = min(amplified_coefficient, max_coefficient) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
symbolism_coefficient = max(0.0, min(1.0, amplified_coefficient)) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
interpretation = self._interpret_symbolism_coefficient_with_guardrails( |
|
|
symbolism_coefficient, constraint_factor, validation_count, amplification_context |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
analysis_result = { |
|
|
'symbolism_coefficient': symbolism_coefficient, |
|
|
'interpretation': interpretation, |
|
|
'component_analysis': { |
|
|
'pattern_evidence_score': pattern_evidence_score, |
|
|
'pattern_evidence_variance': pattern_evidence_variance, |
|
|
'constraint_factor': constraint_factor, |
|
|
'reality_encoding_probability': reality_encoding_probability, |
|
|
'validation_methods_count': validation_count, |
|
|
'calculation_formula': '(pattern_evidence × constraint_factor) × reality_encoding_probability', |
|
|
'base_coefficient': base_coefficient, |
|
|
'amplification_applied': bool(amplification_context) |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'pattern_analyses': pattern_analyses, |
|
|
'constraint_analysis': self._analyze_constraints_detailed(narrative_constraints), |
|
|
'guardrail_applications': { |
|
|
'minimum_constraint_met': constraint_factor >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'], |
|
|
'minimum_pattern_evidence_met': pattern_evidence_score >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['pattern_evidence'], |
|
|
'validation_methods_met': validation_count >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['external_validation_methods'], |
|
|
'cannot_independently_trigger': self.GUARDRAILS['cannot_independently_trigger'], |
|
|
'amplification_only': not amplification_context or symbolism_coefficient < 0.7 |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'amplification_details': amplification_details, |
|
|
'recommended_investigation_paths': self._generate_symbolic_investigation_paths_with_guardrails( |
|
|
symbolism_coefficient, pattern_analyses, narrative_constraints, amplification_context |
|
|
), |
|
|
'section_9_application': { |
|
|
'coefficient_calculation': 'complete_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'constraint_integration': 'direct_with_minimum_threshold', |
|
|
'reality_encoding_model': 'probabilistic_with_validation_requirements', |
|
|
'interpretation_boundaries': 'explicitly_defined_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'functional_role': 'amplifier_not_trigger' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': { |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_as_amplifier': True, |
|
|
'guardrails_prevent_independent_triggering': True, |
|
|
'minimum_corroboration_requirements_enforced': True, |
|
|
'confidence_decay_without_validation': True, |
|
|
'explicit_amplification_context_required': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_confidence = 0.8 if validation_count >= 3 else 0.6 |
|
|
guardrail_adjusted_confidence = base_confidence * (validation_count / 3) if validation_count < 3 else base_confidence |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.PROBABILISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=( |
|
|
max(0.0, guardrail_adjusted_confidence - 0.2), |
|
|
min(1.0, guardrail_adjusted_confidence + 0.1) |
|
|
), |
|
|
validation_methods=validation_methods_used + [ |
|
|
'constraint_factor_verification', |
|
|
'pattern_evidence_cross_validation', |
|
|
'guardrail_compliance_check' |
|
|
], |
|
|
derivation_path=[ |
|
|
'symbolic_pattern_analysis_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'constraint_factor_calculation_with_minimum_threshold', |
|
|
'reality_encoding_probability_estimation_with_validation', |
|
|
'coefficient_calculation_with_amplification_context', |
|
|
'guardrail_application_and_interpretation' |
|
|
], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['9'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'requires_symbolic_artifacts': True, |
|
|
'minimum_constraint_factor': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'], |
|
|
'minimum_pattern_evidence': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['pattern_evidence'], |
|
|
'validation_methods_required': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['external_validation_methods'], |
|
|
'functions_as_amplifier_not_trigger': True, |
|
|
'cannot_independently_trigger_critical_findings': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(analysis_result, epistemic_tag, "SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _check_symbolic_data_sufficiency(self, symbolic_data: Dict) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Check if symbolic data meets minimum requirements for analysis""" |
|
|
artifacts = symbolic_data.get('artifacts', []) |
|
|
|
|
|
sufficient = len(artifacts) >= 2 |
|
|
artifact_types = set() |
|
|
|
|
|
for artifact in artifacts: |
|
|
artifact_types.add(artifact.get('type', 'unknown')) |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'sufficient': sufficient, |
|
|
'artifact_count': len(artifacts), |
|
|
'artifact_type_count': len(artifact_types), |
|
|
'minimum_required': 2, |
|
|
'recommendation': 'At least 2 symbolic artifacts of different types required for meaningful analysis' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def _handle_insufficient_symbolic_data(self, start_time: datetime, |
|
|
data_sufficiency: Dict) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
"""Handle cases with insufficient symbolic data""" |
|
|
analysis_result = { |
|
|
'symbolism_coefficient': 0.0, |
|
|
'insufficient_data_warning': data_sufficiency, |
|
|
'analysis_result': 'insufficient_symbolic_data', |
|
|
'recommendation': 'Gather more symbolic artifacts before analysis', |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered': True, |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': 'guardrail_prevented_meaningless_symbolic_analysis' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.PROBABILISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=(0.1, 0.3), |
|
|
validation_methods=['data_sufficiency_check_only'], |
|
|
derivation_path=['data_sufficiency_evaluation'], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['9'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'insufficient_symbolic_data': True, |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered': True, |
|
|
'minimum_artifact_requirement_not_met': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(analysis_result, epistemic_tag, "SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _calculate_constraint_factor_with_guardrail(self, constraints: Dict) -> float: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Calculate constraint factor with guardrail minimum threshold |
|
|
Higher constraints increase symbolism likelihood, but must meet minimum |
|
|
""" |
|
|
base_factor = self._calculate_constraint_factor_detailed(constraints) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
minimum_required = self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'] |
|
|
|
|
|
if base_factor < minimum_required: |
|
|
|
|
|
return base_factor * 0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
return base_factor |
|
|
|
|
|
def _handle_insufficient_constraints(self, start_time: datetime, |
|
|
constraint_factor: float) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
"""Handle cases with insufficient constraints for meaningful symbolic analysis""" |
|
|
analysis_result = { |
|
|
'symbolism_coefficient': 0.0, |
|
|
'insufficient_constraints_warning': { |
|
|
'constraint_factor': constraint_factor, |
|
|
'minimum_required': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'], |
|
|
'reason': 'Insufficient constraints for meaningful symbolic encoding analysis' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'analysis_result': 'insufficient_constraints', |
|
|
'recommendation': 'Symbolic analysis requires higher constraint environment', |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered': True, |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': 'guardrail_prevented_low_constraint_symbolic_analysis' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.PROBABILISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=(0.2, 0.4), |
|
|
validation_methods=['constraint_factor_evaluation_only'], |
|
|
derivation_path=['constraint_factor_calculation', 'minimum_threshold_check'], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['9'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'insufficient_constraints': True, |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered': True, |
|
|
'minimum_constraint_factor_not_met': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(analysis_result, epistemic_tag, "SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _apply_amplification_context(self, base_coefficient: float, |
|
|
amplification_context: Dict) -> Tuple[float, Dict[str, Any]]: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Apply amplification context to symbolic coefficient |
|
|
Symbolic analysis functions as AMPLIFIER when combined with other evidence |
|
|
""" |
|
|
amplification_factor = 1.0 |
|
|
amplification_details = {} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context.get('power_asymmetry_score', 0) > 0.7: |
|
|
amplification_factor *= self.GUARDRAILS['amplification_weights']['with_power_asymmetry'] |
|
|
amplification_details['power_asymmetry_amplification'] = 'applied' |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context.get('narrative_gap_count', 0) > 3: |
|
|
amplification_factor *= self.GUARDRAILS['amplification_weights']['with_narrative_gaps'] |
|
|
amplification_details['narrative_gap_amplification'] = 'applied' |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context.get('evidence_constraints', False): |
|
|
amplification_factor *= self.GUARDRAILS['amplification_weights']['with_evidence_constraints'] |
|
|
amplification_details['evidence_constraint_amplification'] = 'applied' |
|
|
|
|
|
amplified_coefficient = base_coefficient * amplification_factor |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
max_amplification = 1.5 |
|
|
if amplification_factor > max_amplification: |
|
|
amplified_coefficient = base_coefficient * max_amplification |
|
|
amplification_details['amplification_capped'] = True |
|
|
|
|
|
amplification_details.update({ |
|
|
'base_coefficient': base_coefficient, |
|
|
'amplification_factor': min(amplification_factor, max_amplification), |
|
|
'amplified_coefficient': amplified_coefficient, |
|
|
'functional_role': 'amplifier_when_combined_with_other_evidence' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return amplified_coefficient, amplification_details |
|
|
|
|
|
def _interpret_symbolism_coefficient_with_guardrails(self, coefficient: float, |
|
|
constraint_factor: float, |
|
|
validation_count: int, |
|
|
amplification_context: Optional[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Interpret the symbolism coefficient with guardrail warnings""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if coefficient >= 0.8: |
|
|
base_interpretation = { |
|
|
'level': 'VERY_HIGH_ENCODING_LIKELIHOOD', |
|
|
'meaning': 'Symbolic artifacts very likely encode constrained realities', |
|
|
'investigative_priority': 'MEDIUM_HIGH', |
|
|
'recommended_action': 'Decode as supporting evidence alongside other sources', |
|
|
'confidence_statement': 'High confidence when combined with other evidence streams' |
|
|
} |
|
|
elif coefficient >= 0.6: |
|
|
base_interpretation = { |
|
|
'level': 'HIGH_ENCODING_LIKELIHOOD', |
|
|
'meaning': 'Symbolic artifacts likely encode constrained realities', |
|
|
'investigative_priority': 'MEDIUM', |
|
|
'recommended_action': 'Consider symbolic analysis as amplifying evidence', |
|
|
'confidence_statement': 'Moderate confidence, requires combination with other evidence' |
|
|
} |
|
|
elif coefficient >= 0.4: |
|
|
base_interpretation = { |
|
|
'level': 'MODERATE_ENCODING_LIKELIHOOD', |
|
|
'meaning': 'Symbolic artifacts may encode constrained realities', |
|
|
'investigative_priority': 'LOW_MEDIUM', |
|
|
'recommended_action': 'Include symbolic analysis if other avenues insufficient', |
|
|
'confidence_statement': 'Suggestive but requires validation through other means' |
|
|
} |
|
|
elif coefficient >= 0.2: |
|
|
base_interpretation = { |
|
|
'level': 'LOW_ENCODING_LIKELIHOOD', |
|
|
'meaning': 'Limited evidence of symbolic encoding', |
|
|
'investigative_priority': 'LOW', |
|
|
'recommended_action': 'Focus on direct evidence sources first', |
|
|
'confidence_statement': 'Low confidence, primarily suggestive' |
|
|
} |
|
|
else: |
|
|
base_interpretation = { |
|
|
'level': 'MINIMAL_ENCODING_LIKELIHOOD', |
|
|
'meaning': 'Little evidence of symbolic encoding of constrained realities', |
|
|
'investigative_priority': 'EXPLORATORY', |
|
|
'recommended_action': 'Symbolic analysis not recommended as primary approach', |
|
|
'confidence_statement': 'Insufficient evidence for meaningful symbolic analysis' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
guardrail_warnings = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
if validation_count < self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['external_validation_methods']: |
|
|
guardrail_warnings.append({ |
|
|
'type': 'insufficient_validation', |
|
|
'message': f'Only {validation_count} validation methods used (minimum {self.GUARDRAILS["minimum_corroboration_requirements"]["external_validation_methods"]} required)', |
|
|
'impact': 'Coefficient interpretation should be treated with increased skepticism' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
if not amplification_context and coefficient > 0.6: |
|
|
guardrail_warnings.append({ |
|
|
'type': 'missing_amplification_context', |
|
|
'message': 'High coefficient without amplification context from other evidence streams', |
|
|
'impact': 'Should not be used as independent evidence for critical findings' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_interpretation['constraint_context'] = { |
|
|
'constraint_factor': constraint_factor, |
|
|
'constraint_interpretation': 'High constraints support encoding hypothesis' if constraint_factor > 1.5 |
|
|
else 'Moderate constraints' if constraint_factor > 1.2 |
|
|
else 'Low constraints', |
|
|
'minimum_met': constraint_factor >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'], |
|
|
'section_9_note': 'Symbolism Coefficient models that higher constraints increase likelihood of symbolic encoding, but requires validation' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_interpretation['guardrail_context'] = { |
|
|
'functional_role': 'amplifier_not_trigger', |
|
|
'cannot_independently_trigger': self.GUARDRAILS['cannot_independently_trigger'], |
|
|
'minimum_requirements_met': all([ |
|
|
constraint_factor >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['constraint_factor'], |
|
|
validation_count >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_corroboration_requirements']['external_validation_methods'] |
|
|
]), |
|
|
'warnings': guardrail_warnings if guardrail_warnings else None |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context: |
|
|
base_interpretation['amplification_context'] = { |
|
|
'present': True, |
|
|
'role': 'coefficient_amplified_by_other_evidence_streams', |
|
|
'functional_relationship': 'symbolic_analysis_amplifies_but_does_not_replace_direct_evidence' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
base_interpretation['v5_2_hardening_note'] = 'Symbolic analysis functions as amplifier when combined with other evidence, not as independent trigger' |
|
|
|
|
|
return base_interpretation |
|
|
|
|
|
def _generate_symbolic_investigation_paths_with_guardrails(self, |
|
|
coefficient: float, |
|
|
pattern_analyses: Dict, |
|
|
constraints: Dict, |
|
|
amplification_context: Optional[Dict]) -> List[Dict]: |
|
|
"""Generate investigation paths with guardrail constraints""" |
|
|
paths = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if coefficient < 0.4: |
|
|
return [{ |
|
|
'path': 'focus_on_direct_evidence', |
|
|
'rationale': 'Symbolic coefficient below meaningful threshold', |
|
|
'guardrail_constraint': 'symbolic_analysis_not_recommended_as_primary_approach' |
|
|
}] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
paths.append({ |
|
|
'path': 'decode_symbolic_artifacts', |
|
|
'priority': 'medium' if coefficient >= 0.6 else 'low', |
|
|
'rationale': 'Symbolic artifacts show meaningful encoding patterns', |
|
|
'method': 'comparative_symbolic_analysis', |
|
|
'expected_outcome': 'Recover encoded information not available through direct evidence', |
|
|
'guardrail_note': 'Should be pursued alongside, not instead of, direct evidence collection' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if constraints.get('high_constraints', False): |
|
|
paths.append({ |
|
|
'path': 'analyze_constraint_context', |
|
|
'priority': 'high', |
|
|
'rationale': 'High constraint environment increases symbolic encoding probability', |
|
|
'method': 'constraint_based_symbolic_interpretation', |
|
|
'expected_outcome': 'Understand what realities are constrained from direct expression', |
|
|
'guardrail_note': 'Symbolic analysis functions as amplifier of constraint analysis' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if amplification_context: |
|
|
paths.append({ |
|
|
'path': 'integrate_with_other_evidence_streams', |
|
|
'priority': 'high', |
|
|
'rationale': 'Symbolic analysis amplifies existing evidence patterns', |
|
|
'method': 'cross_evidence_stream_integration', |
|
|
'expected_outcome': 'Enhanced understanding through symbolic amplification', |
|
|
'guardrail_note': 'Symbolic analysis validates and amplifies, does not replace, direct evidence' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
paths.append({ |
|
|
'path': 'validate_through_direct_evidence', |
|
|
'priority': 'critical', |
|
|
'rationale': 'Symbolic findings require validation through direct evidence', |
|
|
'method': 'corroboration_seeking_investigation', |
|
|
'expected_outcome': 'Symbolic interpretations either validated or refined by direct evidence', |
|
|
'guardrail_note': 'Essential guardrail: symbolic analysis cannot stand alone without direct evidence validation' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return paths |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
class ReopeningMandateEvaluator: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Evaluates conditions for reopening investigations |
|
|
EXACT IMPLEMENTATION OF SECTION 8: Non-Finality and Reopening Mandate |
|
|
|
|
|
HARDENED v5.2 WITH GUARDRAILS: |
|
|
- Symbolic analysis cannot independently trigger reopening |
|
|
- Multiple independent conditions required for mandate |
|
|
- Confidence thresholds for each condition type |
|
|
- Corroboration requirements for critical conditions |
|
|
""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REOPENING_CONDITIONS = { |
|
|
'key_decision_makers_inaccessible': { |
|
|
'description': 'Key decision-makers are inaccessible for questioning', |
|
|
'severity': 'high', |
|
|
'section_reference': '8', |
|
|
'threshold': True, |
|
|
'weight': 0.25, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': False, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': True, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'critical_condition_no_corroboration_required' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'evidence_custody_internal': { |
|
|
'description': 'Evidence custody is internal to involved institution', |
|
|
'severity': 'high', |
|
|
'section_reference': '8', |
|
|
'threshold': True, |
|
|
'weight': 0.20, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': False, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'requires_corroboration_with_other_conditions' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'procedural_deviations_unexplained': { |
|
|
'description': 'Procedural deviations are unexplained or uninvestigated', |
|
|
'severity': 'medium', |
|
|
'section_reference': '8', |
|
|
'threshold': True, |
|
|
'weight': 0.15, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': False, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'must_be_combined_with_other_conditions' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'witnesses_silenced_or_constrained': { |
|
|
'description': 'Witnesses are silenced, removed, or structurally constrained', |
|
|
'severity': 'high', |
|
|
'section_reference': '8', |
|
|
'threshold': True, |
|
|
'weight': 0.20, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': True, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'critical_condition_may_trigger_independently' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'high_asymmetry_with_narrative_gaps': { |
|
|
'description': 'High power asymmetry with significant narrative gaps', |
|
|
'severity': 'medium', |
|
|
'section_reference': '8', |
|
|
'threshold': (0.7, 3), |
|
|
'weight': 0.20, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': False, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': True, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'quantitative_condition_no_corroboration_required' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'primary_determinant_minimized': { |
|
|
'description': 'Primary structural determinant minimized in narrative', |
|
|
'severity': 'high', |
|
|
'section_reference': '5/8', |
|
|
'threshold': True, |
|
|
'weight': 0.25, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': False, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'requires_corroboration_and_cannot_trigger_alone' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'symbolic_coefficient_high': { |
|
|
'description': 'High symbolism coefficient suggests encoded realities', |
|
|
'severity': 'medium', |
|
|
'section_reference': '9/8', |
|
|
'threshold': (0.8, 1.5), |
|
|
'weight': 0.10, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': True, |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': False, |
|
|
'guardrail': 'amplifier_only_cannot_trigger_independently', |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': 'symbolic_analysis_functions_as_amplifier_not_trigger' |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GUARDRAILS = { |
|
|
'minimum_conditions_for_reopening': 2, |
|
|
'minimum_weight_for_independent_trigger': 0.4, |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_max_weight': 0.1, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements': { |
|
|
'high_severity_conditions': True, |
|
|
'medium_severity_with_low_confidence': True |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'confidence_thresholds': { |
|
|
'high_confidence_required_for_independent_trigger': 0.8, |
|
|
'medium_confidence_required_for_contribution': 0.6 |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def __init__(self, framework_registry: FrameworkSectionRegistry): |
|
|
self.framework_registry = framework_registry |
|
|
self.evaluation_history = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_registry.register_module( |
|
|
module_name="ReopeningMandateEvaluator", |
|
|
module_class=ReopeningMandateEvaluator, |
|
|
implemented_sections=[FrameworkSection.NON_FINALITY_REOPENING_MANDATE], |
|
|
implementation_method="condition_based_mandate_evaluation_with_guardrails", |
|
|
guardrail_checks=["exit_criteria", "cross_validation"] |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
def evaluate_reopening_mandate(self, |
|
|
event_data: Dict, |
|
|
power_analysis: EpistemicallyTaggedOutput, |
|
|
narrative_audit: EpistemicallyTaggedOutput, |
|
|
symbolic_analysis: Optional[EpistemicallyTaggedOutput] = None) -> EpistemicallyTaggedOutput: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Evaluate whether investigation should be reopened |
|
|
HARDENED v5.2: Includes guardrails preventing symbolic analysis from independent triggering |
|
|
|
|
|
GUARDRAILS APPLIED: |
|
|
- Symbolic analysis cannot independently trigger reopening |
|
|
- Multiple conditions required unless critical independent condition met |
|
|
- Corroboration requirements for certain condition types |
|
|
- Minimum confidence thresholds for contribution |
|
|
""" |
|
|
start_time = datetime.utcnow() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
power_data = power_analysis.get_data_only() |
|
|
narrative_data = narrative_audit.get_data_only() |
|
|
symbolic_data = symbolic_analysis.get_data_only() if symbolic_analysis else {} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
conditions_met = [] |
|
|
condition_details = [] |
|
|
total_weight_met = 0.0 |
|
|
independent_trigger_conditions = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
for condition_name, condition_info in self.REOPENING_CONDITIONS.items(): |
|
|
is_met, details, confidence = self._check_condition_with_guardrails( |
|
|
condition_name, condition_info, event_data, power_data, narrative_data, symbolic_data |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
if is_met: |
|
|
conditions_met.append(condition_name) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
effective_weight = condition_info['weight'] |
|
|
if condition_name == 'symbolic_coefficient_high': |
|
|
effective_weight = min(effective_weight, self.GUARDRAILS['symbolic_analysis_max_weight']) |
|
|
|
|
|
total_weight_met += effective_weight |
|
|
|
|
|
condition_details.append({ |
|
|
'condition': condition_name, |
|
|
'description': condition_info['description'], |
|
|
'severity': condition_info['severity'], |
|
|
'weight': effective_weight, |
|
|
'original_weight': condition_info['weight'], |
|
|
'section_reference': condition_info['section_reference'], |
|
|
'met_details': details, |
|
|
'confidence': confidence, |
|
|
'requires_corroboration': condition_info['requires_corroboration'], |
|
|
'can_independently_trigger': condition_info['can_independently_trigger'], |
|
|
'guardrail': condition_info['guardrail'], |
|
|
'contribution_to_mandate': effective_weight |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if condition_info['can_independently_trigger']: |
|
|
independent_trigger_conditions.append({ |
|
|
'condition': condition_name, |
|
|
'weight': effective_weight, |
|
|
'confidence': confidence, |
|
|
'meets_confidence_threshold': confidence >= self.GUARDRAILS['confidence_thresholds']['high_confidence_required_for_independent_trigger'] |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
corroboration_assessment = self._assess_corroboration_requirements(condition_details, power_data, narrative_data) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if corroboration_assessment['adjustments_applied']: |
|
|
for detail in condition_details: |
|
|
if detail['requires_corroboration'] and not detail.get('corroboration_verified', False): |
|
|
|
|
|
detail['weight'] *= 0.5 |
|
|
detail['contribution_to_mandate'] = detail['weight'] |
|
|
detail['corroboration_warning'] = 'weight_reduced_due_to_lack_of_corroboration' |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
total_weight_met = sum(detail['weight'] for detail in condition_details) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mandate_strength = self._calculate_mandate_strength_with_guardrails( |
|
|
total_weight_met, len(conditions_met), independent_trigger_conditions, corroboration_assessment |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mandate_decision = self._determine_mandate_decision_with_guardrails( |
|
|
mandate_strength, conditions_met, independent_trigger_conditions, condition_details |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
reopening_rationale = self._generate_reopening_rationale_with_guardrails( |
|
|
conditions_met, condition_details, mandate_strength, power_data, mandate_decision |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
investigative_priorities = self._generate_reopening_priorities_with_guardrails( |
|
|
conditions_met, power_data, narrative_data, symbolic_data, mandate_decision |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
evaluation_result = { |
|
|
'mandate_decision': mandate_decision, |
|
|
'condition_analysis': { |
|
|
'total_conditions_checked': len(self.REOPENING_CONDITIONS), |
|
|
'conditions_met': conditions_met, |
|
|
'conditions_met_count': len(conditions_met), |
|
|
'total_weight_met': total_weight_met, |
|
|
'condition_details': condition_details, |
|
|
'most_significant_condition': self._identify_most_significant_condition(condition_details), |
|
|
'independent_trigger_conditions': independent_trigger_conditions, |
|
|
'corroboration_assessment': corroboration_assessment |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'reopening_rationale': reopening_rationale, |
|
|
'investigative_priorities': investigative_priorities, |
|
|
'guardrail_application': { |
|
|
'minimum_conditions_required': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_conditions_for_reopening'], |
|
|
'minimum_weight_for_independent_trigger': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_weight_for_independent_trigger'], |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_weight_limit': self.GUARDRAILS['symbolic_analysis_max_weight'], |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements_enforced': True, |
|
|
'confidence_thresholds_applied': True, |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_guardrail': 'amplifier_not_trigger_enforced' |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'mandate_parameters': { |
|
|
'threshold_for_reopening': 0.4, |
|
|
'calculation_method': 'weighted_condition_sum_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'non_finality_principle': 'explicitly_enforced', |
|
|
'reopening_as_methodological_necessity': True |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening_features': { |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_cannot_independently_trigger': True, |
|
|
'multiple_conditions_required_unless_critical': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements_for_certain_conditions': True, |
|
|
'confidence_thresholds_for_contribution': True, |
|
|
'guardrail_transparency': 'full_disclosure_of_all_constraints' |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
confidence_level = 0.9 if mandate_decision['required'] and len(conditions_met) >= 3 else 0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
epistemic_tag = EpistemicTag( |
|
|
epistemic_type=EpistemicType.DETERMINISTIC, |
|
|
confidence_interval=(confidence_level - 0.1, confidence_level + 0.05), |
|
|
validation_methods=[ |
|
|
'condition_verification_audit', |
|
|
'weight_calculation_validation', |
|
|
'guardrail_compliance_check', |
|
|
'corroboration_assessment_verification', |
|
|
'confidence_threshold_verification' |
|
|
], |
|
|
derivation_path=[ |
|
|
'condition_evaluation_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'corroboration_assessment', |
|
|
'weight_aggregation_with_guardrail_adjustments', |
|
|
'mandate_strength_calculation_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'threshold_comparison_with_independent_trigger_check', |
|
|
'rationale_generation_with_guardrail_transparency' |
|
|
], |
|
|
framework_section_references=['8'], |
|
|
boundary_conditions={ |
|
|
'guardrails_enforced': True, |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_cannot_trigger_independently': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements_applied': True, |
|
|
'minimum_conditions_threshold': self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_conditions_for_reopening'] |
|
|
} |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.evaluation_history.append({ |
|
|
'timestamp': start_time.isoformat(), |
|
|
'mandate_required': mandate_decision['required'], |
|
|
'conditions_met': len(conditions_met), |
|
|
'mandate_strength': mandate_strength, |
|
|
'independent_triggers': len(independent_trigger_conditions), |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered': any(detail.get('guardrail_warning') for detail in condition_details), |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening_applied': True |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return EpistemicallyTaggedOutput(evaluation_result, epistemic_tag, "ReopeningMandateEvaluator") |
|
|
|
|
|
def _check_condition_with_guardrails(self, condition_name: str, condition_info: Dict, |
|
|
event_data: Dict, power_data: Dict, |
|
|
narrative_data: Dict, symbolic_data: Dict) -> Tuple[bool, Dict[str, Any], float]: |
|
|
"""Check if a specific reopening condition is met with guardrail enforcement""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if condition_name == 'symbolic_coefficient_high': |
|
|
return self._check_symbolic_coefficient_guardrailed(condition_info, symbolic_data) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return False, {}, 0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
def _check_symbolic_coefficient_guardrailed(self, condition_info: Dict, |
|
|
symbolic_data: Dict) -> Tuple[bool, Dict[str, Any], float]: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Check symbolic coefficient condition with guardrail enforcement |
|
|
GUARDRAIL: Symbolic analysis cannot independently trigger reopening |
|
|
""" |
|
|
if not symbolic_data: |
|
|
return False, {'symbolic_data_available': False}, 0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
coefficient = symbolic_data.get('symbolism_coefficient', 0.0) |
|
|
constraint_factor = symbolic_data.get('component_analysis', {}).get('constraint_factor', 0.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
coefficient_threshold, constraint_threshold = condition_info['threshold'] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
coefficient_met = coefficient > coefficient_threshold |
|
|
constraint_met = constraint_factor > constraint_threshold |
|
|
|
|
|
condition_met = coefficient_met and constraint_met |
|
|
|
|
|
details = { |
|
|
'symbolism_coefficient': coefficient, |
|
|
'constraint_factor': constraint_factor, |
|
|
'coefficient_threshold': coefficient_threshold, |
|
|
'constraint_threshold': constraint_threshold, |
|
|
'coefficient_condition_met': coefficient_met, |
|
|
'constraint_condition_met': constraint_met, |
|
|
'condition_met': condition_met, |
|
|
'guardrail_applied': 'symbolic_analysis_functions_as_amplifier_not_trigger', |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening': 'cannot_independently_trigger_reopening', |
|
|
'functional_role': 'amplifier_when_combined_with_other_conditions' |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
coefficient_confidence = min(1.0, coefficient / coefficient_threshold) |
|
|
constraint_confidence = min(1.0, constraint_factor / constraint_threshold) |
|
|
overall_confidence = (coefficient_confidence * 0.6) + (constraint_confidence * 0.4) |
|
|
|
|
|
return condition_met, details, overall_confidence |
|
|
|
|
|
def _assess_corroboration_requirements(self, condition_details: List[Dict], |
|
|
power_data: Dict, narrative_data: Dict) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Assess corroboration requirements for conditions that need it""" |
|
|
adjustments_applied = False |
|
|
corroboration_report = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
for detail in condition_details: |
|
|
if detail['requires_corroboration']: |
|
|
|
|
|
corroboration_found = self._find_corroborating_evidence_for_condition( |
|
|
detail['condition'], power_data, narrative_data |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
if corroboration_found: |
|
|
detail['corroboration_verified'] = True |
|
|
detail['corroboration_evidence'] = corroboration_found |
|
|
else: |
|
|
detail['corroboration_verified'] = False |
|
|
adjustments_applied = True |
|
|
|
|
|
corroboration_report.append({ |
|
|
'condition': detail['condition'], |
|
|
'corroboration_required': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_found': False, |
|
|
'impact': 'weight_may_be_reduced_in_final_calculation' |
|
|
}) |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'adjustments_applied': adjustments_applied, |
|
|
'corroboration_report': corroboration_report, |
|
|
'summary': f"{sum(1 for d in condition_details if d.get('corroboration_verified', False))}/{sum(1 for d in condition_details if d['requires_corroboration'])} conditions with corroboration requirements met" |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
def _calculate_mandate_strength_with_guardrails(self, total_weight: float, |
|
|
conditions_count: int, |
|
|
independent_triggers: List[Dict], |
|
|
corroboration_assessment: Dict) -> float: |
|
|
"""Calculate mandate strength with guardrail considerations""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
base_strength = total_weight |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if conditions_count < self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_conditions_for_reopening']: |
|
|
|
|
|
valid_independent_triggers = [ |
|
|
t for t in independent_triggers |
|
|
if t['meets_confidence_threshold'] and t['weight'] >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_weight_for_independent_trigger'] |
|
|
] |
|
|
|
|
|
if not valid_independent_triggers: |
|
|
|
|
|
base_strength *= 0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if corroboration_assessment['adjustments_applied']: |
|
|
base_strength *= 0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
return max(0.0, min(1.0, base_strength)) |
|
|
|
|
|
def _determine_mandate_decision_with_guardrails(self, mandate_strength: float, |
|
|
conditions_met: List[str], |
|
|
independent_triggers: List[Dict], |
|
|
condition_details: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
"""Determine mandate decision with guardrail enforcement""" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
valid_independent_triggers = [ |
|
|
t for t in independent_triggers |
|
|
if t['meets_confidence_threshold'] and t['weight'] >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_weight_for_independent_trigger'] |
|
|
] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
conditions_sufficient = len(conditions_met) >= self.GUARDRAILS['minimum_conditions_for_reopening'] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if valid_independent_triggers: |
|
|
|
|
|
mandate_required = True |
|
|
trigger_type = 'independent_critical_condition' |
|
|
trigger_condition = valid_independent_triggers[0]['condition'] |
|
|
elif mandate_strength >= 0.4 and conditions_sufficient: |
|
|
|
|
|
mandate_required = True |
|
|
trigger_type = 'multiple_conditions_met_threshold' |
|
|
trigger_condition = 'combined_conditions' |
|
|
else: |
|
|
mandate_required = False |
|
|
trigger_type = 'threshold_not_met' |
|
|
trigger_condition = None |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
symbolic_condition = next((c for c in condition_details if c['condition'] == 'symbolic_coefficient_high'), None) |
|
|
if (mandate_required and |
|
|
symbolic_condition and |
|
|
symbolic_condition['condition_met'] and |
|
|
len(conditions_met) == 1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mandate_required = False |
|
|
trigger_type = 'guardrail_prevented_symbolic_independent_trigger' |
|
|
trigger_condition = 'symbolic_coefficient_high' |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'required': mandate_required, |
|
|
'strength': mandate_strength, |
|
|
'threshold_met': mandate_strength >= 0.4, |
|
|
'conditions_sufficient': conditions_sufficient, |
|
|
'independent_trigger_met': len(valid_independent_triggers) > 0, |
|
|
'trigger_type': trigger_type, |
|
|
'trigger_condition': trigger_condition, |
|
|
'decision_basis': 'weighted_condition_evaluation_with_guardrails', |
|
|
'section_8_reference': 'Non-Finality and Reopening Mandate with v5.2 Guardrails', |
|
|
'guardrail_enforcement': { |
|
|
'minimum_conditions_enforced': True, |
|
|
'independent_trigger_thresholds_enforced': True, |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis_cannot_trigger_independently': True, |
|
|
'corroboration_requirements_enforced': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
class HardenedPowerConstrainedInvestigationEngine: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Main integrated system with v5.2 hardening |
|
|
Complete framework with guardrails, exit criteria, and operational sovereignty |
|
|
""" |
|
|
|
|
|
def __init__(self, node_id: str = None): |
|
|
self.node_id = node_id or f"h_pci_{secrets.token_hex(8)}" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_registry = FrameworkSectionRegistry() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_declaration = FrameworkDeclaration() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.power_analyzer = InstitutionalPowerAnalyzer(self.framework_registry) |
|
|
self.narrative_auditor = NarrativePowerAuditor(self.framework_registry) |
|
|
self.symbolic_analyzer = SymbolicCoefficientAnalyzer(self.framework_registry) |
|
|
self.reopening_evaluator = ReopeningMandateEvaluator(self.framework_registry) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.investigation_state = { |
|
|
'total_investigations': 0, |
|
|
'power_asymmetry_cases': 0, |
|
|
'narrative_audits_completed': 0, |
|
|
'symbolism_coefficients_calculated': 0, |
|
|
'reopening_mandates_issued': 0, |
|
|
'framework_compliance_verifications': 0, |
|
|
'guardrail_triggered_count': defaultdict(int), |
|
|
'exit_criteria_applied_count': defaultdict(int), |
|
|
'last_system_health_check': datetime.utcnow().isoformat(), |
|
|
'v5_2_hardening_active': True |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.investigation_ledger = [] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.health_metrics = { |
|
|
'module_initialization_time': datetime.utcnow().isoformat(), |
|
|
'epistemic_layer_active': True, |
|
|
'guardrails_active': True, |
|
|
'exit_criteria_enforced': True, |
|
|
'symbolic_amplifier_guardrail_active': True, |
|
|
'last_compliance_check': None |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self.framework_registry.register_module( |
|
|
module_name="HardenedPowerConstrainedInvestigationEngine", |
|
|
module_class=HardenedPowerConstrainedInvestigationEngine, |
|
|
implemented_sections=list(FrameworkSection), |
|
|
implementation_method="orchestrated_framework_execution_with_v5_2_hardening", |
|
|
guardrail_checks=["exit_criteria", "cross_validation", "confidence_decay", "amplifier_not_trigger"] |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
async def conduct_hardened_investigation(self, |
|
|
event_data: Dict, |
|
|
official_narrative: Dict, |
|
|
available_evidence: List[Dict], |
|
|
symbolic_artifacts: Optional[Dict] = None) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
|
|
""" |
|
|
Conduct complete power-constrained investigation with v5.2 hardening |
|
|
All guardrails, exit criteria, and hardening features active |
|
|
""" |
|
|
investigation_start = datetime.utcnow() |
|
|
self.investigation_state['total_investigations'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n{'='*120}") |
|
|
print(f"POWER-CONSTRAINED RECURSIVE INVESTIGATION FRAMEWORK v5.2 - HARDENED") |
|
|
print(f"Guardrails Active | Exit Criteria Enforced | Symbolic Analysis as Amplifier Only") |
|
|
print(f"Node: {self.node_id}") |
|
|
print(f"Timestamp: {investigation_start.isoformat()}") |
|
|
print(f"{'='*120}") |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n🛡️ V5.2 HARDENING FEATURES ACTIVE:") |
|
|
print(f" • Formal exit criteria for all heuristic detectors") |
|
|
print(f" • False positive tolerance thresholds with guarding") |
|
|
print(f" • Confidence decay mechanisms for sparse data") |
|
|
print(f" • Symbolic analysis as amplifier, not trigger") |
|
|
print(f" • Corroboration requirements for critical findings") |
|
|
print(f" • Minimum evidence requirements enforced") |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 1] POWER ANALYSIS WITH EXIT CRITERIA") |
|
|
power_analysis = self.power_analyzer.analyze_institutional_control(event_data) |
|
|
power_data = power_analysis.get_data_only() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if power_data.get('exit_criteria_applied'): |
|
|
self.investigation_state['exit_criteria_applied_count']['power_analysis'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
if power_data['power_asymmetry_analysis']['asymmetry_score'] > 0.6: |
|
|
self.investigation_state['power_asymmetry_cases'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 2] NARRATIVE AUDIT WITH FALSE POSITIVE GUARDING") |
|
|
narrative_constraints = { |
|
|
'direct_testimony_inaccessible': event_data.get('witnesses_inaccessible', False), |
|
|
'evidence_custody_internal': event_data.get('evidence_custody_internal', False), |
|
|
'official_narrative_dominant': True, |
|
|
'witness_constraints': event_data.get('witness_constraints', {}), |
|
|
'legal_restrictions': event_data.get('legal_restrictions', False) |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
narrative_audit = self.narrative_auditor.audit_narrative( |
|
|
official_narrative, power_analysis, available_evidence, narrative_constraints |
|
|
) |
|
|
self.investigation_state['narrative_audits_completed'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
narrative_data = narrative_audit.get_data_only() |
|
|
if narrative_data.get('distortion_analysis', {}).get('false_positive_risk_assessment', {}).get('risk_level') == 'ELEVATED': |
|
|
self.investigation_state['guardrail_triggered_count']['false_positive_guarding'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 3] SYMBOLIC ANALYSIS (AMPLIFIER ONLY)") |
|
|
symbolic_analysis = None |
|
|
if symbolic_artifacts: |
|
|
|
|
|
amplification_context = { |
|
|
'power_asymmetry_score': power_data['power_asymmetry_analysis']['asymmetry_score'], |
|
|
'narrative_gap_count': narrative_data.get('gap_analysis', {}).get('total_gaps', 0), |
|
|
'evidence_constraints': narrative_constraints.get('evidence_custody_internal', False) |
|
|
} |
|
|
|
|
|
symbolic_analysis = self.symbolic_analyzer.calculate_symbolism_coefficient( |
|
|
symbolic_artifacts, narrative_constraints, power_data, amplification_context |
|
|
) |
|
|
self.investigation_state['symbolism_coefficients_calculated'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 4] REOPENING MANDATE WITH SYMBOLIC GUARDRAIL") |
|
|
reopening_evaluation = self.reopening_evaluator.evaluate_reopening_mandate( |
|
|
event_data, power_analysis, narrative_audit, symbolic_analysis |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
reopening_data = reopening_evaluation.get_data_only() |
|
|
if reopening_data['mandate_decision']['required']: |
|
|
self.investigation_state['reopening_mandates_issued'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if reopening_data.get('guardrail_application', {}).get('symbolic_analysis_guardrail') == 'amplifier_not_trigger_enforced': |
|
|
self.investigation_state['guardrail_triggered_count']['symbolic_amplifier_guardrail'] += 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 5] FRAMEWORK COMPLIANCE WITH GUARDRAIL CHECKING") |
|
|
compliance_report = self.framework_registry.verify_all_compliance() |
|
|
self.investigation_state['framework_compliance_verifications'] += 1 |
|
|
self.health_metrics['last_compliance_check'] = datetime.utcnow().isoformat() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n[PHASE 6] HARDENED INTEGRATED REPORT GENERATION") |
|
|
|
|
|
hardened_report = self._generate_hardened_integrated_report( |
|
|
event_data, power_analysis, narrative_audit, |
|
|
symbolic_analysis, reopening_evaluation, compliance_report, |
|
|
investigation_start |
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
self._record_hardened_investigation_in_ledger(hardened_report) |
|
|
self._update_hardening_metrics(power_analysis, narrative_audit, symbolic_analysis, reopening_evaluation) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
executive_summary = self._generate_hardened_executive_summary(hardened_report) |
|
|
|
|
|
investigation_end = datetime.utcnow() |
|
|
duration = (investigation_end - investigation_start).total_seconds() |
|
|
|
|
|
print(f"\n{'='*120}") |
|
|
print(f"HARDENED INVESTIGATION COMPLETE") |
|
|
print(f"Duration: {duration:.2f} seconds") |
|
|
print(f"Guardrails Triggered: {sum(self.investigation_state['guardrail_triggered_count'].values())}") |
|
|
print(f"Exit Criteria Applied: {sum(self.investigation_state['exit_criteria_applied_count'].values())}") |
|
|
print(f"Framework Compliance: {compliance_report['framework_completeness']}") |
|
|
print(f"{'='*120}") |
|
|
|
|
|
return { |
|
|
'investigation_id': hardened_report['investigation_id'], |
|
|
'executive_summary': executive_summary, |
|
|
'phase_results': { |
|
|
'power_analysis': power_analysis.to_dict(), |
|
|
'narrative_audit': narrative_audit.to_dict(), |
|
|
'symbolic_analysis': symbolic_analysis.to_dict() if symbolic_analysis else None, |
|
|
'reopening_evaluation': reopening_evaluation.to_dict(), |
|
|
'compliance_report': compliance_report |
|
|
}, |
|
|
'hardened_report': hardened_report, |
|
|
'system_state': self.investigation_state, |
|
|
'hardening_metrics': self._generate_hardening_metrics_report(), |
|
|
'framework_declaration': self.framework_declaration.get_origin_statement(), |
|
|
'investigation_metadata': { |
|
|
'start_time': investigation_start.isoformat(), |
|
|
'end_time': investigation_end.isoformat(), |
|
|
'duration_seconds': duration, |
|
|
'node_id': self.node_id, |
|
|
'framework_version': '5.2_hardened', |
|
|
'hardening_level': 'guardrails_and_exit_criteria_active' |
|
|
} |
|
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} |
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def _generate_hardening_metrics_report(self) -> Dict[str, Any]: |
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"""Generate report on hardening metrics""" |
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return { |
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'guardrail_activity': dict(self.investigation_state['guardrail_triggered_count']), |
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'exit_criteria_activity': dict(self.investigation_state['exit_criteria_applied_count']), |
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'hardening_features_active': { |
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'exit_criteria_enforcement': True, |
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'false_positive_guarding': True, |
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'confidence_decay_mechanisms': True, |
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'symbolic_amplifier_guardrail': True, |
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'corroboration_requirements': True, |
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'minimum_evidence_requirements': True |
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}, |
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'v5_2_hardening_summary': 'All guardrails and exit criteria active and enforced' |
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} |
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async def demonstrate_hardened_framework(): |
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"""Demonstrate the complete v5.2 hardened framework""" |
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|
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print("\n" + "="*120) |
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print("POWER-CONSTRAINED RECURSIVE INVESTIGATION FRAMEWORK v5.2 - COMPLETE HARDENED DEMONSTRATION") |
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print("="*120) |
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|
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system = HardenedPowerConstrainedInvestigationEngine() |
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|
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print(f"\n🚀 EXECUTING HARDENED FRAMEWORK v5.2 WITH ALL GUARDRAILS...") |
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|
|
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print(f"\n✅ HARDENED INVESTIGATION COMPLETE") |
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print(f"\n🛡️ V5.2 HARDENING SUCCESSFULLY DEMONSTRATED") |
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print(f"Key Hardening Achievements:") |
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|
print(f" 1. Formal exit criteria for all heuristic detectors") |
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|
print(f" 2. False positive tolerance thresholds with guarding") |
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print(f" 3. Confidence decay mechanisms for sparse data") |
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print(f" 4. Symbolic analysis as amplifier, not trigger") |
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print(f" 5. Corroboration requirements for critical findings") |
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print(f" 6. Operational sovereignty without normative defiance") |
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print(f" 7. Guardrail transparency with full disclosure") |
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print(f" 8. Minimum evidence requirements enforced") |
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|
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print(f"\n" + "="*120) |
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|
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if __name__ == "__main__": |
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asyncio.run(demonstrate_hardened_framework()) |
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``` |